InternationalUEFA Conference League predictions
Fair, margin-free probabilities for every UEFA Conference League fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
Upcoming audited matches
best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times
How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely
| Time | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11% 10.00 fair 9.31 | 19% 5.20 fair 5.39 | 71% 1.37 fair 1.41 | No value | ||
| 40% 2.48 fair 2.50 | 26% 3.75 fair 3.79 | 34% 2.85 fair 2.98 | No value | ||
| 35% 3.00 fair 2.83 | 25% 4.00 fair 4.07 | 40% 2.38 fair 2.49 | Not re-checked | ||
| 19% 5.60 fair 5.31 | 22% 4.15 fair 4.47 | 59% 1.70 fair 1.70 | No value | ||
| 93% 1.09 fair 1.07 | 5% 15.50 fair 20.93 | 2% 41.00 fair 53.26 | Not re-checked | ||
| 43% 2.28 fair 2.33 | 30% 3.35 fair 3.37 | 27% 3.45 fair 3.65 | No value | ||
| 37% 2.63 fair 2.67 | 26% 3.75 fair 3.88 | 37% 2.62 fair 2.72 | Value expired | ||
| 24% 3.88 fair 4.22 | 29% 3.60 fair 3.50 | 48% 2.12 fair 2.10 | Not re-checked | ||
| 85% 1.19 fair 1.18 | 10% 8.40 fair 9.69 | 5% 16.50 fair 20.13 | Not re-checked | ||
| 57% 1.75 fair 1.75 | 23% 4.20 fair 4.36 | 20% 4.60 fair 4.99 | Value expired | ||
| 66% 1.47 fair 1.51 | 19% 5.00 fair 5.28 | 15% 6.75 fair 6.74 | Value expired | ||
| 62% 1.57 fair 1.61 | 21% 4.60 fair 4.72 | 17% 6.75 fair 6.03 | No value | ||
| 15% 6.00 fair 6.54 | 24% 4.10 fair 4.23 | 61% 1.65 fair 1.64 | Not re-checked | ||
| 64% 1.58 fair 1.57 | 22% 4.50 fair 4.59 | 15% 7.50 fair 6.81 | No value | ||
| 73% 1.34 fair 1.36 | 16% 6.00 fair 6.22 | 10% 10.00 fair 9.53 | Value expired | ||
| 83% 1.19 fair 1.21 | 11% 8.00 fair 8.91 | 6% 18.00 fair 16.05 | Not checked yet | ||
| 82% 1.20 fair 1.21 | 11% 7.80 fair 8.92 | 6% 15.00 fair 15.66 | No value | ||
| 40% 2.40 fair 2.48 | 28% 3.50 fair 3.58 | 32% 3.15 fair 3.14 | Value expired |
Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off
| Date | Match | Score | Market gave this result |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland – St. Truiden | 0–1 | 27% | |
| Monaco – SC Freiburg | 3–0 | 42% | |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC – Twente | 1–4 | 86% | |
| FC Thun – HNK Hajduk Split | 0–1 | 44% | |
| SC Braga – Gent | 2–0 | 56% | |
| Borac Banja Luka – KuPS | 2–0 | 62% | |
| Ajax – Atalanta | 2–0 | 49% | |
| Aarhus – Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1–1 | 21% | |
| Trabzonspor – Heart Of Midlothian | 2–0 | 73% | |
| Inter Club d'Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova | 1–3 | 65% |
Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.
Bookmaker margins on UEFA Conference League
Across the matches we priced in UEFA Conference League, the market's average 1X2 margin is 7.46%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is 1xBet at 3.95%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.
1xBet → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →
Standings — 2026 season · official league table
Official table from API-Football, as of . We read it again after matches finish.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 3 |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 2 |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 2 |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1 |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
Team stats this season
264 matches this season: 2.87 goals per game, 53% over 2.5, 54% both teams scored. xG 3.01 per match (from 36 matches); 9.6 corners and 4.1 cards per match (from 146 matches with statistics).
| Team | MP | GF | GA | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheets | Corners | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FC Levadia Tallinn |
4 | 3.25 | 1.00 | 100% | 50% | 50% | — | — |
 Monaco |
4 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 100% | 75% | 25% | 12.0 | 1.5 |
 FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
5 | 2.80 | 2.40 | 100% | 80% | 0% | — | — |
 SC Freiburg |
4 | 2.50 | 1.75 | 100% | 75% | 0% | 10.3 | 0.8 |
 Shelbourne |
3 | 2.33 | 2.33 | 100% | 100% | 0% | — | — |
 FC Copenhagen |
8 | 2.75 | 1.00 | 88% | 63% | 38% | 10.6 | 1.4 |
 Ajax |
6 | 3.17 | 1.50 | 83% | 83% | 17% | 11.7 | 1.2 |
 FC Sion |
5 | 2.00 | 2.60 | 80% | 100% | 0% | 8.2 | 1.6 |
 HNK Hajduk Split |
4 | 2.50 | 1.25 | 75% | 75% | 25% | 7.5 | 1.8 |
 FC ST. Gallen |
4 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 75% | 75% | 0% | 9.5 | 2.8 |
 Apollon Limassol |
4 | 2.25 | 0.50 | 75% | 25% | 75% | — | — |
 FC Vaduz |
4 | 2.25 | 1.00 | 75% | 50% | 50% | — | — |
 Brann |
8 | 2.13 | 1.25 | 75% | 88% | 0% | 11.3 | 2.5 |
 Dinamo Tbilisi |
4 | 2.00 | 2.25 | 75% | 75% | 25% | — | — |
 FC Santa Coloma |
4 | 1.75 | 2.25 | 75% | 50% | 50% | — | — |
 Kalju Nomme |
4 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 75% | 75% | 25% | — | — |
 Dunajska Streda |
4 | 1.75 | 2.25 | 75% | 25% | 50% | — | — |
 Stjarnan |
4 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 75% | 75% | 25% | — | — |
 Tromso |
4 | 1.75 | 1.25 | 75% | 25% | 50% | 9.0 | 0.8 |
 Beitar Jerusalem |
4 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 75% | 75% | 25% | — | — |
 FC Noah |
4 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 75% | 100% | 0% | — | — |
 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes |
4 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 75% | 50% | 0% | — | — |
 Dila |
4 | 0.75 | 2.25 | 75% | 25% | 0% | — | — |
 FC Lugano |
7 | 2.71 | 1.29 | 71% | 86% | 14% | 9.2 | 2.1 |
 Rapid Vienna |
6 | 3.00 | 1.17 | 67% | 83% | 17% | 9.5 | 1.7 |
 HJK Helsinki |
3 | 3.00 | 0.33 | 67% | 33% | 67% | — | — |
 Malisheva |
3 | 2.67 | 0.67 | 67% | 33% | 67% | — | — |
 Auda |
3 | 2.67 | 1.00 | 67% | 67% | 33% | — | — |
 Twente |
6 | 2.67 | 1.00 | 67% | 50% | 33% | 9.7 | 2.0 |
 Drita |
6 | 2.33 | 0.83 | 67% | 67% | 33% | 5.8 | 2.0 |
 FK Partizan |
3 | 2.33 | 0.33 | 67% | 33% | 67% | — | — |
 Pafos |
3 | 1.33 | 2.00 | 67% | 100% | 0% | 9.7 | 2.7 |
 Ballkani |
3 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 67% | 67% | 33% | — | — |
 GKS Katowice |
3 | 1.00 | 1.67 | 67% | 67% | 0% | — | — |
 Valur Reykjavik |
3 | 1.00 | 2.33 | 67% | 33% | 33% | — | — |
 CFR 1907 Cluj |
3 | 0.67 | 2.67 | 67% | 67% | 0% | — | — |
 Lincoln Red Imps FC |
3 | 0.67 | 2.67 | 67% | 67% | 0% | 12.7 | 2.0 |
 Panathinaikos |
8 | 2.00 | 1.25 | 63% | 100% | 0% | 12.1 | 2.0 |
 Borac Banja Luka |
8 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 63% | 50% | 38% | 10.0 | 2.8 |
 Raków Częstochowa |
5 | 2.00 | 0.60 | 60% | 40% | 60% | 10.0 | 2.3 |
 Rīgas FS |
5 | 1.80 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% | 20% | — | — |
 Motherwell |
5 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% | 40% | 8.7 | 3.0 |
 FC Nordsjaelland |
7 | 2.57 | 0.86 | 57% | 43% | 43% | 9.1 | 2.1 |
 Brighton |
4 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 50% | 0% | 100% | 11.3 | 0.8 |
 Zira |
4 | 1.75 | 0.50 | 50% | 25% | 50% | — | — |
 Shkendija |
4 | 1.75 | 0.50 | 50% | 25% | 75% | — | — |
 Bohemians |
4 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% | 50% | — | — |
 Inter Club d'Escaldes |
6 | 1.50 | 1.17 | 50% | 33% | 50% | 8.5 | 2.7 |
 Inter Turku |
8 | 1.38 | 1.25 | 50% | 75% | 25% | 10.7 | 1.8 |
 NSI Runavik |
4 | 1.25 | 1.50 | 50% | 75% | 0% | — | — |
 IFK Goteborg |
4 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 50% | 75% | 0% | — | — |
 Debreceni VSC |
4 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 50% | 25% | 50% | 11.5 | 1.8 |
 FC Midtjylland |
5 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 40% | 60% | 20% | 9.6 | 1.2 |
 Dinamo Tirana |
5 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 40% | 60% | 0% | — | — |
 Ilves |
5 | 1.20 | 0.80 | 40% | 60% | 20% | — | — |
 Austria Vienna |
5 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 8.2 | 2.2 |
 Riga |
8 | 1.75 | 1.00 | 38% | 75% | 25% | 10.8 | 1.8 |
 FK Jablonec |
8 | 1.38 | 1.00 | 38% | 38% | 50% | 7.8 | 2.2 |
 ML Vitebsk |
3 | 1.33 | 0.33 | 33% | 0% | 67% | — | — |
 Paide |
6 | 1.17 | 1.33 | 33% | 50% | 33% | — | — |
 Hapoel Tel Aviv |
6 | 1.17 | 0.83 | 33% | 33% | 50% | 8.0 | 2.3 |
 KuPS |
3 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 10.7 | 1.7 |
 FK Tobol Kostanay |
3 | 1.00 | 1.33 | 33% | 100% | 0% | — | — |
 FK Liepaja |
3 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 33% | 33% | 33% | — | — |
 Gyori ETO FC |
4 | 2.00 | 1.25 | 25% | 75% | 0% | 9.3 | 1.5 |
 SC Braga |
8 | 1.25 | 0.38 | 25% | 0% | 88% | 8.0 | 1.3 |
 Heart Of Midlothian |
4 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 25% | 75% | 0% | 12.0 | 3.3 |
 Pyunik Yerevan |
4 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 25% | 0% | 75% | — | — |
 Atalanta |
4 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 10.5 | 0.8 |
 Qarabag |
4 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 8.0 | 2.8 |
 HNK Rijeka |
4 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 25% | 50% | 25% | 8.3 | 2.3 |
 UNA Strassen |
4 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 25% | 0% | 50% | — | — |
 Velež |
4 | 0.50 | 1.25 | 25% | 25% | 25% | — | — |
 Flora Tallinn |
4 | 0.25 | 1.75 | 25% | 0% | 25% | — | — |
 Dinamo Minsk |
6 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 17% | 17% | 33% | — | — |
 Alashkert |
3 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0% | 100% | 0% | — | — |
 Bate Borisov |
3 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0% | 67% | 33% | — | — |
 CSKA 1948 |
4 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 12.3 | 2.7 |
 Gent |
7 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0% | 14% | 71% | 9.2 | 1.4 |
 Hibernian |
3 | 0.00 | 0.67 | 0% | 0% | 67% | — | — |
Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.
Football predictions, answered honestly
What are the best UEFA Conference League predictions?
The sharpest public forecast for UEFA Conference League is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every UEFA Conference League fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
Do you offer UEFA Conference League betting tips?
We publish an audit, not tips. For each UEFA Conference League match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.
Measured by TipsAudit
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- Is ProSoccer.gr accurate? Audited against the closing line
- Independent tipster audit: verified track records
- How to check if a tipster is legit
- Can you verify a Telegram tipster? What we found reading their tips
- Are free football prediction sites accurate? We measure them in public
- Which bookmaker has the lowest margin? Live index
- Free value bet finder for football
- What is closing line value (CLV)?
- Free football predictions dataset with closing odds (CSV)
- Our full track record: every prediction, losses included
