EIF 0–2 JIPPO
Final score · Half-time 0–0 · Latest results
In the sharp price we recorded for this match, JIPPO was the most likely outcome at 47% (fair odds 2.15). No value was flagged: no bookmaker price we saw beat the fair price under our rule. Recent form — EIF: LWWWD; JIPPO: WLLWD.
After the whistle
What the market said before kick-off
- EIF win 29% did not happen
- Draw 27% did not happen
- JIPPO win 44% happened
Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed, next to what happened. It is the market's view, not a tip: an outcome priced at 30% happens about 3 times in 10.
Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.
Starting line-ups
EIF
- S. Bah FW
- O. Sallinen MF
- R. Pakkanen DF
- A. Peltola MF
- A. Mikkonen GK
- F. Etu FW
- T. Kaleba DF
- R. Kerrebijn FW
- Lucas Kaufmann FW
- D. Maes DF
- N. Mohammed FW
JIPPO
- P. Piirainen GK
- L. Forss MF
- N. Haataja DF
- E. Honkola FW
- Y. Kikuchi MF
- J. Kiuru FW
- J. Lehtiranta DF
- L. Sahimaa MF
- A. Tarvonen FW
- N. Tykkyläinen DF
- Victor de Paula DF
Pinnacle, margin removed (home / draw / away): 29 / 27 / 44% when the line-ups came out, 29 / 27 / 44% at kick-off. The price barely moved after the line-ups.
In the big leagues, line-up news is usually already in the price by the time it is official.
The most likely result is not the same as value: value is where a bookmaker pays more than the fair price, and the two can point to different outcomes.
Value check before kick-off
No value was flagged for this match: before kick-off, no bookmaker price we saw beat the fair price under our rule.
The market's two most likely results
No single result was 55% likely or more when we logged the match, so this line adds up the two most likely outcomes (double chance).
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp, recorded | 26% | 28% | 47% |
Other estimates
| Our model | 34% | 28% | 37% |
|---|
Sharp, recorded = Pinnacle when we logged the match (it can be days old). Our model = our own estimate, which on average predicts worse than the market.
Match context
EIF averaged 1.0 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game over their last 5 matches in our results database; JIPPO averaged 1.0 and 1.2 over 5.
These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.
Why this price?
Form: most recent match first.
Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.
Proof & methodology
The timestamped record of this prediction, and how the fair price is made.
Public, timestamped record
This hash fingerprints the prediction as recorded: teams, kick-off time, our model probabilities, the Pinnacle prices recorded for it (at logging or, if there were none, the first quoted after logging and before kick-off, which can be written in after the match) and the log time. A later edit to any of them would change it (a rescheduled kick-off changes it too). It does not cover closing prices, the result or the value-bet record above; value flags recorded live have their own seal in the public record. Verify in the public record →
Every day a snapshot of the full public record is published to a public Git repository and timestamped with OpenTimestamps. Timestamped snapshots are never overwritten and the Git history shows any difference, so a later change to a past row is visible by comparing two snapshots. The corrections file lists the corrections we announced. Verify on the public log →
Since 20 June 2026 the public record is snapshotted daily (07:40 Bucharest time: 04:40 UTC in summer time, 05:40 UTC in winter) to an external log. A prediction is externally timestamped before kick-off only if it was in a snapshot taken before the match; predictions logged on match day, or whose Pinnacle price was added after logging, first appear there after kick-off. Value flags have been recorded live only since 26 September 2026; earlier value flags were reconstructed on that date.
Methodology
The fair price comes from the sharp market itself: we strip the margin from Pinnacle-style odds — the most accurate public predictor in existence — and use our calibrated Elo + form model as a cross-check and as the fallback where no sharp price exists. Value is flagged only where a softer bookmaker prices a selection above that fair price, never on long shots (implied probability under 30%), and never beyond a plausible band. Most of the time there is no value — and we say so.
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