League One

Cambridge United 1–2 Huddersfield

Final score · Half-time 0–0 · All of yesterday's results

No sharp market price is available for this match. Our own model makes Cambridge United the most likely outcome at 49%; we make no value call without a sharp benchmark. Recent form — Cambridge United: LDWWD; Huddersfield: DWDWL.

After the whistle

Match stats

Match statsCambridge UnitedHuddersfield
Possession %5050
Expected goals (xG)1.221.13
Shots116
Shots on target44
Corners43
Yellow cards20
Red cards00
Fouls1413
Offsides11
Goalkeeper saves23
Pass accuracy %6974

Referee: H. Blair · Venue: Abbey Stadium, Cambridge

Next matches

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Starting line-ups

Cambridge United 3-4-2-1

  1. J. Eastwood GK
  2. K. Watts DF
  3. Callum Perry DF
  4. L. Bennett MF
  5. D. Ball MF
  6. P. Mpanzu MF
  7. Z. Bradshaw MF
  8. B. Knight MF
  9. Isaac Heath MF
  10. L. Appéré FW

Huddersfield 3-4-2-1

  1. M. Young GK
  2. R. Balker DF
  3. M. Wallace DF
  4. I. Bowat DF
  5. I. Bronkhorst MF
  6. R. Ledson MF
  7. D. Sanches Fernandes MF
  8. M. Harness MF
  9. A. Fletcher MF
  10. J. Taylor FW

The most likely result is not the same as value: value is where a bookmaker pays more than the fair price, and the two can point to different outcomes.

Value check before kick-off

No value

No value was flagged for this match: before kick-off, no bookmaker price we saw beat the fair price under our rule.

Most likely result

1/X Home or draw 75%

When no single result is likely enough, our pick covers the two most probable outcomes (double chance).

1X2
Other estimates
Our model49%26%25%

Sharp, recorded = Pinnacle when we logged the match (it can be days old). Our model = our own estimate, which on average predicts worse than the market.

Fair odds of the pick (as recorded) 1.33
Sharp odds recorded for this prediction (Pinnacle) —
Market Gap —
Confidence —
Prediction result Lost · 2

Match context

The last 2 head-to-head meetings we tracked split 1–0–1 (Cambridge United wins – draws – Huddersfield wins).

Cambridge United scored 1 and conceded 0.8 across their last 5 matches in our results database; Huddersfield scored 2 and conceded 1.2 in 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Market-relevant trends

Huddersfield is averaging 2 goals scored over its last 5 matches.
No value Already reflected in the fair price — no value on Huddersfield here.

We show the trend and whether it is already in the price. Most sites show the streak and let you assume you should bet it.

Why this price?

Cambridge United
L D W W D
avg 1 scored · 0.8 conceded (last 5)
Huddersfield
D W D W L
avg 2 scored · 1.2 conceded (last 5)
Recent head-to-head
18 Apr 2025 Huddersfield 1–2 Cambridge United
20 Dec 2024 Cambridge United 0–4 Huddersfield

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Public, timestamped record

Logged before kick-off
Prediction record
Pick 1/X · Home or draw
Odds recorded for the prediction —
Closing odds pending
Prediction CLV —
Result Lost
Prediction hash — integrity fingerprint ae4775a8754e03b0

This hash fingerprints the prediction as recorded: teams, kick-off time, our model probabilities, the Pinnacle prices recorded for it (at logging or, if there were none, the first quoted after logging and before kick-off, which can be written in after the match) and the log time. A later edit to any of them would change it (a rescheduled kick-off changes it too). It does not cover closing prices, the result or the value-bet record above; value flags recorded live have their own seal in the public record. Verify in the public record →

Every day a snapshot of the full public record is published to a public Git repository and timestamped with OpenTimestamps. Timestamped snapshots are never overwritten and the Git history shows any difference, so a later change to a past row is visible by comparing two snapshots. The corrections file lists the corrections we announced. Verify on the public log →

Since 20 June 2026 the public record is snapshotted daily (07:40 Bucharest time: 04:40 UTC in summer time, 05:40 UTC in winter) to an external log. A prediction is externally timestamped before kick-off only if it was in a snapshot taken before the match; predictions logged on match day, or whose Pinnacle price was added after logging, first appear there after kick-off. Value flags have been recorded live only since 26 September 2026; earlier value flags were reconstructed on that date.

Methodology

The fair price comes from the sharp market itself: we strip the margin from Pinnacle-style odds — the most accurate public predictor in existence — and use our calibrated Elo + form model as a cross-check and as the fallback where no sharp price exists. Value is flagged only where a softer bookmaker prices a selection above that fair price, never on long shots (implied probability under 30%), and never beyond a plausible band. Most of the time there is no value — and we say so.

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