Germany

2. Bundesliga predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every 2. Bundesliga fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times

How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely

2.35 Strong value = 3% or more above the fair odds · 2.35 Value flag = 1.5–3% · 2.35 Micro-edge = under 1.5%, monitor only · Value expired = a gap we flagged earlier that the market has since closed · Not checked yet = no fresh bookmaker or Pinnacle price to compare yet · Fair price only = reference competitions: the fair price only, no value check · ≈45% = fair price recorded earlier; no fresh Pinnacle price right now · XI = Starting line-ups confirmed · = add the match to My day (free account) · Bookmaker prices last updated at 22:34 UTC

Choose your bookmakers to see their price on every row →

Upcoming matches: the best bookmaker price and the fair price for each outcome
Time	Match	1	X	2	Value
Fri · 17:30 UTC	Dynamo DresdenSpVgg Greuther Fürth	52% 1.92 fair 1.94	24% 3.96 fair 4.20	25% 3.93 fair 4.08	Value expired
Fri · 17:30 UTC	Eintracht BraunschweigEnergie Cottbus	52% 1.91 fair 1.94	22% 4.15 fair 4.45	26% 3.65 fair 3.87	Value expired
Sat · 12:00 UTC	1. FC NürnbergSV Darmstadt 98	56% 1.75 fair 1.80	21% 4.53 fair 4.69	23% 4.25 fair 4.33	Value expired
Sat · 12:00 UTC	Holstein KielArminia Bielefeld	39% 2.46 fair 2.57	28% 3.65 fair 3.61	33% 2.95 fair 3.00	Value expired
Sat · 12:00 UTC	VfL Osnabrück1. FC Kaiserslautern	36% 2.70 fair 2.81	25% 3.73 fair 3.95	39% 2.55 fair 2.55	Value expired
Sat · 19:30 UTC	Hertha BSCVfL Wolfsburg	47% 2.10 fair 2.15	23% 4.20 fair 4.28	30% 3.17 fair 3.33	Value expired
Sun · 12:30 UTC	VfL BochumKarlsruher SC	54% 1.85 fair 1.86	22% 4.05 fair 4.48	24% 3.80 fair 4.17	No value
Sun · 12:30 UTC	1. FC MagdeburgFC St. Pauli	41% 2.36 fair 2.46	26% 3.66 fair 3.82	33% 2.87 fair 3.01	No value
Sun · 12:30 UTC	1. FC HeidenheimHannover 96	47% 2.06 fair 2.14	25% 4.00 fair 4.01	28% 3.18 fair 3.54	No value

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
01 Nov	FC St. Pauli – 1. FC Nürnberg	1–3	28%
01 Nov	SpVgg Greuther Fürth – Holstein Kiel	1–0	37%
01 Nov	Hannover 96 – Dynamo Dresden	2–1	51%
31 Oct	Karlsruher SC – 1. FC Heidenheim	2–1	27%
31 Oct	1. FC Kaiserslautern – Hertha BSC	0–3	43%
31 Oct	SV Darmstadt 98 – 1. FC Magdeburg	1–1	25%
31 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg – VfL Osnabrück	2–0	62%
30 Oct	Energie Cottbus – VfL Bochum	1–2	46%
30 Oct	Arminia Bielefeld – Eintracht Braunschweig	3–1	49%
25 Oct	VfL Osnabrück – SpVgg Greuther Fürth	3–0	43%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on 2. Bundesliga

Across the matches we priced in 2. Bundesliga, the market's average 1X2 margin is 8.41%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Pinnacle at 3.58%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Pinnacle → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Mon, 02 Nov · 05:35 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	10	9	1	0	23	8	+15	28
2	1. FC Nürnberg	10	6	3	1	24	13	+11	21
3	VfL Wolfsburg	10	5	4	1	25	14	+11	19
4	1. FC Kaiserslautern	10	5	3	2	9	7	+2	18
5	1. FC Magdeburg	10	5	2	3	21	13	+8	17
6	1. FC Heidenheim	10	4	3	3	17	18	-1	15
7	Arminia Bielefeld	10	4	2	4	16	15	+1	14
8	FC St. Pauli	10	2	6	2	12	12	+0	12
9	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	10	3	3	4	13	16	-3	12
10	VfL Osnabrück	10	3	2	5	14	17	-3	11
11	VfL Bochum	10	3	2	5	8	11	-3	11
12	Hannover 96	10	3	2	5	10	16	-6	11
13	Karlsruher SC	10	3	2	5	13	21	-8	11
14	Energie Cottbus	10	2	4	4	18	20	-2	10
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	10	3	1	6	16	18	-2	10
16	SV Darmstadt 98	10	2	3	5	9	19	-10	9
17	Holstein Kiel	10	1	5	4	10	12	-2	8
18	Dynamo Dresden	10	2	2	6	12	20	-8	8

Top scorers — 2026/27 · updated 2 Nov 2026

#	Player	Team	Goals	Assists
1	F. Klaus	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	7	1
1	J. Grodowski	Arminia Bielefeld	7	1
1	M. Zoma	1. FC Nürnberg	7	0
4	E. Iyoha	1. FC Magdeburg	6	0
5	F. Reese	VfL Wolfsburg	5	7

Top scorers, assists and cards →

Team stats this season

90 matches this season: 3.00 goals per game, 57% over 2.5, 57% both teams scored. xG 3.10 per match (from 85 matches); 11.0 corners and 4.4 cards per match (from 90 matches with statistics).

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets	xG for / against	Corners	Cards
Arminia Bielefeld	10	1.60	1.50	80%	70%	20%	1.30 / 1.27	10.0	2.0
1. FC Nürnberg	10	2.40	1.30	70%	70%	20%	1.60 / 2.01	10.5	2.1
Hertha BSC	10	2.30	0.80	70%	60%	40%	2.07 / 1.17	10.0	2.6
Energie Cottbus	10	1.80	2.00	70%	80%	10%	1.64 / 2.28	12.9	2.1
Karlsruher SC	10	1.30	2.10	70%	50%	20%	1.24 / 1.50	11.2	1.7
Dynamo Dresden	10	1.20	2.00	70%	60%	20%	1.34 / 1.81	10.8	2.0
1. FC Magdeburg	10	2.10	1.30	60%	50%	40%	1.26 / 1.48	9.5	2.4
1. FC Heidenheim	10	1.70	1.80	60%	70%	30%	2.21 / 1.33	12.5	1.6
VfL Osnabrück	10	1.40	1.70	60%	60%	20%	1.62 / 1.64	10.5	2.1
Hannover 96	10	1.00	1.60	60%	60%	10%	1.73 / 1.48	10.7	2.1
SV Darmstadt 98	10	0.90	1.90	60%	50%	10%	1.02 / 1.54	11.7	2.5
VfL Wolfsburg	10	2.50	1.40	50%	60%	30%	2.20 / 1.68	13.4	2.2
Eintracht Braunschweig	10	1.60	1.80	50%	50%	20%	1.65 / 1.58	10.6	2.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	10	1.30	1.60	40%	60%	20%	1.34 / 1.73	12.1	0.8
FC St. Pauli	10	1.20	1.20	40%	70%	30%	1.68 / 1.23	9.9	2.5
Holstein Kiel	10	1.00	1.20	40%	40%	20%	1.45 / 1.54	11.2	3.4
1. FC Kaiserslautern	10	0.90	0.70	40%	10%	70%	1.41 / 1.32	11.1	2.1
VfL Bochum	10	0.80	1.10	30%	50%	10%	1.15 / 1.30	10.2	2.9

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	Hertha BSC	1.3	80.6%	0%
2	1. FC Nürnberg	3.8	8.5%	0.1%
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	4.5	5%	0.3%
4	VfL Wolfsburg	5.2	3%	0.6%
5	1. FC Magdeburg	6.7	1.2%	1.9%
6	Arminia Bielefeld	8.6	0.5%	5.3%
7	VfL Osnabrück	8.7	0.2%	6.4%
8	1. FC Heidenheim	8.9	0.4%	6.5%
9	Hannover 96	9.8	0.2%	9.8%
10	Energie Cottbus	10.4	0.2%	13.1%
11	VfL Bochum	11.2	0.1%	17.4%
12	FC St. Pauli	11.8	0%	21.3%
13	Karlsruher SC	12.2	0%	24.1%
14	SV Darmstadt 98	12.8	0%	30.4%
15	Dynamo Dresden	12.9	0%	30.9%
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	12.9	0%	32.3%
17	Holstein Kiel	14.5	0%	48.9%
18	Eintracht Braunschweig	14.7	0%	50.6%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best 2. Bundesliga predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for 2. Bundesliga is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every 2. Bundesliga fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer 2. Bundesliga betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each 2. Bundesliga match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit