← All predictions today
China

China Super League predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every China Super League fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No match has a fair price yet. Fair prices appear once Pinnacle prices a match, usually about a week before kick-off.

Scheduled matches

  • Beijing Guoan – Chongqing Tongliang Long
  • Shanghai Shenhua – Qingdao Youth Island
  • SHANGHAI SIPG – Shenyang Urban
  • Shandong Luneng – Chengdu Better City
  • Hangzhou Greentown – Henan Jianye
  • Qingdao Jonoon – Sichuan Jiuniu
  • Dalian Zhixing – Tianjin Teda
  • Yunnan Yukun – Wuhan Three Towns

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

DateMatchScoreMarket gave this result
Chongqing Tongliang Long – Qingdao Jonoon 2–0 81%
Qingdao Youth Island – Yunnan Yukun 1–1 25%
Wuhan Three Towns – Shandong Luneng 3–5 52%
Sichuan Jiuniu – Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 27%
Shenyang Urban – Hangzhou Greentown 2–4 38%
Chengdu Better City – Dalian Zhixing 0–1 26%
Henan Jianye – Beijing Guoan 3–4 39%
Tianjin Teda – SHANGHAI SIPG 1–3 45%
SHANGHAI SIPG – Chengdu Better City 3–0 53%
Beijing Guoan – Qingdao Youth Island 1–0 72%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on China Super League

Across the matches we priced in China Super League, the market's average 1X2 margin is 8.64%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Pinnacle at 4.77%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Pinnacle → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of . We read it again after matches finish.

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chengdu Better City 29 15 7 7 51 35 +16 52
2 Dalian Zhixing 29 15 4 10 46 43 +3 49
3 Beijing Guoan 29 14 10 5 57 36 +21 47
4 Shandong Luneng 29 15 5 9 57 47 +10 44
5 SHANGHAI SIPG 29 13 8 8 50 36 +14 42
6 Yunnan Yukun 29 11 7 11 57 60 -3 40
7 Qingdao Youth Island 29 8 15 6 32 38 -6 39
8 Shanghai Shenhua 29 14 5 10 63 50 +13 37
9 Chongqing Tongliang Long 29 8 12 9 31 34 -3 36
10 Hangzhou Greentown 29 11 6 12 51 54 -3 34
11 Sichuan Jiuniu 29 9 5 15 39 51 -12 32
12 Tianjin Teda 29 11 8 10 39 35 +4 31
13 Shenyang Urban 29 8 5 16 41 52 -11 29
14 Henan Jianye 29 8 10 11 38 42 -4 28
15 Wuhan Three Towns 29 5 12 12 44 55 -11 22
16 Qingdao Jonoon 29 6 3 20 34 62 -28 14

Team stats this season

232 matches this season: 3.15 goals per game, 58% over 2.5, 63% both teams scored. xG 3.04 per match (from 155 matches); 10.0 corners and 4.1 cards per match (from 232 matches with statistics).

TeamMPGFGA Over 2.5BTTSClean sheets xG for / against CornersCards
Yunnan Yukun 291.972.07 79%76%17% 1.47 / 1.74 10.31.7
Shanghai Shenhua 292.171.72 72%72%14% 1.98 / 1.63 11.01.8
Shandong Luneng 291.971.62 69%72%14% 1.70 / 1.48 9.42.2
Hangzhou Greentown 291.761.86 69%66%14% 1.69 / 1.57 10.12.3
Shenyang Urban 291.411.79 66%55%10% 1.40 / 1.97 9.02.0
Beijing Guoan 291.971.24 62%62%38% 2.04 / 1.02 10.51.8
SHANGHAI SIPG 291.721.24 62%69%21% 1.39 / 1.41 9.82.6
Qingdao Jonoon 291.172.14 62%62%7% 1.37 / 2.18 9.32.2
Dalian Zhixing 291.591.48 59%62%31% 1.58 / 1.45 10.52.0
Wuhan Three Towns 291.521.90 55%72%14% 1.78 / 1.61 10.12.5
Sichuan Jiuniu 291.341.76 55%59%14% 1.28 / 1.62 10.72.3
Henan Jianye 291.311.45 55%62%17% 1.47 / 1.19 9.72.0
Chengdu Better City 291.761.21 52%55%24% 1.99 / 1.12 10.32.1
Tianjin Teda 291.341.21 48%55%35% 1.19 / 1.59 9.91.9
Qingdao Youth Island 291.101.31 35%59%28% 1.29 / 1.41 9.32.3
Chongqing Tongliang Long 291.071.17 31%55%31% 0.85 / 1.28 10.21.4

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

# Team Avg. finish P(title) P(relegation)
1 Beijing Guoan 3.4 33.1% 0%
2 Dalian Zhixing 4.7 16.9% 0.4%
3 Qingdao Youth Island 4.9 14.9% 0.2%
4 Tianjin Teda 5 13.6% 0.2%
5 Yunnan Yukun 6.9 5.2% 1.4%
6 Shandong Luneng 7.1 4% 2.1%
7 SHANGHAI SIPG 7.7 4.3% 4.3%
8 Henan Jianye 8.1 2.3% 3.2%
9 Hangzhou Greentown 9.1 1.3% 6.8%
10 Shanghai Shenhua 9.2 1.6% 7.6%
11 Chengdu Better City 9.5 1% 7.5%
12 Wuhan Three Towns 10 0.8% 10.2%
13 Shenyang Urban 10.3 0.8% 11.4%
14 Sichuan Jiuniu 11.5 0.2% 19.9%
15 Chongqing Tongliang Long 13.7 0% 51.8%
16 Qingdao Jonoon 14.8 0% 73%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best China Super League predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for China Super League is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every China Super League fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer China Super League betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each China Super League match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit

Found this useful? Send it to a friend who bets.