← All predictions today
Netherlands

Eredivisie predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Eredivisie fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)
How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times

How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely

2.35 Strong value = 3% or more above the fair odds · 2.35 Value flag = 1.5–3% · 2.35 Micro-edge = under 1.5%, monitor only · Value expired = a gap we flagged earlier that the market has since closed · Not checked yet = no fresh bookmaker or Pinnacle price to compare yet · Fair price only = reference competitions: the fair price only, no value check · ≈45% = fair price recorded earlier; no fresh Pinnacle price right now · XI = Starting line-ups confirmed · = add the match to My day (free account) · Bookmaker prices last updated between and · prices older than 6 hours may have moved: re-check at your bookmaker

Choose your bookmakers to see their price on every row →

Upcoming matches: the best bookmaker price and the fair price for each outcome
Time Match 1X2 Value
Willem IIPEC Zwolle
 35% 2.80 fair 2.86 25% 3.85 fair 4.04 40% 2.45 fair 2.48 Value expired
Fortuna SittardTelstar
 47% 2.08 fair 2.15 25% 4.00 fair 3.98 28% 3.50 fair 3.53 Value expired
ADO Den HaagSparta Rotterdam
 38% 2.52 fair 2.63 26% 3.90 fair 3.83 36% 2.80 fair 2.79 Value expired
ExcelsiorGO Ahead Eagles
 35% 2.75 fair 2.87 26% 3.90 fair 3.90 40% 2.55 fair 2.53 Not re-checked
HeerenveenFeyenoord
 22% 4.38 fair 4.57 21% 4.60 fair 4.77 57% 1.74 fair 1.75 Value expired
TwenteAjax
 43% 2.45 fair 2.33 24% 4.10 fair 4.10 33% 2.92 fair 3.05 Not re-checked
CambuurPSV Eindhoven
 14% 8.00 fair 7.14 15% 6.10 fair 6.63 71% 1.38 fair 1.41 No value
AZ AlkmaarGroningen
 63% 1.55 fair 1.58 19% 4.90 fair 5.13 17% 5.75 fair 5.81 Value expired
UtrechtNEC Nijmegen
 39% 2.42 fair 2.55 24% 4.00 fair 4.12 37% 2.88 fair 2.74 Not re-checked

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

DateMatchScoreMarket gave this result
Groningen – Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 22%
Telstar – Utrecht 4–2 27%
Excelsior – Twente 0–9 65%
PEC Zwolle – ADO Den Haag 1–0 41%
Cambuur – GO Ahead Eagles 4–0 38%
Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 1–0 53%
PSV Eindhoven – Willem II 7–0 93%
Heerenveen – NEC Nijmegen 1–0 44%
Feyenoord – Fortuna Sittard 1–1 10%
AZ Alkmaar – Twente 0–2 34%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Eredivisie

Across the matches we priced in Eredivisie, the market's average 1X2 margin is 7.63%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Unibet (NL) at 2.90%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Unibet (NL) → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of . We read it again after matches finish.

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 11 7 4 0 33 12 +21 25
2 Ajax 11 7 3 1 30 13 +17 24
3 PSV Eindhoven 11 7 2 2 35 13 +22 23
4 Twente 11 7 2 2 28 10 +18 23
5 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 2 3 20 13 +7 20
6 Fortuna Sittard 11 5 4 2 18 18 +0 19
7 Heerenveen 11 5 3 3 19 13 +6 18
8 Groningen 11 4 3 4 26 24 +2 15
9 Cambuur 11 4 3 4 23 22 +1 15
10 GO Ahead Eagles 11 3 5 3 23 27 -4 14
11 Sparta Rotterdam 11 3 3 5 20 26 -6 12
12 Utrecht 11 3 3 5 19 31 -12 12
13 NEC Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 17 19 -2 11
14 PEC Zwolle 11 3 2 6 12 23 -11 11
15 Excelsior 11 3 2 6 16 28 -12 11
16 Telstar 11 2 3 6 16 23 -7 9
17 ADO Den Haag 11 1 3 7 13 24 -11 6
18 Willem II 11 0 2 9 10 39 -29 2

Top scorers — 2026/27 · updated 2 Nov 2026

# Player Team Goals Assists
1 S. Tengstedt GO Ahead Eagles 8 2
1 B. Willumsson Groningen 8 0
3 G. Til PSV Eindhoven 7 1
4 T. van Bergen Groningen 6 3
4 S. Mijnans PSV Eindhoven 6 2

Top scorers, assists and cards →

Team stats this season

99 matches this season: 3.82 goals per game, 72% over 2.5, 69% both teams scored. xG 3.34 per match (from 99 matches); 10.3 corners and 3.0 cards per match (from 99 matches with statistics).

TeamMPGFGA Over 2.5BTTSClean sheets xG for / against CornersCards
Groningen 112.362.18 91%91%9% 1.75 / 2.07 9.71.2
Sparta Rotterdam 111.822.36 91%82%0% 1.85 / 1.91 11.81.7
Utrecht 111.732.82 91%91%0% 1.41 / 1.84 10.12.1
Excelsior 111.452.55 91%55%18% 1.18 / 2.03 9.01.4
PSV Eindhoven 113.181.18 82%82%18% 2.47 / 1.37 9.81.6
Cambuur 112.092.00 82%64%27% 1.39 / 1.74 10.21.7
GO Ahead Eagles 112.092.45 82%91%0% 1.70 / 1.61 10.40.8
Willem II 110.913.55 82%73%0% 1.21 / 2.31 11.21.5
Ajax 112.731.18 73%73%27% 2.28 / 1.30 9.71.9
NEC Nijmegen 111.551.73 73%82%0% 1.68 / 1.70 9.71.5
Telstar 111.452.09 73%64%9% 1.41 / 2.00 10.51.4
Feyenoord 113.001.09 64%64%36% 2.67 / 0.96 10.41.3
ADO Den Haag 111.182.18 64%73%0% 1.13 / 1.92 9.41.9
Twente 112.550.91 55%55%36% 2.43 / 0.77 10.50.9
Heerenveen 111.731.18 55%36%46% 1.51 / 1.46 10.21.1
Fortuna Sittard 111.641.64 55%73%18% 0.90 / 2.15 10.41.6
PEC Zwolle 111.092.09 55%46%18% 1.08 / 1.75 11.21.6
AZ Alkmaar 111.821.18 36%46%27% 2.05 / 1.18 11.21.5

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Eredivisie predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Eredivisie is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Eredivisie fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Eredivisie betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Eredivisie match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit

Found this useful? Send it to a friend who bets.