Country · Netherlands

Eredivisie predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Eredivisie fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

benchmark Pinnacle · Edge Score flags real value
Eredivisie
ADO Den Haag — Cambuur
Market probability (margin removed)
1
54%
X
22%
2
24%
1/2 Home or away 78%
Fair odds 1.29
No value Edge Score 0 · the market is right
★ TOP OPPORTUNITY
Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam — Heerenveen
Market probability (margin removed)
1
36%
X
26%
2
38%
1/2 Home or away 74%
Strong value 1 Sparta Rotterdam +3.2%
Fair price 2.62
Betfair 2.70
Live price ·
Eredivisie
Ajax — Excelsior
Market probability (margin removed)
1
77%
X
13%
2
9%
1 Home win 77%
Value flag 1 Ajax +2.2%
Fair price 1.22
Betfair 1.25
Edge shrinking ·
Eredivisie
Willem II — Fortuna Sittard
Market probability (margin removed)
1
40%
X
25%
2
35%
1/2 Home or away 75%
Strong value 2 Fortuna Sittard +3.2%
Fair price 2.57
Unibet (NL) 2.65
Live price ·
Eredivisie
Feyenoord — Utrecht
Market probability (margin removed)
1
75%
X
14%
2
10%
1 Home win 75%
Fair odds 1.33
expired we flagged +3.6% on 1 — the market has since corrected it
Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar — Telstar
Market probability (margin removed)
1
81%
X
11%
2
8%
1 Home win 81%
Micro-edge · monitor only 1 AZ Alkmaar +1.2%
Fair price 1.26
Betfair 1.28
Edge shrinking ·
Eredivisie
Twente — PSV Eindhoven
Market probability (margin removed)
1
32%
X
24%
2
44%
1/2 Home or away 76%
Strong value 1 Twente +3.8%
Fair price 3.03
Unibet (NL) 3.15
Edge shrinking ·
Eredivisie
NEC Nijmegen — GO Ahead Eagles
Market probability (margin removed)
1
56%
X
23%
2
21%
1 Home win 56%
Strong value 1 NEC Nijmegen +4%
Fair price 1.94
Betfair 2.02
Live price ·

Bookmaker margins on Eredivisie

Across the matches we priced in Eredivisie, the market's average 1X2 margin is 6.95%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Betfair at 0.92%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Betfair → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — computed from our own settled results · 2026/27 season

Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 6 5 1 0 22 7 +15 16
2 AZ Alkmaar 6 5 1 0 17 6 +11 16
3 Feyenoord 6 4 2 0 20 7 +13 14
4 Ajax 6 4 1 1 19 7 +12 13
5 Twente 6 4 1 1 12 5 +7 13
6 Excelsior 6 3 1 2 13 7 +6 10
7 Fortuna Sittard 6 3 1 2 12 14 -2 10
8 GO Ahead Eagles 6 2 3 1 15 13 +2 9
9 Groningen 6 2 2 2 12 13 -1 8
10 NEC Nijmegen 6 2 1 3 11 12 -1 7
11 Heerenveen 6 1 3 2 7 9 -2 6
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 2 3 10 13 -3 5
13 Telstar 6 1 2 3 5 11 -6 5
14 Utrecht 6 1 2 3 11 19 -8 5
15 Cambuur 6 1 1 4 9 18 -9 4
16 PEC Zwolle 6 1 1 4 6 17 -11 4
17 Willem II 6 0 2 4 6 19 -13 2
18 ADO Den Haag 6 0 1 5 6 16 -10 1

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Eredivisie predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Eredivisie is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Eredivisie fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Eredivisie betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Eredivisie match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

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