Greece

Greek Super League predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Greek Super League fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times

How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely

2.35 Strong value = 3% or more above the fair odds · 2.35 Value flag = 1.5–3% · 2.35 Micro-edge = under 1.5%, monitor only · Value expired = a gap we flagged earlier that the market has since closed · Not checked yet = no fresh bookmaker or Pinnacle price to compare yet · Fair price only = reference competitions: the fair price only, no value check · ≈45% = fair price recorded earlier; no fresh Pinnacle price right now · XI = Starting line-ups confirmed · = add the match to My day (free account) · Bookmaker prices last updated at 17:24 UTC

Choose your bookmakers to see their price on every row →

Upcoming matches: the best bookmaker price and the fair price for each outcome
Time	Match	1	X	2	Value
Sat · 15:00 UTC	Volos NFCKifisia	33% 2.90 fair 3.06	28% 3.40 fair 3.56	39% 2.65 fair 2.55	Not re-checked
Sat · 17:30 UTC	Aris ThessalonikisPanetolikos	72% 1.40 fair 1.39	18% 4.80 fair 5.62	11% 8.25 fair 9.51	Value expired
Sun · 15:00 UTC	AEK Athens FCLevadiakos	85% 1.17 fair 1.17	10% 7.50 fair 10.06	5% 18.00 fair 21.57	No value
Sun · 17:00 UTC	OFIAtromitos	46% 2.18 fair 2.16	27% 3.40 fair 3.65	26% 3.45 fair 3.80	Not re-checked
Sun · 19:00 UTC	Olympiakos PiraeusPAOK	60% 1.68 fair 1.66	23% 3.92 fair 4.38	17% 5.20 fair 5.91	Not re-checked

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
02 Nov	Kalamata – Iraklis 1908	1–1	30%
02 Nov	Atromitos – Volos NFC	3–0	54%
01 Nov	Panathinaikos – AEK Athens FC	2–0	47%
01 Nov	PAOK – Asteras Tripolis	2–1	75%
01 Nov	Panetolikos – OFI	0–1	43%
01 Nov	Levadiakos – Aris Thessalonikis	3–0	30%
31 Oct	Kifisia – Olympiakos Piraeus	2–3	68%
25 Oct	OFI – PAOK	2–1	19%
25 Oct	Aris Thessalonikis – Atromitos	3–1	59%
25 Oct	Volos NFC – Panathinaikos	0–1	75%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Greek Super League

Across the matches we priced in Greek Super League, the market's average 1X2 margin is 9.51%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Pinnacle at 4.48%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Pinnacle → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Mon, 02 Nov · 20:58 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	9	8	0	1	20	4	+16	24
2	Olympiakos Piraeus	9	7	1	1	15	4	+11	22
3	PAOK	9	6	0	3	18	12	+6	18
4	AEK Athens FC	8	5	2	1	21	5	+16	17
5	Aris Thessalonikis	9	5	1	3	13	17	-4	16
6	OFI	9	5	1	3	14	12	+2	16
7	Kifisia	9	3	2	4	12	14	-2	11
8	Kalamata	9	3	2	4	14	18	-4	11
9	Iraklis 1908	9	2	4	3	10	12	-2	10
10	Panetolikos	9	3	0	6	8	17	-9	9
11	Levadiakos	9	1	3	5	3	11	-8	6
12	Asteras Tripolis	9	1	3	5	8	17	-9	6
13	Atromitos	8	1	2	5	9	12	-3	5
14	Volos NFC	9	0	3	6	6	16	-10	0

Team stats this season

60 matches this season: 2.77 goals per game, 52% over 2.5, 48% both teams scored. xG 2.54 per match (from 57 matches); 8.9 corners and 5.1 cards per match (from 60 matches with statistics).

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets	xG for / against	Corners	Cards
PAOK	9	2.00	1.33	89%	78%	22%	1.88 / 1.43	9.1	1.9
Aris Thessalonikis	9	1.44	1.89	78%	56%	11%	1.34 / 1.48	8.1	2.0
AEK Athens FC	8	2.63	0.63	63%	38%	50%	2.11 / 0.74	8.9	1.9
Kalamata	8	1.63	2.13	63%	63%	0%	1.31 / 1.39	8.8	3.6
Atromitos	7	0.86	1.71	57%	86%	0%	0.70 / 1.50	7.9	2.9
OFI	9	1.56	1.33	56%	44%	44%	1.29 / 1.37	9.3	1.8
Kifisia	9	1.33	1.56	56%	67%	22%	1.29 / 0.66	8.9	3.8
Asteras Tripolis	9	0.89	1.89	56%	67%	11%	0.91 / 1.62	8.8	1.8
Panathinaikos	9	2.22	0.44	44%	33%	56%	2.08 / 0.87	10.1	2.3
Panetolikos	9	0.89	1.89	44%	22%	22%	0.92 / 1.81	9.6	2.6
Iraklis 1908	8	1.13	1.38	38%	50%	38%	0.65 / 1.48	6.0	2.8
Volos NFC	8	0.75	1.63	38%	63%	13%	0.80 / 1.79	8.6	4.3
Olympiakos Piraeus	9	1.67	0.44	22%	22%	67%	1.49 / 0.70	11.1	2.4
Levadiakos	9	0.33	1.22	22%	0%	44%	0.84 / 0.95	9.3	1.9

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Greek Super League predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Greek Super League is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Greek Super League fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Greek Super League betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Greek Super League match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit