Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Primera Nacional fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
Across the matches we priced in Primera Nacional, the market's average 1X2 margin is 8.62%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Betfair Exchange at -0.04%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.
Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →
Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 27 | +20 | 55 |
| 2 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 25 | +9 | 55 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 31 | 15 | +16 | 53 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 35 | +9 | 52 |
| 5 | Temperley | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 33 | 23 | +10 | 50 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 25 | +11 | 49 |
| 7 | Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 28 | +6 | 48 |
| 8 | Deportivo Madryn | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 42 | 28 | +14 | 46 |
| 9 | Almirante Brown | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 16 | +7 | 46 |
| 10 | Colon Santa Fe | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 25 | +10 | 45 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 26 | +5 | 45 |
| 12 | Midland | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 25 | +7 | 44 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 30 | +6 | 40 |
| 14 | Colegiales | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 28 | +1 | 40 |
| 15 | San Martin Tucuman | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 30 | 26 | +4 | 39 |
| 16 | San Martin S.J. | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 27 | +3 | 39 |
| 17 | CA Estudiantes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 25 | +1 | 39 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 39 |
| 19 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 39 |
| 20 | Los Andes | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 17 | +5 | 37 |
| 21 | Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 24 | +4 | 35 |
| 22 | Racing Cordoba | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 35 |
| 23 | Almagro | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 35 |
| 24 | Chaco For Ever | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 33 |
| 25 | Defensores De Belgrano | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 33 |
| 26 | Agropecuario | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 33 |
| 27 | Nueva Chicago | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 32 |
| 28 | Atletico Mitre | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 32 |
| 29 | Central Norte | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 31 |
| 30 | All Boys | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 31 |
| 31 | San Telmo | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 31 |
| 32 | Patronato | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 30 |
| 33 | San Miguel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
| 34 | Chacarita Juniors | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 27 |
| 35 | Acassuso | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
| 36 | Club Atlético Güemes | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 23 |
The sharpest public forecast for Primera Nacional is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Primera Nacional fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
We publish an audit, not tips. For each Primera Nacional match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.