Argentina

Primera Nacional predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Primera Nacional fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No upcoming audited matches in this league right now. The audit runs continuously — check back soon.

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
02 Nov	Chacarita Juniors – Nueva Chicago	2–0	40%
02 Nov	Atletico DE Rafaela – Patronato	0–0	33%
02 Nov	All Boys – CA Estudiantes	1–0	39%
01 Nov	Gimnasia Y Tiro – Quilmes	0–1	19%
01 Nov	San Martin Tucuman – Colegiales	0–0	41%
31 Oct	Colon Santa Fe – Defensores De Belgrano	2–0	60%
31 Oct	Chaco For Ever – Racing Cordoba	3–1	57%
31 Oct	Los Andes – Atletico Mitre	0–0	29%
31 Oct	Deportivo Moron – Ciudad de Bolívar	2–0	58%
31 Oct	Tristan Suarez – Deportivo Maipu	0–0	30%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Primera Nacional

Across the matches we priced in Primera Nacional, the market's average 1X2 margin is 9.49%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Pinnacle at 5.98%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Pinnacle → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Mon, 02 Nov · 20:58 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
Group 1
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	53	33	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	38	31	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	53	37	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	52	31	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	45	27	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	30	26	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	30	33	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	35	35	+0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	39	37	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	27	26	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	22	30	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	30	41	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	31	42	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	32	45	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	25	34	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	23	32	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	25	35	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	27	42	-15	33
Group 2
1	Tristan Suarez	36	16	16	4	34	16	+18	64
2	Atlanta	36	19	5	12	42	34	+8	62
3	Temperley	36	16	13	7	43	31	+12	61
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	36	16	10	10	53	49	+4	58
5	Midland	36	15	10	11	43	29	+14	55
6	Deportivo Maipu	36	14	10	12	43	34	+9	52
7	Colegiales	36	14	10	12	36	32	+4	52
8	Gimnasia Y Tiro	36	14	10	12	37	35	+2	52
9	San Martin S.J.	36	13	12	11	42	36	+6	51
10	San Martin Tucuman	36	11	14	11	39	37	+2	47
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	35	12	10	13	29	35	-6	46
12	Agropecuario	36	12	10	14	31	39	-8	46
13	Quilmes	36	12	9	15	33	30	+3	45
14	Almagro	36	11	9	16	33	44	-11	42
15	Chacarita Juniors	35	11	6	18	27	35	-8	39
16	Patronato	35	7	16	12	29	35	-6	37
17	Nueva Chicago	35	9	10	16	25	34	-9	37
18	Club Atlético Güemes	36	6	9	21	28	62	-34	27

Team stats this season

644 matches this season: 1.96 goals per game, 33% over 2.5, 40% both teams scored.

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets
Gimnasia Jujuy	36	1.47	1.36	58%	67%	19%
Godoy Cruz	36	1.47	0.92	50%	50%	33%
Deportivo Moron	36	1.47	1.03	50%	50%	31%
Deportivo Madryn	36	1.44	0.86	50%	50%	39%
Club Atlético Güemes	36	0.78	1.72	44%	56%	11%
Racing Cordoba	36	0.89	1.25	42%	44%	28%
Temperley	36	1.19	0.86	39%	47%	36%
Deportivo Maipu	36	1.19	0.94	39%	44%	33%
Atlanta	36	1.17	0.94	39%	39%	47%
Chaco For Ever	36	1.08	1.03	39%	44%	36%
San Martin S.J.	35	1.17	1.03	37%	60%	26%
Almagro	36	0.92	1.22	36%	47%	25%
Atletico Mitre	36	0.86	1.17	36%	39%	42%
San Telmo	36	0.83	1.14	36%	33%	39%
Colon Santa Fe	36	1.25	0.75	33%	36%	47%
San Martin Tucuman	36	1.08	1.03	33%	44%	36%
Ferro Carril Oeste	36	1.06	0.86	33%	36%	47%
Gimnasia Y Tiro	36	1.03	0.97	33%	44%	33%
Colegiales	36	1.00	0.89	33%	33%	47%
Midland	36	1.19	0.81	31%	36%	47%
Quilmes	36	0.92	0.83	31%	22%	42%
Agropecuario	36	0.86	1.08	31%	33%	39%
San Miguel	36	0.75	1.17	31%	47%	28%
CA Estudiantes	35	1.00	0.97	29%	37%	37%
Atletico DE Rafaela	35	0.83	1.00	29%	34%	46%
Defensores De Belgrano	36	0.69	0.94	28%	33%	39%
Chacarita Juniors	35	0.77	1.00	26%	29%	34%
Ciudad de Bolívar	36	0.83	0.92	25%	39%	44%
Acassuso	36	0.69	0.97	25%	25%	39%
Nueva Chicago	34	0.74	0.97	24%	32%	32%
Patronato	35	0.83	1.00	23%	31%	37%
Tristan Suarez	36	0.94	0.44	22%	28%	69%
Almirante Brown	36	0.83	0.72	22%	31%	53%
Los Andes	36	0.75	0.72	22%	31%	47%
Central Norte	36	0.64	0.89	22%	39%	36%
All Boys	35	0.60	0.86	20%	37%	43%

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Primera Nacional predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Primera Nacional is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Primera Nacional fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Primera Nacional betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Primera Nacional match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit