Swiss Super League predictions
Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Swiss Super League fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
Upcoming audited matches
best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times
How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely
| Time | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54% 1.85 fair 1.86 | 23% 4.20 fair 4.36 | 23% 4.10 fair 4.31 | Value expired | ||
| 37% 2.75 fair 2.72 | 24% 4.00 fair 4.08 | 39% 2.50 fair 2.58 | Not re-checked | ||
| 35% 2.88 fair 2.86 | 24% 4.20 fair 4.13 | 41% 2.32 fair 2.45 | Not re-checked | ||
| 78% 1.27 fair 1.29 | 12% 7.20 fair 8.12 | 10% 9.50 fair 10.01 | No value | ||
| 62% 1.68 fair 1.63 +3.3% | 19% 4.70 fair 5.17 | 19% 5.00 fair 5.23 | Strong value | ||
| 38% 2.55 fair 2.66 | 26% 3.85 fair 3.80 | 36% 2.60 fair 2.77 | No value |
Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off
| Date | Match | Score | Market gave this result |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Sion – Lausanne | 1–0 | 65% | |
| FC Basel 1893 – Grasshoppers | 0–0 | 23% | |
| FC Thun – FC Lugano | 2–3 | 49% | |
| BSC Young Boys – FC ST. Gallen | 2–0 | 59% | |
| Servette FC – FC Vaduz | 2–1 | 50% | |
| FC Zurich – FC Luzern | 2–1 | 35% | |
| FC ST. Gallen – Lausanne | 1–0 | 70% | |
| FC Vaduz – FC Basel 1893 | 3–0 | 37% | |
| Grasshoppers – BSC Young Boys | 0–2 | 68% | |
| FC Lugano – FC Luzern | 4–0 | 57% |
Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.
Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table
Official table from API-Football, as of . We read it again after matches finish.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 9 | +25 | 31 |
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 35 | 18 | +17 | 25 |
| 3 | FC Sion | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Zurich | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
| 5 | Servette FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 | FC ST. Gallen | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
| 7 | FC Basel 1893 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 14 |
| 8 | FC Luzern | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Vaduz | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
| 12 | Lausanne | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 |
Team stats this season
67 matches this season: 3.61 goals per game, 73% over 2.5, 66% both teams scored. xG 3.33 per match (from 63 matches); 10.6 corners and 4.7 cards per match (from 66 matches with statistics).
| Team | MP | GF | GA | Over 2.5 | BTTS | Clean sheets | xG for / against | Corners | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 2.00 | 2.09 | 100% | 91% | 9% | 1.58 / 1.92 | 10.4 | 2.4 | |
| 11 | 3.09 | 0.82 | 91% | 64% | 36% | 1.78 / 1.32 | 9.8 | 2.4 | |
| 11 | 1.82 | 2.09 | 91% | 91% | 0% | 1.37 / 1.96 | 9.7 | 2.5 | |
| 11 | 3.18 | 1.64 | 82% | 73% | 27% | 2.32 / 1.30 | 9.6 | 2.3 | |
| 11 | 2.18 | 1.55 | 82% | 64% | 27% | 2.17 / 1.51 | 10.5 | 1.9 | |
| 11 | 1.73 | 2.73 | 82% | 73% | 9% | 1.45 / 2.04 | 10.8 | 2.5 | |
| 11 | 1.64 | 2.18 | 82% | 73% | 9% | 1.94 / 2.04 | 11.5 | 2.6 | |
| 12 | 1.42 | 1.67 | 67% | 58% | 25% | 1.21 / 1.59 | 10.0 | 2.1 | |
| 11 | 1.55 | 1.91 | 64% | 55% | 18% | 1.84 / 1.41 | 11.7 | 1.8 | |
| 11 | 1.45 | 1.27 | 55% | 55% | 18% | 1.47 / 1.31 | 12.5 | 2.6 | |
| 12 | 1.08 | 2.17 | 50% | 58% | 33% | 1.78 / 2.11 | 11.3 | 2.4 | |
| 11 | 0.64 | 1.55 | 36% | 36% | 18% | 0.92 / 1.52 | 10.0 | 3.2 |
Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.
Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings
| # | Team | Avg. finish | P(title) | P(relegation) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 1.1 | 89.8% | 0% |
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 2.3 | 8.9% | 0% |
| 3 | FC Sion | 3.2 | 1.3% | 0% |
| 4 | FC ST. Gallen | 5 | 0% | 0.4% |
| 5 | Servette FC | 5.7 | 0% | 0.8% |
| 6 | FC Zurich | 6.5 | 0% | 1.8% |
| 7 | FC Basel 1893 | 6.7 | 0% | 2.8% |
| 8 | FC Luzern | 7.6 | 0% | 6.5% |
| 9 | FC Thun | 8.6 | 0% | 15.4% |
| 10 | FC Vaduz | 9.8 | 0% | 37.1% |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 10.3 | 0% | 53.8% |
| 12 | Lausanne | 11.3 | 0% | 81.4% |
How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.
Football predictions, answered honestly
What are the best Swiss Super League predictions?
The sharpest public forecast for Swiss Super League is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Swiss Super League fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
Do you offer Swiss Super League betting tips?
We publish an audit, not tips. For each Swiss Super League match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.
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