Finland

Veikkausliiga predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Veikkausliiga fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times

How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely

2.35 Strong value = 3% or more above the fair odds · 2.35 Value flag = 1.5–3% · 2.35 Micro-edge = under 1.5%, monitor only · Value expired = a gap we flagged earlier that the market has since closed · Not checked yet = no fresh bookmaker or Pinnacle price to compare yet · Fair price only = reference competitions: the fair price only, no value check · ≈45% = fair price recorded earlier; no fresh Pinnacle price right now · XI = Starting line-ups confirmed · = add the match to My day (free account) · Bookmaker prices last updated between 16:34 UTC and 17:20 UTC · prices older than 6 hours may have moved: re-check at your bookmaker

Choose your bookmakers to see their price on every row →

Upcoming matches: the best bookmaker price and the fair price for each outcome
Time	Match	1	X	2	Value
Sun · 13:00 UTC	GnistanVPS	40% 2.38 fair 2.51	26% 3.60 fair 3.89	34% 2.85 fair 2.91	No value
Sun · 13:00 UTC	HJK HelsinkiAC Oulu	78% 1.28 fair 1.28	13% 6.20 fair 7.49	8% 9.70 fair 11.91	No value
Sun · 13:00 UTC	KuPSInter Turku	32% 2.90 fair 3.09	27% 3.42 fair 3.73	41% 2.47 fair 2.45	Not re-checked

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
02 Nov	VPS – HJK Helsinki	0–4	68%
02 Nov	Inter Turku – Gnistan	4–3	70%
01 Nov	AC Oulu – KuPS	2–0	22%
29 Oct	KuPS – Gnistan	1–1	19%
29 Oct	Inter Turku – HJK Helsinki	2–4	34%
28 Oct	AC Oulu – VPS	0–0	26%
25 Oct	HJK Helsinki – KuPS	2–2	25%
25 Oct	FF Jaro – PK-35	1–0	56%
24 Oct	Gnistan – AC Oulu	3–4	27%
24 Oct	VPS – Inter Turku	0–1	58%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Veikkausliiga

Across the matches we priced in Veikkausliiga, the market's average 1X2 margin is 9.05%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Pinnacle at 3.94%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Pinnacle → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Mon, 02 Nov · 18:58 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
Champion Group
1	HJK Helsinki	31	17	7	7	63	36	+27	58
2	Inter Turku	31	16	10	5	41	27	+14	58
3	KuPS	31	14	11	6	46	31	+15	53
4	AC Oulu	31	14	5	12	38	37	+1	47
5	Gnistan	31	11	10	10	47	46	+1	43
6	VPS	31	11	7	13	31	38	-7	40
Relegration Group
1	Lahti	27	11	6	10	35	26	+9	39
2	Ilves	27	11	5	11	45	39	+6	38
3	Turku PS	27	8	8	11	29	33	-4	32
4	SJK	27	6	9	12	29	37	-8	27
5	FF Jaro	27	4	9	14	22	49	-27	21
6	Mariehamn	27	4	7	16	22	49	-27	19
Veikkausliiga
1	KuPS	22	12	7	3	38	23	+15	43
2	Inter Turku	22	11	9	2	29	16	+13	42
3	HJK Helsinki	22	11	4	7	36	27	+9	37
4	Gnistan	22	10	6	6	36	29	+7	36
5	AC Oulu	22	10	4	8	25	25	+0	34
6	VPS	22	9	6	7	29	22	+7	33
7	Lahti	22	9	5	8	26	19	+7	32
8	Turku PS	22	8	7	7	28	23	+5	31
9	Ilves	22	7	4	11	34	37	-3	25
10	SJK	22	4	7	11	25	33	-8	19
11	FF Jaro	22	3	6	13	18	44	-26	15
12	Mariehamn	22	3	5	14	17	43	-26	14

Team stats this season

174 matches this season: 2.51 goals per game, 43% over 2.5, 48% both teams scored. xG 2.96 per match (from 47 matches); 9.5 corners and 3.5 cards per match (from 110 matches with statistics).

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets	xG for / against	Corners	Cards
HJK Helsinki	30	1.97	1.20	63%	47%	37%	2.39 / 1.17	8.4	1.0
Ilves	27	1.67	1.44	59%	56%	33%	—	10.0	1.6
Turku PS	27	1.07	1.22	44%	48%	30%	1.79 / 1.99	9.1	1.8
SJK	27	1.04	1.30	44%	48%	26%	1.83 / 1.87	9.9	2.6
Mariehamn	27	0.81	1.81	44%	44%	11%	1.21 / 1.93	10.5	1.9
Gnistan	30	1.47	1.40	43%	57%	20%	0.76 / 1.76	10.4	2.0
FF Jaro	29	0.83	1.72	41%	48%	17%	1.34 / 1.42	10.2	1.7
AC Oulu	31	1.23	1.19	39%	42%	39%	1.29 / 1.75	9.7	1.7
KuPS	31	1.48	1.00	36%	55%	29%	1.57 / 1.34	9.4	1.4
Inter Turku	30	1.23	0.80	33%	43%	53%	1.61 / 1.13	8.7	1.5
Lahti	27	1.22	0.93	33%	44%	37%	1.64 / 1.43	9.1	1.9
VPS	30	1.03	1.13	33%	40%	30%	1.27 / 1.07	8.5	2.1

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Veikkausliiga predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Veikkausliiga is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Veikkausliiga fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Veikkausliiga betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Veikkausliiga match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit