Philadelphia Union

Next matches at the fair price, recent results next to what the market expected, and form over the last 10 matches.

Next matches

fair probability of each result and the best bookmaker price

How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times

How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely

2.35 Strong value = 3% or more above the fair odds · 2.35 Value flag = 1.5–3% · 2.35 Micro-edge = under 1.5%, monitor only · Value expired = a gap we flagged earlier that the market has since closed · Not checked yet = no fresh bookmaker or Pinnacle price to compare yet · Fair price only = reference competitions: the fair price only, no value check · ≈45% = fair price recorded earlier; no fresh Pinnacle price right now · XI = Starting line-ups confirmed · = add the match to My day (free account) · Bookmaker prices last updated at 17:34 UTC

Choose your bookmakers to see their price on every row →

Upcoming matches: the best bookmaker price and the fair price for each outcome
Time	Match	1	X	2	Value
USA · MLS
Thu · 00:30 UTC	Nashville SCPhiladelphia Union	53% 1.93 fair 1.89 +2.2%	23% 4.20 fair 4.34	24% 4.00 fair 4.17	Value flag

Recent results

what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Time	Opponent	Score	Market gave this result
24 Oct	vs New England Revolution MLS	L 1–2	17%
17 Oct	vs Charlotte MLS	D 2–2	18%
15 Oct	at Chicago Fire MLS	W 3–1	37%
10 Oct	vs Real Salt Lake MLS	W 2–1	72%
26 Sep	vs Orlando City SC MLS	W 4–2	63%
20 Sep	at Sporting Kansas City MLS	W 4–3	65%
14 Sep	at San Diego MLS	W 5–0	41%
09 Sep	vs FC Cincinnati MLS	W 5–0	58%
05 Sep	vs CF Montreal MLS	W 2–0	69%
29 Aug	at New York Red Bulls MLS	W 3–1	45%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Form

last 10 matches, all competitions

	Last 10	Last 10 home	Last 10 away
Goals scored per match	3.1	2.5	2.7
Goals conceded per match	1.2	1.2	2.2
Over 2.5 goals	90%	80%	80%
Both teams scored	70%	70%	80%
Clean sheets	30%	30%	10%
Failed to score	0%	0%	10%
xG for per match	2.42	2.57	1.96
xG against per match	1.24	1.02	1.82
Corners per match (for / against)	5.7 / 3.9	6.5 / 2.9	5.2 / 5.1
Matches (n)	10	10	10
Matches with xG	9	9	9
Matches with stats	10	10	10

Form is context, not a forecast: the market already knows it. Each column counts that team's own last 10 matches of that kind (all, home, away), so the three columns cover different matches. n = matches counted; xG and corners only where API-Football has match stats.

Measured by TipsAudit