MLS Predictions — Fair Odds & Value Bets

Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	24	16	5	3	48	19	+29	53
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	23	14	4	5	52	21	+31	46
3	Inter Miami	24	12	8	4	59	44	+15	44
4	Houston Dynamo	24	13	4	7	32	27	+5	43
5	Los Angeles FC	25	11	7	7	40	24	+16	40
6	New England Revolution	24	12	4	8	39	30	+9	40
7	FC Dallas	24	11	7	6	47	41	+6	40
8	Chicago Fire	23	11	6	6	44	33	+11	39
9	Charlotte	24	11	6	7	42	33	+9	39
10	San Jose Earthquakes	24	11	5	8	43	36	+7	38
11	St. Louis City	24	10	8	6	38	33	+5	38
12	Portland Timbers	24	9	5	10	46	45	+1	32
13	Colorado Rapids	24	10	2	12	32	32	+0	32
14	FC Cincinnati	23	8	7	8	49	56	-7	31
15	Orlando City SC	24	9	4	11	41	56	-15	31
16	San Diego	24	8	6	10	42	37	+5	30
17	Philadelphia Union	24	8	6	10	41	39	+2	30
18	New York City FC	24	7	8	9	37	33	+4	29
19	Real Salt Lake	23	8	5	10	37	37	+0	29
20	Minnesota United FC	24	7	8	9	35	39	-4	29
21	Toronto FC	24	6	11	7	38	43	-5	29
22	Los Angeles Galaxy	25	7	8	10	30	39	-9	29
23	DC United	23	6	10	7	30	37	-7	28
24	Seattle Sounders	22	7	6	9	24	29	-5	27
25	New York Red Bulls	24	7	6	11	32	48	-16	27
26	Austin	24	6	8	10	30	43	-13	26
27	Columbus Crew	24	6	5	13	35	41	-6	23
28	Atlanta United FC	24	6	4	14	29	43	-14	22
29	CF Montreal	24	5	6	13	31	50	-19	21
30	Sporting Kansas City	23	4	3	16	23	58	-35	15

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	Nashville SC	2.7	42.6%	0%
2	St. Louis City	4.4	17.7%	0%
3	Philadelphia Union	5	14.5%	0%
4	Houston Dynamo	6	9.9%	0%
5	Portland Timbers	8.1	3.5%	0%
6	Charlotte	9.4	2.3%	0.1%
7	Inter Miami	9.6	2.2%	0.1%
8	Vancouver Whitecaps	10.1	1.4%	0.1%
9	Chicago Fire	10.2	1.9%	0.1%
10	Colorado Rapids	11.4	0.8%	0%
11	FC Dallas	11.6	0.9%	0.1%
12	Orlando City SC	11.8	0.8%	0.1%
13	Los Angeles FC	12.3	0.3%	0.1%
14	San Diego	12.6	0.5%	0.1%
15	FC Cincinnati	13.7	0.3%	0.4%
16	New York City FC	15.6	0.1%	0.9%
17	Toronto FC	16.6	0.2%	1.4%
18	New England Revolution	16.6	0.1%	1.2%
19	Austin	17.6	0%	1.8%
20	Atlanta United FC	18.9	0%	3.5%
21	Minnesota United FC	20.6	0%	7.7%
22	Los Angeles Galaxy	22	0%	10.3%
23	Columbus Crew	22.1	0%	13.8%
24	DC United	23.4	0%	19.1%
25	Seattle Sounders	23.9	0%	25.5%
26	CF Montreal	24	0%	24.3%
27	Real Salt Lake	25.1	0%	35.6%
28	New York Red Bulls	25.2	0%	34.8%
29	San Jose Earthquakes	26	0%	43.2%
30	Sporting Kansas City	28.3	0%	75.9%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best MLS predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for MLS is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every MLS fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer MLS betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each MLS match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.