Next matches
fair probability of each result and the best bookmaker priceHow to read the table: colours, symbols and price times
How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely
| Time | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41% 2.35 fair 2.47 | 30% 3.50 fair 3.29 +6.2% | 29% 3.20 fair 3.44 | Strong value | ||
Recent results
what happened next to the market's view before kick-off| Time | Opponent | Score | Market gave this result |
|---|---|---|---|
| at Hellas Verona Serie B | D 1–1 | 29% | |
| vs Cremonese Serie B | W 3–1 | 48% | |
| at Vicenza Virtus Serie B | W 3–0 | 36% | |
| at Mantova Serie B | D 2–2 | 30% | |
| vs Virtus Entella Serie B | L 1–4 | 19% | |
| at Juve Stabia Serie B | W 3–0 | 42% | |
| vs Catanzaro Serie B | W 2–1 | — | |
| vs Padova Serie B | L 0–1 | 18% | |
| at Lazio Serie A | L 1–2 | — | |
| vs Napoli Serie A | L 0–3 | — |
Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.
Form
last 10 matches, all competitions| Last 10 | Last 10 home | Last 10 away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 70% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% | 50% |
| xG for per match | 1.74 | 1.46 | 1.23 |
| xG against per match | 1.01 | 1.18 | 1.40 |
| Corners per match (for / against) | 5.5 / 5.2 | 4.6 / 4.5 | 4.2 / 5.0 |
| Matches (n) | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Matches with xG | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| Matches with stats | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Form is context, not a forecast: the market already knows it. Each column counts that team's own last 10 matches of that kind (all, home, away), so the three columns cover different matches. n = matches counted; xG and corners only where API-Football has match stats.
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