Italy

Serie B predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Serie B fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times

How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely

2.35 Strong value = 3% or more above the fair odds · 2.35 Value flag = 1.5–3% · 2.35 Micro-edge = under 1.5%, monitor only · Value expired = a gap we flagged earlier that the market has since closed · Not checked yet = no fresh bookmaker or Pinnacle price to compare yet · Fair price only = reference competitions: the fair price only, no value check · ≈45% = fair price recorded earlier; no fresh Pinnacle price right now · XI = Starting line-ups confirmed · = add the match to My day (free account) · Bookmaker prices last updated between 16:32 UTC and 16:34 UTC · prices older than 6 hours may have moved: re-check at your bookmaker

Choose your bookmakers to see their price on every row →

Upcoming matches: the best bookmaker price and the fair price for each outcome
Time	Match	1	X	2	Value
Fri · 19:30 UTC	AscoliPalermo	31% 3.20 fair 3.20	28% 3.55 fair 3.60	41% 2.30 fair 2.44	Value expired
Sat · 14:00 UTC	PisaSudtirol	61% 1.64 fair 1.64	22% 4.20 fair 4.49	17% 5.50 fair 5.95	Value expired
Sat · 14:00 UTC	CesenaCatanzaro	46% 2.16 fair 2.18	27% 3.60 fair 3.74	27% 3.40 fair 3.65	No value
Sat · 14:00 UTC	Juve StabiaArezzo	54% 1.80 fair 1.85	26% 3.75 fair 3.84	20% 4.70 fair 5.06	Value expired
Sat · 14:00 UTC	PadovaEmpoli	44% 2.15 fair 2.25	28% 3.40 fair 3.55	27% 3.50 fair 3.66	No value
Sat · 16:15 UTC	MantovaHellas Verona	38% 2.55 fair 2.66	28% 3.60 fair 3.60	35% 2.75 fair 2.90	No value
Sat · 18:30 UTC	BeneventoAvellino	52% 1.86 fair 1.91	26% 3.65 fair 3.88	22% 4.20 fair 4.59	No value
Sun · 14:00 UTC	Virtus EntellaModena	30% 3.15 fair 3.30	29% 3.30 fair 3.39	40% 2.38 fair 2.48	Value expired
Sun · 16:15 UTC	CarrareseSampdoria	39% 2.55 fair 2.58	30% 3.40 fair 3.34	31% 2.90 fair 3.19	Value expired
Sun · 18:30 UTC	Vicenza VirtusCremonese	32% 2.90 fair 3.13	29% 3.40 fair 3.43	39% 2.50 fair 2.57	No value

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
01 Nov	Palermo – Vicenza Virtus	3–1	66%
01 Nov	Hellas Verona – Carrarese	3–0	57%
01 Nov	Empoli – Juve Stabia	2–2	32%
01 Nov	Avellino – Pisa	2–0	32%
01 Nov	Arezzo – Ascoli	0–0	28%
31 Oct	Sampdoria – Virtus Entella	2–0	39%
31 Oct	Catanzaro – Padova	1–1	29%
31 Oct	Sudtirol – Cesena	1–1	31%
31 Oct	Modena – Mantova	1–1	27%
31 Oct	Cremonese – Benevento	2–0	42%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Bookmaker margins on Serie B

Across the matches we priced in Serie B, the market's average 1X2 margin is 9.09%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Pinnacle at 3.62%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Pinnacle → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — 2026/27 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Mon, 02 Nov · 05:35 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	10	8	2	0	24	12	+12	26
2	Modena	10	6	2	2	18	10	+8	20
3	Ascoli	10	5	4	1	16	6	+10	19
4	Mantova	10	5	3	2	15	11	+4	18
5	Avellino	10	4	3	3	15	10	+5	15
6	Benevento	10	4	3	3	14	10	+4	15
7	Hellas Verona	10	4	3	3	19	13	+6	15
8	Pisa	10	4	3	3	18	15	+3	15
9	Padova	10	4	2	4	10	11	-1	14
10	Sudtirol	10	3	5	2	11	10	+1	14
11	Cremonese	10	3	3	4	10	11	-1	12
12	Cesena	10	2	6	2	11	14	-3	12
13	Arezzo	10	3	2	5	9	19	-10	11
14	Virtus Entella	10	2	4	4	11	12	-1	10
15	Carrarese	10	3	1	6	9	13	-4	10
16	Juve Stabia	10	3	4	3	11	11	+0	9
17	Vicenza Virtus	10	2	3	5	13	20	-7	9
18	Empoli	10	2	2	6	10	17	-7	8
19	Sampdoria	10	2	2	6	10	18	-8	8
20	Catanzaro	10	1	3	6	11	22	-11	6

Top scorers — 2026/27 · updated 2 Nov 2026

#	Player	Team	Goals	Assists
1	C. Shpendi	Cesena	8	1
2	A. Belotti	Modena	7	0
3	D. Johnsen	Palermo	6	5
3	D. Mosquera	Hellas Verona	6	0
5	Antonio Di Nardo	Juve Stabia	5	0

Top scorers, assists and cards →

Team stats this season

100 matches this season: 2.65 goals per game, 50% over 2.5, 60% both teams scored. xG 2.71 per match (from 92 matches); 9.6 corners and 4.1 cards per match (from 100 matches with statistics).

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets	xG for / against	Corners	Cards
Vicenza Virtus	10	1.30	2.00	80%	70%	10%	1.14 / 1.78	10.2	2.4
Palermo	10	2.40	1.20	70%	80%	20%	2.08 / 1.60	9.7	1.5
Hellas Verona	10	1.90	1.30	70%	70%	30%	1.67 / 1.28	10.3	1.9
Pisa	10	1.80	1.50	70%	60%	20%	1.88 / 1.13	11.4	2.2
Modena	10	1.80	1.00	70%	70%	20%	1.48 / 0.83	9.5	1.7
Arezzo	10	0.90	1.90	70%	50%	30%	1.09 / 1.58	8.2	1.6
Catanzaro	10	1.10	2.20	60%	80%	10%	1.37 / 1.82	11.5	2.2
Sampdoria	10	1.00	1.80	50%	70%	10%	1.26 / 1.30	9.3	2.1
Empoli	10	1.00	1.70	50%	60%	20%	0.96 / 1.73	8.6	2.3
Carrarese	10	0.90	1.30	50%	50%	10%	1.30 / 1.32	10.0	2.1
Mantova	10	1.50	1.10	40%	60%	20%	1.40 / 1.32	8.5	2.1
Avellino	10	1.50	1.00	40%	60%	30%	1.39 / 1.16	9.0	2.0
Benevento	10	1.40	1.00	40%	50%	30%	1.56 / 1.17	10.6	2.9
Cesena	10	1.10	1.40	40%	80%	0%	1.33 / 1.18	9.9	2.4
Juve Stabia	10	1.10	1.10	40%	50%	20%	1.26 / 1.19	9.5	1.3
Virtus Entella	10	1.10	1.20	40%	60%	10%	1.09 / 0.90	7.0	2.1
Cremonese	10	1.00	1.10	40%	30%	40%	1.19 / 1.25	8.1	1.8
Ascoli	10	1.60	0.60	30%	50%	40%	1.58 / 1.22	11.3	2.1
Padova	10	1.00	1.10	30%	50%	40%	1.00 / 1.93	10.5	2.2
Sudtirol	10	1.10	1.00	20%	50%	30%	1.04 / 1.46	8.7	2.2

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Serie B predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Serie B is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Serie B fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Serie B betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Serie B match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit