We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beer Sheva — Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Europa League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.30 | -3.2% | Lost | |
| Bayer Leverkusen — Celje · UEFA Europa League VALUE → | 1 | 1.19 | 1.05 | +13.3% | Won | |
| Anderlecht — Lyon · UEFA Europa League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.32 | -3.9% | Won | |
| AC Milan — Benfica · UEFA Europa League | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.32 | -1.2% | Won | |
| San Martin S.J. — Tristan Suarez · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.28 | -6.1% | Won | |
| Deportivo La Coruna — Sevilla · La Liga VALUE → | 1/X | 1.37 | 1.46 | -6.2% | Lost | |
| Atletico Madrid — Osasuna · La Liga | 1 | 1.46 | 1.33 | +9.8% | Won | |
| Waldhof Mannheim — Rot-Weiß Essen · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.31 | -4.9% | Won | |
| Fortuna Köln — SV Wehen · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.32 | -1.0% | Won | |
| Hansa Rostock — Stuttgart II · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1 | 1.51 | 1.50 | +0.7% | Won | |
| Preußen Münster — FC Saarbrücken · 3. Liga | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.30 | -1.5% | Lost | |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 — Hoffenheim II · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.25 | -1.5% | Won | |
| AIK Stockholm — Mjallby AIF · Allsvenskan VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.30 | -1.6% | Lost | |
| FC Thun — Servette FC · Swiss Super League | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.31 | -3.6% | Won | |
| FC Lugano — FC ST. Gallen · Swiss Super League | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.30 | -5.1% | Won | |
| Omonia Nicosia — Celta Vigo · UEFA Europa League | X/2 | 1.24 | 1.21 | +1.8% | Lost | |
| Ararat-Armenia — Sparta Praha · UEFA Europa League VALUE → | 2 | 1.62 | 1.79 | -9.5% | Won | |
| Auda — Ogre United · Latvia Virsliga | 1 | 1.26 | 1.30 | -3.1% | Won | |
| Lokomotiv Sofia — CSKA Sofia · Bulgaria First League | 2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | +0.0% | Won | |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius — Kauno Žalgiris · Lithuania A Lyga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.27 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Puebla — Toluca · Liga MX | 2 | 1.67 | 1.54 | +8.4% | Won | |
| Sao Paulo — Boca Juniors · Copa Sudamericana VALUE → | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.32 | -3.4% | Won | |
| Chico — Alianza Valledupar · Primera A VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.33 | +0.1% | Won | |
| CRB — Sport Recife · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.26 | -2.3% | Won | |
| Union Espanola — Deportes Temuco · Chile Primera B | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.27 | +0.4% | Lost | |
| Indy Eleven — Brooklyn · USL Championship | 1 | 1.74 | 1.75 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Nautico Recife — Operario-PR · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.24 | -1.1% | Won | |
| Londrina — Ponte Preta · Brazil Serie B | 1 | 1.32 | 1.37 | -3.6% | Won | |
| Tacuary — 12 de Junio VH · Paraguay Division Intermedia | X/2 | 1.14 | 1.22 | -6.7% | Won | |
| Vasco DA Gama — Santa Fe · Copa Sudamericana VALUE → | 1 | 1.48 | 1.40 | +5.7% | Won | |
| Platense — Fluminense · Copa Libertadores VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.39 | 1.45 | -3.8% | Won | |
| San Luis — Antofagasta · Chile Primera B | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.24 | -0.3% | Won | |
| Elche — Real Madrid · La Liga VALUE → | 2 | 1.26 | 1.22 | +3.3% | Won | |
| Atlético Tembetary — Sportivo Carapeguá · Paraguay Division Intermedia VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.21 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Fram Reykjavik — Breidablik · Urvalsdeild | 1 | 1.65 | 1.71 | -3.5% | Lost | |
| Middlesbrough — Millwall · Championship | 1 | 1.68 | 1.42 | +18.3% | Lost | |
| Bristol City — Lincoln · Championship | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.32 | -2.1% | Won | |
| Falkirk — Heart Of Midlothian · Scottish Premiership VALUE → | X/2 | 1.25 | 1.27 | -1.7% | Lost | |
| Motherwell — Aberdeen · Scottish Premiership VALUE → | 1 | 1.69 | 1.87 | -9.6% | Lost | |
| Hibernian — Kilmarnock · Scottish Premiership | 1 | 1.49 | 1.43 | +4.2% | Lost | |
| Korona Kielce — Gornik Zabrze · Ekstraklasa | 1/2 | 1.37 | 1.38 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Alaves — Valencia · La Liga VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.17 | +8.8% | Lost | |
| Ajax — Willem II · Eredivisie VALUE → | 1 | 1.17 | 1.13 | +3.5% | Won | |
| Rayo Vallecano — Espanyol · La Liga VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.34 | -5.4% | Won | |
| SV Meppen — FC Viktoria Köln · 3. Liga | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.26 | -4.2% | Won | |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — Verl · 3. Liga | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.22 | -0.7% | Lost | |
| Würzburger Kickers — Alemannia Aachen · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.27 | -2.9% | Won | |
| MSV Duisburg — Havelse · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1 | 1.22 | 1.29 | -5.4% | Won | |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg — Fortuna Düsseldorf · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.30 | -3.3% | Won | |
| Landskrona BoIS — GIF Sundsvall · Superettan | 1 | 1.55 | 1.39 | +11.5% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.