We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers II — Vancouver Whitecaps II · MLS Next Pro | 1 | 1.57 | 1.56 | +0.6% | Lost | |
| Elche — Real Sociedad · La Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.36 | -2.5% | Won | |
| Estoril — Arouca · Primeira Liga | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.45 | -10.4% | Won | |
| Bromley — AFC Wimbledon · League One | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.33 | -3.5% | Won | |
| Nantes — Nancy · Ligue 2 VALUE → | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.24 | -0.4% | Won | |
| Udinese — Lazio · Serie A VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.39 | 1.41 | -1.7% | Won | |
| Sabadell — Cordoba · Segunda Division | 1/X | 1.33 | 1.33 | -0.5% | Won | |
| Palermo — Sampdoria · Serie B | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.15 | +5.3% | Won | |
| Pogon Szczecin — Wisla Plock · Ekstraklasa | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.37 | -7.9% | Won | |
| OFK Beograd — IMT Novi Beograd · Serbia Super Liga | 1/X | 1.31 | 1.30 | +0.5% | Won | |
| Dunav Ruse — Slavia Sofia · Bulgaria First League | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.33 | +0.2% | Won | |
| Universitatea Craiova — Universitatea Cluj · Romania Liga I VALUE → | 1 | 1.58 | 1.61 | -1.9% | Won | |
| Orebro SK — Ostersunds FK · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.33 | -3.4% | Won | |
| Getafe — Celta Vigo · La Liga VALUE → | 1/X | 1.39 | 1.39 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Ruch Chorzów — Unia Skierniewice · Poland I Liga | 1 | 1.72 | 1.62 | +6.2% | Won | |
| Žalgiris II — Neptūną Klaipėda · Lithuania 1 Lyga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.19 | +1.3% | Won | |
| Rizespor — Alanyaspor · Süper Lig | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.24 | -1.3% | Lost | |
| Göztepe — Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.24 | +1.0% | Lost | |
| FC Midtjylland — FC Nordsjaelland · Danish Superliga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.28 | -3.7% | Lost | |
| Mjallby AIF — IFK Goteborg · Allsvenskan | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.32 | -2.6% | Won | |
| Malmo FF — AIK Stockholm · Allsvenskan | 1 | 1.71 | 1.72 | -0.6% | Lost | |
| Kalmar FF — Djurgardens IF · Allsvenskan | X/2 | 1.22 | 1.19 | +3.0% | Won | |
| Cagliari — Lecce · Serie A VALUE → | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.32 | -5.6% | Won | |
| Rīgas FS — FK Liepaja · Latvia Virsliga VALUE → | 1 | 1.30 | 1.31 | -0.8% | Lost | |
| Riga — BFC Daugavpils · Latvia Virsliga VALUE → | 1 | 1.27 | 1.20 | +5.8% | Lost | |
| Wieczysta Kraków — Zaglebie Lubin · Ekstraklasa VALUE → | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.28 | -2.2% | Won | |
| Klubi-04 — KäPa · Ykkösliiga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.27 | -2.1% | Lost | |
| Hegelmann Litauen — Panevėžys · Lithuania A Lyga | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.28 | +2.1% | Won | |
| Riga FC II — Skanste · Latvia 1. Liga | 1/2 | 1.19 | 1.19 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Žilina II — Slovan Bratislava II · Slovakia 2. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.27 | -1.1% | Won | |
| FC Voluntari — Arges Pitesti · Romania Liga I VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.42 | -5.8% | Won | |
| Cruz Azul — Santos Laguna · Liga MX | 1 | 1.40 | 1.40 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Santa Fe — Fortaleza FC · Primera A VALUE → | 1 | 1.64 | 1.78 | -7.9% | Lost | |
| FBC Melgar — ADT · Peru Liga 1 | 1 | 1.40 | 1.40 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Deportivo Pereira — Millonarios · Primera A | 2 | 1.55 | 1.28 | +21.1% | Lost | |
| Liverpool Montevideo — Boston River · Uruguay Primera Division VALUE → | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.21 | -0.2% | Won | |
| Palestino — Universidad de Concepcion · Primera Division Chile | 1 | 1.68 | 1.81 | -7.2% | Won | |
| Corinthians — Chapecoense-sc · Brazil Serie A | 1 | 1.37 | 1.45 | -5.5% | Lost | |
| Ponte Preta — São Bernardo · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 2 | 1.13 | 1.39 | -18.7% | Won | |
| Botafogo — Palmeiras · Brazil Serie A | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.34 | -1.8% | Lost | |
| Cucuta — Deportivo Pasto · Primera A VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.33 | -3.9% | Won | |
| Juan Pablo II College — Alianza Lima · Peru Liga 1 VALUE → | 2 | 1.73 | 1.68 | +3.0% | Lost | |
| Orense SC — Guayaquil City FC · Ecuador LigaPro VALUE → | 1 | 1.74 | 1.88 | -7.4% | Won | |
| Mushuc Runa SC — Leones del Norte · Ecuador LigaPro | 1/X | 1.17 | 1.19 | -1.3% | Won | |
| Aucas — Barcelona SC · Ecuador LigaPro | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.16 | +10.9% | Won | |
| Deportivo Cuenca — Libertad · Ecuador LigaPro | 1 | 1.68 | 1.78 | -5.6% | Lost | |
| Independiente del Valle — Macara · Ecuador LigaPro | 1 | 1.50 | 1.38 | +8.7% | Won | |
| Tecnico Universitario — LDU de Quito · Ecuador LigaPro VALUE → | X/2 | 1.24 | 1.23 | +0.1% | Won | |
| Delfin SC — Universidad Catolica · Ecuador LigaPro | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.29 | -1.7% | Won | |
| Emelec — Manta FC · Ecuador LigaPro | 1 | 1.50 | 1.50 | +0.0% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.