We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club — São Bernardo · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.28 | -0.2% | Won | |
| Corinthians — Remo · Brazil Serie A | 1 | 1.54 | 1.53 | +0.7% | Won | |
| Botafogo — Vitoria · Brazil Serie A | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.21 | -3.6% | Won | |
| Sarmiento Junin — Argentinos JRS · Argentina Liga Profesional | X/2 | 1.22 | 1.23 | -1.4% | Won | |
| Belgrano Cordoba — Rosario Central · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.33 | 1.36 | -2.4% | Won | |
| Bolívar — Gremio · Copa Sudamericana | 1 | 1.63 | 1.56 | +4.5% | Won | |
| Leiknir R. — Throttur Reykjavik · 1. Deild | 2 | 1.62 | 1.74 | -6.9% | Won | |
| Lanus — Cienciano · Copa Sudamericana | 1 | 1.38 | 1.31 | +5.3% | Won | |
| Nautico Recife — Londrina · Brazil Serie B | 1 | 1.71 | 1.88 | -9.0% | Won | |
| Chapecoense-sc — Flamengo · Brazil Serie A | 2 | 1.50 | 1.37 | +9.5% | Won | |
| Sao Paulo — Atletico Paranaense · Brazil Serie A | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.26 | -1.6% | Lost | |
| Internacional — Cruzeiro · Brazil Serie A | 1/X | 1.33 | 1.42 | -6.2% | Lost | |
| Sporting Cristal — RB Bragantino · Copa Sudamericana | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.33 | -0.8% | Lost | |
| Goias — Sport Recife · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.28 | +0.2% | Won | |
| Operario-PR — Ponte Preta · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1 | 1.31 | 1.31 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Ceara — CRB · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.33 | -7.9% | Lost | |
| Coritiba — Palmeiras · Brazil Serie A | X/2 | 1.30 | 1.23 | +6.2% | Won | |
| Independiente Medellin — Vasco DA Gama · Copa Sudamericana VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.35 | 1.41 | -4.6% | Lost | |
| Bodo/Glimt — Ham-Kam · Eliteserien VALUE → | 1 | 1.11 | 1.09 | +1.8% | Won | |
| Lillestrom — Viking · Eliteserien VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.28 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Vila Nova — Fortaleza EC · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.35 | 1.38 | -2.0% | Won | |
| UCV — Santos · Copa Sudamericana | X/2 | 1.21 | 1.17 | +3.4% | Won | |
| Novorizontino — Criciuma · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.30 | -4.8% | Lost | |
| Avai — America Mineiro · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.33 | -1.9% | Won | |
| Atletico-MG — Bahia · Brazil Serie A | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.24 | +4.1% | Won | |
| Club Nacional — Tigre · Copa Sudamericana | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.29 | -2.7% | Lost | |
| Falkenbergs FF — Helsingborg · Superettan | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.30 | -4.2% | Lost | |
| KäPa — Klubi-04 · Ykkösliiga | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.29 | +0.2% | Won | |
| Londrina — Botafogo SP · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.35 | 1.57 | -14.0% | Won | |
| Atletico Goianiense — Athletic Club · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.34 | -10.3% | Won | |
| HK Kopavogur — Vestri · 1. Deild | 1/2 | 1.18 | 1.13 | +4.2% | Won | |
| FH hafnarfjordur — Breidablik · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.19 | 1.24 | -3.5% | Lost | |
| Keflavik — IA Akranes · Urvalsdeild | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.27 | -1.0% | Won | |
| Norrby IF — GIF Sundsvall · Superettan | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.29 | -3.0% | Won | |
| Orgryte IS — Djurgardens IF · Allsvenskan | 2 | 1.44 | 1.37 | +5.1% | Lost | |
| Kalmar FF — Malmo FF · Allsvenskan VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.29 | -1.6% | Lost | |
| Mariehamn — Lahti · Veikkausliiga | 2 | 1.56 | 1.53 | +2.0% | Won | |
| Turku PS — Ilves · Veikkausliiga | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.31 | -0.6% | Won | |
| KR Reykjavik — Stjarnan · Urvalsdeild | 1 | 1.56 | 1.52 | +2.6% | Won | |
| FF Jaro — Inter Turku · Veikkausliiga | 2 | 1.53 | 1.85 | -17.3% | Lost | |
| Halmstad — BK Hacken · Allsvenskan | 2 | 1.52 | 1.61 | -5.6% | Won | |
| IF Elfsborg — Sirius · Allsvenskan | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.31 | -2.6% | Won | |
| Hammarby FF — Degerfors IF · Allsvenskan | 1 | 1.26 | 1.21 | +4.1% | Won | |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar — KA Akureyri · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | -0.3% | Lost | |
| United Nordic — Orebro SK · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.26 | -2.9% | Won | |
| IFK Varnamo — Ljungskile SK · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.31 | -1.0% | Won | |
| IFK Norrkoping — Sandviken · Superettan | 1 | 1.54 | 1.58 | -2.5% | Won | |
| Valur Reykjavik — Fram Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.21 | +0.9% | Won | |
| Criciuma — Vila Nova · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.14 | 1.16 | -1.9% | Won | |
| Ponte Preta — Goias · Brazil Serie B | X/2 | 1.17 | 1.15 | +1.7% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.