We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1860 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantong Haimen Codion — Shandong Taishan II · China League Two | 1 · Nantong Haimen Codion | 2.88 | 2.81 | 2.45 | +17.6% | Won | +1.88 | |
| FC Juarez — Club America · Liga MX | 2 · Club America | 1.85 | 1.84 | 1.70 | +8.8% | Won | +0.85 | |
| Liverpool Montevideo — Cerro · Uruguay Primera Division | 1 · Liverpool Montevideo | 1.71 | 1.66 | 1.63 | +4.9% | Won | +0.71 | |
| Jaguares — Chico · Primera A | 1 · Jaguares | 1.94 | 1.91 | 1.85 | +4.9% | Won | +0.94 | |
| Alianza Atletico — Sporting Cristal · Peru Liga 1 | X · Draw | 3.30 | 3.28 | 3.15 | +4.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Albion FC — Boston River · Uruguay Primera Division | X · Draw | 3.15 | 3.13 | 3.14 | +0.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Arsenal — Coventry · Premier League | 1 · Arsenal | 1.22 | 1.19 | 1.17 | +4.3% | Won | +0.22 | |
| Kerry — UCD · First Division Ireland | 2 · UCD | 2.46 | 2.38 | 2.54 | -3.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Wexford — Athlone Town · First Division Ireland | 1 · Wexford | 2.21 | 2.02 | 2.28 | -3.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Finn Harps — Cobh Ramblers · First Division Ireland | 2 · Cobh Ramblers | 2.08 | 1.99 | 2.09 | -0.5% | Won | +1.08 | |
| Lechia Gdansk — Pogoń Siedlce · Poland I Liga | 2 · Pogoń Siedlce | 2.75 | 2.61 | 2.78 | -1.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Olimpija Ljubljana — Nafta · Slovenia PrvaLiga | 1 · Olimpija Ljubljana | 1.60 | 1.59 | 1.69 | -5.3% | Won | +0.60 | |
| FC Cajamarca — Atletico Grau · Peru Liga 1 | 1 · FC Cajamarca | 2.20 | 2.18 | 2.04 | +7.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| PK-35 — JäPS · Ykkösliiga | 1 · PK-35 | 1.73 | 1.69 | 1.75 | -1.1% | Won | +0.73 | |
| Ústí nad Labem — Dukla Praha · Czech FNL | 2 · Dukla Praha | 2.65 | 2.47 | 2.47 | +7.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Vlašim — Příbram · Czech FNL | 2 · Příbram | 3.35 | 3.26 | 2.96 | +13.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Prostějov — Kladno · Czech FNL | 1 · Prostějov | 2.10 | 2.07 | 2.01 | +4.5% | Won | +1.10 | |
| Karviná — Viktoria Žižkov · Czech FNL | 1 · Karviná | 1.53 | 1.38 | 1.25 | +22.4% | Won | +0.53 | |
| Hegelmann II — Ekranas · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 2 · Ekranas | 2.86 | 2.69 | 2.47 | +15.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| KPV-j — KuPS Akatemia · Ykkonen | 1 · KPV-j | 2.75 | 2.46 | 2.34 | +17.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Haka — SJK Akatemia · Ykkösliiga | 1 · Haka | 1.38 | 1.32 | 1.33 | +3.8% | Won | +0.38 | |
| Babrungas — Tauras · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1 · Babrungas | 2.23 | 2.00 | 1.84 | +21.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Auda — Tukums · Latvia Virsliga | 1 · Auda | 1.68 | 1.58 | 1.39 | +20.9% | Won | +0.68 | |
| Los Angeles FC II — Sporting KC II · MLS Next Pro | 1 · Los Angeles FC II | 1.66 | 1.61 | 1.57 | +5.7% | Won | +0.66 | |
| Portland Timbers — San Diego · MLS | 2 · San Diego | 3.50 | 3.25 | 3.39 | +3.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy — San Jose Earthquakes · MLS | 2 · San Jose Earthquakes | 3.10 | 3.02 | 3.03 | +2.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps — Houston Dynamo · MLS | 1 · Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.57 | +1.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Colorado Rapids — Los Angeles FC · MLS | 2 · Los Angeles FC | 2.80 | 2.54 | 2.79 | +0.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Real Salt Lake — FC Dallas · MLS | 1 · Real Salt Lake | 2.02 | 1.98 | 2.02 | +0.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Seattle Sounders — Austin · MLS | 1 · Seattle Sounders | 1.83 | 1.75 | 1.82 | +0.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Minnesota United FC — Atlanta United FC · MLS | 1 · Minnesota United FC | 1.90 | 1.84 | 1.65 | +15.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Atletico Madrid — Malaga · La Liga | 1 · Atletico Madrid | 1.34 | 1.32 | 1.30 | +3.1% | Won | +0.34 | |
| Ludogorets II — Vihren · Bulgaria Second League | 2 · Vihren | 2.40 | 2.27 | 2.08 | +15.4% | Won | +1.40 | |
| Necaxa — Leon · Liga MX | 2 · Leon | 3.05 | 2.79 | 2.70 | +13.0% | Won | +2.05 | |
| Deportes Temuco — Recoleta · Chile Primera B | 2 · Recoleta | 3.20 | 3.11 | 2.70 | +18.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Wanderers — Cerro Largo · Uruguay Primera Division | 1 · Wanderers | 2.40 | 2.22 | 2.13 | +12.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Almeria — Eldense · Segunda Division | 1 · Almeria | 1.37 | 1.33 | 1.29 | +6.2% | Won | +0.37 | |
| Cardiff — Wrexham · Championship | 1 · Cardiff | 2.54 | 2.52 | 2.42 | +5.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo La Coruna — Elche · La Liga | X · Draw | 3.39 | 3.06 | 2.96 | +14.5% | Won | +2.39 | |
| FCSB — FC Botosani · Romania Liga I | 1 · FCSB | 1.55 | 1.53 | 1.49 | +4.0% | Won | +0.55 | |
| Samsunspor — Göztepe · Süper Lig | 1 · Samsunspor | 2.35 | 2.20 | 2.11 | +11.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — Atletico Tucuman · Argentina Liga Profesional | 2 · Atletico Tucuman | 3.20 | 2.97 | 2.85 | +12.3% | Won | +2.20 | |
| Sporting Gijon — Sabadell · Segunda Division | 1 · Sporting Gijon | 1.89 | 1.88 | 1.81 | +4.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Universitatea Cluj — Uta Arad · Romania Liga I | 1 · Universitatea Cluj | 2.05 | 2.03 | 1.97 | +4.1% | Won | +1.05 | |
| Slovan Bratislava II — Humenné · Slovakia 2. Liga | 1 · Slovan Bratislava II | 2.02 | 2.00 | 1.88 | +7.4% | Won | +1.02 | |
| Polessya — Zorya Luhansk · Ukraine Premier League | 1 · Polessya | 1.53 | 1.52 | 1.47 | +4.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Gnistan — Ilves · Veikkausliiga | 1 · Gnistan | 2.48 | 2.44 | 2.27 | +9.3% | Won | +1.48 | |
| Seattle Sounders — Vancouver Whitecaps · MLS | 2 · Vancouver Whitecaps | 2.02 | 2.00 | 1.96 | +3.1% | Won | +1.02 | |
| Santos Laguna — Guadalajara Chivas · Liga MX | 2 · Guadalajara Chivas | 1.57 | 1.56 | 1.53 | +2.6% | Won | +0.57 | |
| Barracas Central — Rosario Central · Argentina Liga Profesional | 2 · Rosario Central | 2.58 | 2.43 | 2.48 | +4.0% | Won | +1.58 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.