We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre — Rosario Central · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.41 | 1.61 | -12.1% | Lost | |
| Sarmiento Junin — Belgrano Cordoba · Argentina Liga Profesional | X/2 | 1.36 | 1.36 | +0.2% | Won | |
| Corvinul Hunedoara — Universitatea Craiova · Romania Liga I | X/2 | 1.21 | 1.15 | +5.3% | Won | |
| Hoffenheim II — Fortuna Köln · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.30 | -2.2% | Lost | |
| RAAL La Louvière — Kortrijk · Jupiler Pro League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.34 | -3.0% | Won | |
| Fredrikstad — Sarpsborg 08 FF · Eliteserien | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.31 | -1.3% | Lost | |
| Benfica — GIL Vicente · Primeira Liga | 1 | 1.18 | 1.12 | +5.4% | Won | |
| Arouca — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga | 1/2 | 1.38 | 1.41 | -2.2% | Won | |
| Slovan Bratislava — Žilina · Slovak Super Liga | 1 | 1.61 | 1.56 | +3.2% | Lost | |
| Amed — Başakşehir · Süper Lig | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.33 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Galatasaray — Kocaelispor · Süper Lig | 1 | 1.27 | 1.30 | -2.3% | Won | |
| Mallorca — Sabadell · Segunda Division VALUE → | 1 | 1.69 | 1.86 | -9.1% | Won | |
| Getafe — Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.39 | -8.0% | Won | |
| Zulte Waregem — Charleroi · Jupiler Pro League | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.37 | -4.5% | Won | |
| Throttur Reykjavik — Njardvik · 1. Deild | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.18 | +2.9% | Won | |
| Vikingur Reykjavik — Keflavik · Urvalsdeild VALUE → | 1 | 1.24 | 1.20 | +3.3% | Won | |
| Juventud — Danubio · Uruguay Primera Division | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.27 | -0.5% | Won | |
| Asteras Tripolis — AEK Athens FC · Greek Super League | 2 | 1.38 | 1.44 | -4.2% | Lost | |
| Beroe — Sportist Svoge · Bulgaria Second League | 1/X | 1.12 | 1.07 | +4.5% | Won | |
| Teplice — Slavia Praha · Czech Liga | 2 | 1.61 | 1.63 | -1.2% | Won | |
| FC Nordsjaelland — Aarhus · Danish Superliga | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.26 | -1.8% | Won | |
| Napoli — Bologna · Serie A | 1 | 1.70 | 1.92 | -11.5% | Won | |
| Suduva Marijampole — FK Zalgiris Vilnius · Lithuania A Lyga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.30 | -2.3% | Lost | |
| Manchester United — Manchester City · Premier League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.30 | -3.6% | Won | |
| SV Elversberg — Bayern München · Bundesliga VALUE → | 2 | 1.21 | 1.20 | +0.8% | Won | |
| Magallanes — D. Puerto Montt · Chile Primera B | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.23 | -1.6% | Won | |
| Legia Warszawa — Widzew Łódź · Ekstraklasa | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.28 | -5.5% | Won | |
| Mantova — Sampdoria · Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.38 | -5.4% | Won | |
| Le Mans — Lens · Ligue 1 VALUE → | 2 | 1.58 | 1.65 | -4.2% | Lost | |
| Ranheim — Asane · Norway 1. Division | 1 | 1.58 | 1.60 | -1.2% | Lost | |
| Ham-Kam — Molde · Eliteserien VALUE → | 2 | 1.68 | 1.67 | +0.6% | Won | |
| KFUM Oslo — Aalesund · Eliteserien VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.29 | -1.7% | Won | |
| Start — Brann · Eliteserien | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.24 | +0.2% | Won | |
| Bodo/Glimt — Sandefjord · Eliteserien | 1 | 1.18 | 1.16 | +1.7% | Won | |
| Kalamata — Volos NFC · Greek Super League | 1/2 | 1.37 | 1.35 | +1.2% | Won | |
| Riga FC II — Leevon / PPK · Latvia 1. Liga | 1/2 | 1.19 | 1.19 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Odra Opole — Stal Rzeszów · Poland I Liga | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.27 | -2.3% | Lost | |
| Bukovyna — Zorya Luhansk · Ukraine Premier League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.27 | +4.7% | Lost | |
| Podbrezová — Komárno · Slovak Super Liga | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.25 | +0.6% | Lost | |
| Sturm Graz — Lask Linz · Austrian Bundesliga | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.29 | -0.9% | Won | |
| Ljungskile SK — Falkenbergs FF · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.31 | -1.3% | Won | |
| Moss — Haugesund · Norway 1. Division | 2 | 1.71 | 1.55 | +10.3% | Won | |
| Egersund — Kongsvinger · Norway 1. Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.21 | +2.3% | Lost | |
| Raufoss — ODD Ballklubb · Norway 1. Division VALUE → | 2 | 1.56 | 1.44 | +8.3% | Lost | |
| hodd — Lyn · Norway 1. Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.24 | +0.8% | Won | |
| Sogndal — Strommen · Norway 1. Division | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.21 | +2.2% | Lost | |
| Stromsgodset — Sandnes ULF · Norway 1. Division VALUE → | 1 | 1.33 | 1.29 | +3.1% | Won | |
| PEC Zwolle — Feyenoord · Eredivisie | 2 | 1.45 | 1.42 | +2.1% | Won | |
| Lausanne — Servette FC · Swiss Super League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.32 | -2.5% | Won | |
| FC Luzern — FC Basel 1893 · Swiss Super League | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.29 | -4.2% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.