We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ventura County — Tacoma Defiance · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.21 | +0.0% | Won | |
| A. Italiano — O'Higgins · Primera Division Chile | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.36 | -2.1% | Won | |
| Defensor Sporting — Deportivo Maldonado · Uruguay Primera Division | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.36 | -1.1% | Won | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps — Austin · MLS | 1 | 1.28 | 1.27 | +0.8% | Lost | |
| Independiente — San Lorenzo · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.25 | -3.5% | Won | |
| Columbus Crew II — New England II · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.25 | +0.1% | Lost | |
| Chicago Fire — New England Revolution · MLS | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.29 | -4.0% | Won | |
| Novorizontino — Cuiaba · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.17 | 1.13 | +3.2% | Won | |
| Fortaleza EC — Ceara · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.33 | -12.5% | Won | |
| Atletico Nacional — Águilas Doradas · Primera A | 1 | 1.42 | 1.41 | +0.7% | Won | |
| New York City II — Connecticut FC · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.19 | 1.20 | -1.0% | Won | |
| Juventude — Athletic Club · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1 | 1.64 | 1.62 | +1.2% | Lost | |
| Colo Colo — Concepción · Primera Division Chile | 1 | 1.39 | 1.44 | -3.5% | Lost | |
| Flamengo — Corinthians · Brazil Serie A | 1 | 1.48 | 1.27 | +16.5% | Won | |
| Atletico Grau — Alianza Atletico · Peru Liga 1 | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.35 | -5.8% | Won | |
| Chicago Fire II — Philadelphia Union II · MLS Next Pro | 1 | 1.65 | 1.67 | -1.2% | Lost | |
| Leones del Norte — Tecnico Universitario · Ecuador LigaPro | 1/X | 1.18 | 1.24 | -4.7% | Lost | |
| Libertad — Independiente del Valle · Ecuador LigaPro | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.29 | +0.2% | Won | |
| Manta FC — Aucas · Ecuador LigaPro | X/2 | 1.27 | 1.29 | -2.1% | Won | |
| Guayaquil City FC — Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuador LigaPro | 1/2 | 1.36 | 1.38 | -1.8% | Won | |
| LDU de Quito — Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuador LigaPro VALUE → | 1 | 1.50 | 1.67 | -10.2% | Lost | |
| Universidad Catolica — Orense SC · Ecuador LigaPro | 1 | 1.42 | 1.42 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Macara — Emelec · Ecuador LigaPro VALUE → | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.20 | +0.9% | Won | |
| Barcelona SC — Delfin SC · Ecuador LigaPro | 1 | 1.65 | 1.56 | +5.8% | Lost | |
| Instituto Cordoba — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | 1 | 1.42 | 1.42 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Deportivo Riestra — Lanus · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | X/2 | 1.40 | 1.35 | +3.2% | Won | |
| Argentinos JRS — Gimnasia L.P. · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1 | 1.68 | 1.78 | -5.6% | Lost | |
| Penarol — Albion FC · Uruguay Primera Division | 1 | 1.44 | 1.45 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Famalicao — Sporting CP · Primeira Liga | 2 | 1.74 | 1.55 | +12.3% | Lost | |
| Tenerife — Leganes · Segunda Division | 1/X | 1.32 | 1.33 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Real Sociedad — Atletico Madrid · La Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.34 | -3.7% | Won | |
| Chattanooga — Atlanta United II · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.18 | 1.23 | -3.7% | Won | |
| Santa Fe — Deportes Tolima · Primera A VALUE → | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.41 | -7.7% | Won | |
| Atletico Goianiense — Criciuma · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.38 | -7.9% | Won | |
| Mirassol — Vitoria · Brazil Serie A VALUE → | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.24 | -1.7% | Won | |
| Stade Brestois 29 — Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1 VALUE → | 2 | 1.34 | 1.23 | +8.9% | Won | |
| Sassuolo — Juventus · Serie A VALUE → | 2 | 1.60 | 1.71 | -6.4% | Lost | |
| Panathinaikos — Panetolikos · Greek Super League | 1 | 1.32 | 1.20 | +10.0% | Won | |
| Radomlje — Maribor · Slovenia PrvaLiga | 2 | 1.59 | 1.60 | -0.6% | Won | |
| PSV Eindhoven — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie VALUE → | 1 | 1.20 | 1.18 | +1.7% | Won | |
| PAOK — Aris Thessalonikis · Greek Super League | 1 | 1.45 | 1.53 | -5.2% | Won | |
| Kifisia — Levadiakos · Greek Super League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.35 | -1.5% | Lost | |
| San Marcos de Arica — Curico Unido · Chile Primera B VALUE → | 1 | 1.67 | 1.81 | -7.7% | Won | |
| Sport Boys — Deportivo Garcilaso · Peru Liga 1 | 1/X | 1.18 | 1.14 | +3.3% | Won | |
| D. La Serena — Universidad de Chile · Primera Division Chile VALUE → | X/2 | 1.23 | 1.25 | -1.3% | Won | |
| Tigre — Rosario Central · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.41 | 1.61 | -12.1% | Lost | |
| Sarmiento Junin — Belgrano Cordoba · Argentina Liga Profesional | X/2 | 1.36 | 1.36 | +0.2% | Won | |
| Corvinul Hunedoara — Universitatea Craiova · Romania Liga I | X/2 | 1.21 | 1.15 | +5.3% | Won | |
| Hoffenheim II — Fortuna Köln · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.30 | -2.2% | Lost | |
| RAAL La Louvière — Kortrijk · Jupiler Pro League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.34 | -3.0% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.