We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica — NK Osijek · Croatia HNL VALUE → | 1/X | 1.34 | 1.37 | -2.5% | Lost | |
| Universitatea Craiova — Petrolul Ploiesti · Romania Liga I VALUE → | 1 | 1.40 | 1.45 | -3.4% | Won | |
| FC Thun — BSC Young Boys · Swiss Super League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.24 | +1.7% | Won | |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — Banfield · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.37 | 1.47 | -7.2% | Won | |
| San Martin S.J. — Atletico DE Rafaela · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.13 | 1.12 | +0.9% | Won | |
| Gimnasia M. — Union Santa Fe · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | X/2 | 1.38 | 1.46 | -5.8% | Lost | |
| Cukaricki — Radnicki 1923 · Serbia Super Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.33 | -0.7% | Won | |
| FK Košice — AS Trencin · Slovak Super Liga VALUE → | 1 | 1.65 | 1.69 | -2.4% | Lost | |
| Botev Plovdiv — Cherno More Varna · Bulgaria First League VALUE → | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.23 | -0.1% | Won | |
| Celje — Maribor · Slovenia PrvaLiga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.29 | -1.9% | Lost | |
| Nueva Chicago — San Martin Tucuman · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.37 | 1.42 | -3.5% | Won | |
| Ferro Carril Oeste — Godoy Cruz · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.17 | -0.6% | Lost | |
| Defensores De Belgrano — CA Estudiantes · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.32 | 1.30 | +1.9% | Won | |
| Colegiales — Gimnasia Jujuy · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.36 | 1.38 | -1.3% | Won | |
| Chacarita Juniors — Agropecuario · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.26 | -1.0% | Won | |
| Acassuso — Colon Santa Fe · Primera Nacional VALUE → | X/2 | 1.21 | 1.22 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Plzen — Zbrojovka Brno · Czech Liga | 1 | 1.52 | 1.51 | +0.7% | Lost | |
| Deportivo Maldonado — Juventud · Uruguay Primera Division VALUE → | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.23 | -1.6% | Won | |
| FC Cajamarca — Sport Huancayo · Peru Liga 1 | X/2 | 1.29 | 1.36 | -5.7% | Won | |
| Novi Pazar — OFK Beograd · Serbia Super Liga | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.26 | -0.2% | Won | |
| Red Bull Salzburg — TSV Hartberg · Austrian Bundesliga VALUE → | 1 | 1.29 | 1.30 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Budapest Honved — MTK Budapest · Hungary NB I | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.30 | -1.9% | Lost | |
| Spartak Pleven — Marek · Bulgaria Second League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.32 | +0.1% | Won | |
| Zlaté Moravce — Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom · Slovakia 2. Liga | 1 | 1.63 | 1.63 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Kecskeméti TE — Tiszakecske FC · Hungary NB II | 1 | 1.70 | 1.71 | -0.6% | Lost | |
| Aberdeen — Heart Of Midlothian · Scottish Premiership VALUE → | X/2 | 1.22 | 1.40 | -12.9% | Lost | |
| Cobresal — Union La Calera · Primera Division Chile | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.34 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Istra 1961 — NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Croatia HNL | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.32 | -2.8% | Won | |
| FC Zurich — Servette FC · Swiss Super League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.27 | -4.2% | Won | |
| FC Basel 1893 — Lausanne · Swiss Super League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.28 | -1.1% | Won | |
| Lyngby — Aarhus · Danish Superliga VALUE → | X/2 | 1.22 | 1.48 | -17.1% | Won | |
| Gnistan — KuPS · Veikkausliiga | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.28 | -1.4% | Won | |
| Start — Viking · Eliteserien | 2 | 1.52 | 1.53 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Leevon / PPK — Rēzekne FA · Latvia 1. Liga VALUE → | 1 | 1.17 | 1.15 | +1.7% | Won | |
| Riga FC II — Metta / LU · Latvia 1. Liga VALUE → | 2 | 1.14 | 1.10 | +3.6% | Lost | |
| Hanácká — Ústí nad Labem · Czech FNL | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.30 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Ekranas — Žalgiris II · Lithuania 1 Lyga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.20 | +0.2% | Lost | |
| FK Partizan — IMT Novi Beograd · Serbia Super Liga | 1 | 1.62 | 1.54 | +5.2% | Lost | |
| Levski Sofia — Septemvri Sofia · Bulgaria First League | 1 | 1.21 | 1.22 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Nafta — Mura · Slovenia PrvaLiga | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.34 | -2.7% | Won | |
| Skalica — Ružomberok · Slovak Super Liga | 1/X | 1.34 | 1.36 | -1.4% | Won | |
| Slovan Bratislava — Podbrezová · Slovak Super Liga VALUE → | 1 | 1.42 | 1.45 | -2.1% | Won | |
| FC Voluntari — Uta Arad · Romania Liga I VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.37 | -2.5% | Won | |
| Kazincbarcikai — Fehérvár FC · Hungary NB II | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.30 | -0.4% | Won | |
| Wieczysta Kraków — Lech Poznan · Ekstraklasa VALUE → | 2 | 1.62 | 2.11 | -23.2% | Won | |
| WSG Wattens — Sturm Graz · Austrian Bundesliga VALUE → | X/2 | 1.26 | 1.21 | +4.1% | Won | |
| IK brage — Landskrona BoIS · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.29 | -0.8% | Won | |
| IFK Norrkoping — Helsingborg · Superettan | 1 | 1.58 | 1.63 | -3.1% | Won | |
| Bryne — Stromsgodset · Norway 1. Division | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.26 | +0.4% | Won | |
| Lahti — FF Jaro · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 1 | 1.62 | 1.55 | +4.5% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.