The public ledger

Every call, on the record.

We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.

1,428
Predictions logged
1276
Settled
152
Pending
73%
Hit rate
-0.9%
Avg CLV
42
Value flags live
08 Jun 2026
Tracking since

odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark

Download the full record: CSV JSON

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

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Flagged value — cumulative result

+32.3u -4.0u
Jun 2026 -0.63 units, flat stake · flat 1-unit stakes Aug 2026

Performance of flagged value — if you had backed every flag at the odds shown, flat stakes

433
Bets
47%
Win rate
-0.1%
ROI
-0.63
Profit (units, flat stake)
+7.7%
Avg CLV (flagged odds vs close)

The ledger — every settled prediction · odds shown are the prediction pick · logged before kick-off, never edited

Date Match Pick Odds Close CLV Result
Barracas Central — Aldosivi · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → 1/X 1.27 1.29 -2.0% Won
MP — KäPa · Ykkösliiga VALUE → 1/2 1.28 1.28 -0.5% Won
Wuhan Three Towns II — Xiamen Feilu · China League Two X/2 1.25 1.25 +0.0% Lost
Rizhao Yuqi — Tai'an Tiankuang · China League Two 1/X 1.34 1.34 +0.0% Won
BIT — Nantong Haimen Codion · China League Two 2 1.50 1.50 +0.0% Won
Fortaleza EC — Botafogo SP · Brazil Serie B VALUE → 1 1.68 1.95 -13.8% Won
Santos — UCV · Copa Sudamericana 1 1.23 1.18 +4.2% Won
Rosario Central — Racing Club · Argentina Liga Profesional 1/X 1.29 1.27 +1.7% Won
Argentinos JRS — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · Argentina Liga Profesional 1 1.42 1.39 +2.2% Won
Juventude — Avai · Brazil Serie B VALUE → 1 1.56 1.70 -8.2% Won
Ponte Preta — Athletic Club · Brazil Serie B VALUE → X/2 1.29 1.28 +0.8% Won
Independiente F.b.c. — Deportivo Capiata · Paraguay Division Intermedia 1/X 1.30 1.30 +0.0% Won
Tigre — Club Nacional · Copa Sudamericana VALUE → 1/X 1.29 1.27 +1.2% Lost
San Lorenzo — Gimnasia M. · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → 1/X 1.20 1.23 -2.5% Won
Banfield — Sarmiento Junin · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → 1/X 1.20 1.29 -6.8% Won
Atlético Tembetary — Resistencia · Paraguay Division Intermedia VALUE → 1/2 1.26 1.25 +1.0% Won
Ægir — Njardvik · 1. Deild VALUE → 2 1.39 1.44 -3.5% Won
Landskrona BoIS — IFK Norrkoping · Superettan 1/2 1.27 1.29 -1.4% Won
Helsingborg — United Nordic · Superettan 1/2 1.30 1.29 +1.1% Lost
Žalgiris II — Minija · Lithuania 1 Lyga 2 1.33 1.34 -0.7% Lost
Vihren — CSKA Sofia II · Bulgaria Second League 1/X 1.15 1.17 -1.6% Won
Dobrudzha — Pirin Blagoevgrad · Bulgaria Second League VALUE → 1 1.62 1.62 +0.0% Won
Dainava — Transinvest 2 · Lithuania 1 Lyga VALUE → 1 1.19 1.18 +0.8% Won
Deportivo Cuenca — Emelec · Ecuador LigaPro 1/X 1.27 1.32 -3.5% Won
Atlanta — Almagro · Primera Nacional 1 1.62 1.59 +1.9% Lost
Union La Calera — Everton de Vina · Primera Division Chile 1/2 1.37 1.38 -0.3% Lost
12 de Junio VH — 3 de Noviembre · Paraguay Division Intermedia 1 1.49 1.75 -14.9% Won
Union Espanola — Recoleta · Chile Primera B 1/X 1.20 1.26 -4.7% Won
Sport Recife — Cuiaba · Brazil Serie B VALUE → 1/X 1.18 1.28 -8.0% Won
CRB — Vila Nova · Brazil Serie B VALUE → 1/X 1.18 1.26 -5.8% Won
Atletico Goianiense — Operario-PR · Brazil Serie B VALUE → 1/X 1.24 1.26 -2.0% Won
Guayaquil City FC — Universidad Catolica · Ecuador LigaPro X/2 1.23 1.27 -3.3% Won
KA Akureyri — Thor Akureyri · Urvalsdeild VALUE → 1 1.67 1.71 -2.3% Lost
Mushuc Runa SC — Libertad · Ecuador LigaPro 1 1.60 1.54 +3.9% Lost
FC Botosani — Rapid · Romania Liga I 1/2 1.34 1.37 -2.5% Lost
CSKA Sofia — Botev Plovdiv · Bulgaria First League 1 1.65 1.68 -1.8% Won
Benjamín Aceval — Guairena FC · Paraguay Division Intermedia 1/X 1.15 1.15 +0.0% Won
Breidablik — IBV Vestmannaeyjar · Urvalsdeild 1 1.70 1.65 +3.0% Won
Fénix — Yupanqui · Primera C X/2 1.27 1.36 -6.9% Won
Sacachispas — Leandro N. Alem · Primera C 1/X 1.09 1.09 +0.0% Won
Sportivo Barracas — El Porvenir · Primera C VALUE → X/2 1.24 1.24 -0.4% Lost
MTK Budapest — Zalaegerszegi TE · Hungary NB I 1/2 1.28 1.30 -1.2% Won
Osters IF — Varbergs BoIS FC · Superettan 1/2 1.28 1.30 -1.6% Won
Zaglebie Lubin — Piast Gliwice · Ekstraklasa VALUE → 1/2 1.33 1.38 -3.3% Won
Randers FC — Silkeborg · Danish Superliga 1/X 1.22 1.20 +1.7% Won
Orebro SK — Oddevold · Superettan VALUE → 1/2 1.30 1.31 -1.0% Lost
Stabaek — hodd · Norway 1. Division VALUE → 1 1.39 1.36 +2.2% Won
BK Hacken — AIK Stockholm · Allsvenskan 1/2 1.20 1.25 -3.5% Lost
Rosenborg — Fredrikstad · Eliteserien VALUE → 1 1.69 1.55 +9.0% Won
Metta / LU — Tukums II · Latvia 1. Liga VALUE → 1 1.03 1.03 +0.0% Won
401–450 / 1276

Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.

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