We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati — Charlotte · MLS | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.25 | -2.9% | Lost | |
| DC United — Atlanta United FC · MLS | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.29 | -2.2% | Lost | |
| Columbus Crew — New York Red Bulls · MLS VALUE → | 1 | 1.76 | 1.79 | -1.7% | Lost | |
| Orlando City SC — Toronto FC · MLS | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.26 | -1.5% | Won | |
| Botafogo — RB Bragantino · Brazil Serie A VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.33 | -1.7% | Lost | |
| Chico — Independiente Medellin · Primera A | X/2 | 1.21 | 1.21 | -0.2% | Lost | |
| Crown Legacy — Carolina Core · MLS Next Pro | 1 | 1.50 | 1.50 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Birmingham Legion — Charleston Battery · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.24 | -1.5% | Lost | |
| Brooklyn — Miami FC · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.27 | -0.9% | Lost | |
| Sporting JAX — Rhode Island · USL Championship VALUE → | 2 | 1.56 | 1.54 | +1.3% | Won | |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Loudoun United · USL Championship | 1 | 1.71 | 1.72 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Louisville City — El Paso Locomotive · USL Championship | 1 | 1.60 | 1.64 | -2.4% | Lost | |
| Hartford Athletic — Tampa Bay Rowdies · USL Championship | X/2 | 1.27 | 1.31 | -2.8% | Lost | |
| Leon — Atletico San Luis · Liga MX VALUE → | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.27 | +1.2% | Won | |
| Palestino — U. Catolica · Primera Division Chile VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.32 | -1.3% | Won | |
| Talleres Cordoba — Union Santa Fe · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.28 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Cerro Largo — Central Espanol · Uruguay Primera Division | 1/X | 1.33 | 1.40 | -5.1% | Won | |
| Palmeiras — Sao Paulo · Brazil Serie A | 1 | 1.68 | 1.49 | +12.8% | Won | |
| Internacional de Bogota — Llaneros · Primera A VALUE → | 1 | 1.75 | 1.76 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Atletico Tucuman — River Plate · Argentina Liga Profesional | X/2 | 1.28 | 1.27 | +1.3% | Won | |
| UCV Moquegua — Sporting Cristal · Peru Liga 1 | X/2 | 1.20 | 1.21 | -1.3% | Won | |
| Estrella Del Sur — Yupanqui · Primera C VALUE → | 1/X | 1.17 | 1.17 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Mercedes — Deportivo Español · Primera C VALUE → | X/2 | 1.17 | 1.17 | -0.2% | Won | |
| Lugano — Leones de Rosario · Primera C VALUE → | X/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Deportivo Muñiz — Leandro N. Alem · Primera C VALUE → | 1/X | 1.17 | 1.15 | +1.4% | Won | |
| Defensores de Cambaceres — Sportivo Barracas · Primera C VALUE → | 1/X | 1.30 | — | — | Won | |
| Berazategui — Atletico Atlas · Primera C | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.17 | -1.2% | Won | |
| JJ Urquiza — General Lamadrid · Primera C VALUE → | 1/X | 1.30 | — | — | Won | |
| Fénix — Centro Español · Primera C VALUE → | X/2 | 1.17 | — | — | Won | |
| Central Ballester — Puerto Nuevo · Primera C VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.28 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Lujan — Deportivo Paraguayo · Primera C | 1 | 1.50 | 1.50 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Canuelas — Victoriano Arenas · Primera C VALUE → | 1/X | 1.17 | 1.17 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Central Cordoba — Argentino Rosario · Primera C VALUE → | 1/X | 1.12 | — | — | Won | |
| Juventud Unida — El Porvenir · Primera C VALUE → | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.23 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Ituzaingó — Comunicaciones · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | 2 | 1.63 | 1.69 | -3.6% | Lost | |
| Excursionistas — Villa Dalmine · Primera B Metropolitana | 1/X | 1.16 | 1.16 | +0.1% | Won | |
| Argentino Quilmes — Deportivo Merlo · Primera B Metropolitana | 1/X | 1.23 | — | — | Won | |
| Argentino de Merlo — Real Pilar · Primera B Metropolitana | X/2 | 1.25 | 1.29 | -3.1% | Won | |
| Deportivo Armenio — Sportivo Italiano · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.36 | -4.2% | Won | |
| Defensores Unidos — Dock Sud · Primera B Metropolitana | 1/X | 1.29 | 1.27 | +1.0% | Won | |
| Talleres Remedios — Liniers · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | 1 | 1.51 | 1.51 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Deportivo Laferrere — Villa San Carlos · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.23 | -0.5% | Won | |
| Flandria — Deportivo Camioneros · Primera B Metropolitana | 1/X | 1.33 | — | — | Won | |
| Brown DE Adrogue — San Martín Burzaco · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.20 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Arsenal Sarandi — UAI Urquiza · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | 1 | 1.37 | 1.34 | +2.2% | Won | |
| Chapecoense-sc — Internacional · Brazil Serie A VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.33 | +0.4% | Won | |
| Wanderers — Club Nacional · Uruguay Primera Division | X/2 | 1.23 | 1.19 | +3.4% | Won | |
| Academico Viseu — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga VALUE → | X/2 | 1.29 | 1.29 | +0.2% | Lost | |
| Cordoba — Almeria · Segunda Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.33 | -1.7% | Won | |
| Cambuur — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie | 2 | 1.52 | 1.62 | -6.2% | Lost |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.