We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordoba — Almeria · Segunda Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.33 | -1.7% | Won | |
| Cambuur — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie | 2 | 1.52 | 1.62 | -6.2% | Lost | |
| Real Madrid — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga | 1 | 1.14 | 1.15 | -0.9% | Won | |
| Sunderland — Arsenal · Premier League VALUE → | 2 | 1.50 | 1.65 | -9.1% | Won | |
| Deportivo Pereira — Bucaramanga · Primera A | X/2 | 1.24 | 1.19 | +4.7% | Won | |
| Botafogo SP — Goias · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.29 | 1.30 | -0.9% | Lost | |
| Avai — Vila Nova · Brazil Serie B | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.35 | -0.8% | Lost | |
| America Mineiro — São Bernardo · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.33 | 1.35 | -1.3% | Lost | |
| Atletico-MG — Fluminense · Brazil Serie A VALUE → | 1/X | 1.32 | 1.30 | +1.1% | Won | |
| Gremio — Vasco DA Gama · Brazil Serie A VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.33 | 1.37 | -3.0% | Won | |
| Paris FC — Lyon · Ligue 1 VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.34 | -3.9% | Lost | |
| Lorient — Toulouse · Ligue 1 VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.37 | -1.8% | Lost | |
| Le Havre — Angers · Ligue 1 VALUE → | 1/X | 1.31 | 1.50 | -12.4% | Won | |
| Auxerre — Nice · Ligue 1 | 1/2 | 1.35 | 1.36 | -1.2% | Won | |
| Union St. Gilloise — Lommel United · Jupiler Pro League | 1 | 1.21 | 1.23 | -1.6% | Won | |
| OH Leuven — Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.32 | -2.6% | Lost | |
| Atalanta — Cagliari · Serie A VALUE → | 1 | 1.53 | 1.71 | -10.5% | Lost | |
| Spartak Trnava — FK Košice · Slovak Super Liga | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.24 | -1.8% | Won | |
| Rapid — FC Voluntari · Romania Liga I | 1 | 1.51 | 1.34 | +12.7% | Won | |
| FC St. Pauli — VfL Wolfsburg · 2. Bundesliga | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.30 | -2.6% | Won | |
| Longford Town — Treaty United · First Division Ireland VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.25 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Bravo — Celje · Slovenia PrvaLiga | 2 | 1.68 | 1.74 | -3.4% | Lost | |
| Zaglebie Lubin — GKS Katowice · Ekstraklasa VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.34 | -1.9% | Won | |
| Iraklis 1908 — Atromitos · Greek Super League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.38 | 1.42 | -3.3% | Lost | |
| Fortuna Sittard — Ajax · Eredivisie | 2 | 1.39 | 1.41 | -1.4% | Won | |
| Dunkerque — Saint Etienne · Ligue 2 | X/2 | 1.22 | 1.15 | +6.4% | Lost | |
| Comerciantes Unidos — Sport Huancayo · Peru Liga 1 VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.27 | +2.9% | Won | |
| Cobresal — Coquimbo Unido · Primera Division Chile VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.33 | -2.1% | Won | |
| Bryne — Stabaek · Norway 1. Division | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.27 | -1.1% | Won | |
| Independ. Rivadavia — Aldosivi · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | 1 | 1.46 | 1.45 | +0.7% | Won | |
| Estudiantes L.P. — Platense · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.17 | 1.23 | -4.2% | Won | |
| Cesena — Cremonese · Serie B | 1/2 | 1.35 | 1.37 | -2.0% | Lost | |
| Wolfsberger AC — Rapid Vienna · Austrian Bundesliga VALUE → | 2 | 1.69 | 1.55 | +9.0% | Won | |
| Casa Pia — FC Porto · Primeira Liga | 2 | 1.28 | 1.19 | +7.6% | Won | |
| Alanyaspor — Göztepe · Süper Lig VALUE → | 1/X | 1.33 | 1.34 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Konyaspor — Trabzonspor · Süper Lig | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.31 | -1.4% | Won | |
| FC Lugano — BSC Young Boys · Swiss Super League | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.28 | -3.4% | Lost | |
| GO Ahead Eagles — Groningen · Eredivisie | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.29 | -1.8% | Lost | |
| Granada CF — Albacete · Segunda Division VALUE → | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.23 | +4.5% | Won | |
| Girona — Castellón · Segunda Division | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.33 | -2.0% | Won | |
| Tottenham — Everton · Premier League VALUE → | 1/X | 1.28 | 1.33 | -3.7% | Won | |
| 1. FC Köln — Werder Bremen · Bundesliga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.31 | -2.3% | Lost | |
| Athletic Club — Elche · La Liga VALUE → | 1 | 1.54 | 1.42 | +8.5% | Lost | |
| KVC Westerlo — Standard Liege · Jupiler Pro League | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.30 | -1.5% | Won | |
| VJS — Inter Turku II · Ykkonen | 1 | 1.46 | 1.73 | -15.6% | Won | |
| AC Oulu — Gnistan · Veikkausliiga | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.33 | -3.4% | Won | |
| FF Jaro — SJK · Veikkausliiga | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.33 | -4.9% | Lost | |
| Ilves — Lahti · Veikkausliiga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.33 | -3.4% | Won | |
| Racing Montevideo — Boston River · Uruguay Primera Division VALUE → | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.23 | +0.4% | Won | |
| Olympiakos Piraeus — OFI · Greek Super League VALUE → | 1 | 1.17 | 1.23 | -4.9% | Lost |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.