The public ledger

Every call, on the record.

We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.

1,428
Predictions logged
1278
Settled
150
Pending
73%
Hit rate
-0.9%
Avg CLV
40
Value flags live
08 Jun 2026
Tracking since

odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark

Download the full record: CSV JSON

The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →

External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.

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Flagged value — cumulative result

+32.3u -5.0u
Jun 2026 -0.77 units, flat stake · flat 1-unit stakes Aug 2026

Performance of flagged value — if you had backed every flag at the odds shown, flat stakes

435
Bets
47%
Win rate
-0.2%
ROI
-0.77
Profit (units, flat stake)
+7.7%
Avg CLV (flagged odds vs close)

The ledger — every settled prediction · odds shown are the prediction pick · logged before kick-off, never edited

Date Match Pick Odds Close CLV Result
Rosenborg — Fredrikstad · Eliteserien VALUE → 1 1.69 1.55 +9.0% Won
Metta / LU — Tukums II · Latvia 1. Liga VALUE → 1 1.03 1.03 +0.0% Won
Opava — Karviná · Czech FNL VALUE → 1/2 1.26 1.26 +0.2% Won
Dunav Ruse — Ludogorets · Bulgaria First League 2 1.36 1.40 -2.9% Won
Artis — Mlada Boleslav · Czech Liga X/2 1.23 1.25 -1.1% Won
Grobiņa — Ogre United · Latvia Virsliga 1/X 1.18 1.23 -3.6% Won
Hegelmann Litauen — FK Zalgiris Vilnius · Lithuania A Lyga X/2 1.19 1.19 -0.4% Won
CFR 1907 Cluj — FC Voluntari · Romania Liga I 1/X 1.19 1.17 +1.6% Won
Valmiera / BSS — Riga FC II · Latvia 1. Liga 1 1.30 1.28 +1.6% Won
Šamorín — Malženice · Slovakia 2. Liga 1/2 1.25 1.22 +2.3% Won
Tukums — Rīgas FS · Latvia Virsliga VALUE → 2 1.23 1.25 -1.6% Won
Qingdao Red Lions — BIT · China League Two 1 1.59 1.66 -4.2% Won
Tacoma Defiance — Colorado Rapids II · MLS Next Pro 1/2 1.21 1.22 -0.5% Won
Once Caldas — Cucuta · Primera A VALUE → 1 1.42 1.44 -1.4% Won
CF Pachuca — Club Queretaro · Liga MX 1 1.57 1.60 -1.9% Lost
Concepción — O'Higgins · Primera Division Chile VALUE → 1/2 1.31 1.33 -1.8% Won
Barcelona SC — LDU de Quito · Ecuador LigaPro VALUE → 1/X 1.27 1.34 -5.1% Lost
Deportivo Garcilaso — FC Cajamarca · Peru Liga 1 1 1.52 1.68 -9.5% Won
Alianza Valledupar — Fortaleza FC · Primera A 1/X 1.25 1.25 +0.4% Won
Necaxa — Monterrey · Liga MX VALUE → 1/2 1.26 1.30 -3.4% Won
Houston Dynamo FC II — Austin II · MLS Next Pro 1/2 1.29 1.27 +1.4% Lost
FC Cincinnati II — New England II · MLS Next Pro 1/2 1.23 1.23 +0.0% Lost
St. Louis City II — Vancouver Whitecaps II · MLS Next Pro VALUE → 1 1.38 1.38 +0.0% Lost
Orlando City II — Huntsville City · MLS Next Pro 1/2 1.21 1.22 -0.8% Won
Remo — Vitoria · Brazil Serie A 1/2 1.30 1.36 -4.6% Won
Palmeiras — Atletico-MG · Brazil Serie A 1 1.68 1.62 +3.7% Lost
Deportivo Riestra — Boca Juniors · Argentina Liga Profesional X/2 1.21 1.22 -0.2% Lost
Connecticut FC — Columbus Crew II · MLS Next Pro 1/2 1.20 1.20 +0.0% Won
San Marcos de Arica — Magallanes · Chile Primera B 1/X 1.23 1.31 -5.5% Won
A. Italiano — Universidad de Chile · Primera Division Chile 1/2 1.34 1.36 -1.5% Won
Londrina — Novorizontino · Brazil Serie B 1/2 1.34 1.37 -2.1% Won
America Mineiro — Goias · Brazil Serie B VALUE → 1/2 1.35 1.42 -4.8% Won
RB Bragantino — Coritiba · Brazil Serie A VALUE → 1 1.55 1.60 -3.1% Lost
Gremio — Fluminense · Brazil Serie A 1/2 1.33 1.38 -3.3% Lost
Flamengo — Sao Paulo · Brazil Serie A VALUE → 1 1.38 1.48 -6.8% Lost
Águilas Doradas — Santa Fe · Primera A VALUE → 1/2 1.39 1.40 -0.9% Won
Gimnasia Y Tiro — Deportivo Maipu · Primera Nacional 1/X 1.20 1.21 -1.2% Won
Orense SC — Independiente del Valle · Ecuador LigaPro 2 1.61 1.71 -5.8% Won
Comerciantes Unidos — Alianza Lima · Peru Liga 1 X/2 1.21 1.20 +0.5% Won
Estudiantes L.P. — Independiente · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → 1/X 1.26 1.26 -0.0% Lost
Portland Timbers II — Real Monarchs · MLS Next Pro VALUE → 1/2 1.19 1.18 +0.2% Won
Fram Reykjavik — FH hafnarfjordur · Urvalsdeild 1 1.49 1.47 +1.4% Lost
IA Akranes — Stjarnan · Urvalsdeild 1/2 1.20 1.22 -1.4% Won
Internacional de Bogota — America de Cali · Primera A VALUE → 1/2 1.35 1.37 -1.4% Won
São Bernardo — Ceara · Brazil Serie B 1/X 1.27 1.30 -1.8% Lost
Criciuma — Nautico Recife · Brazil Serie B VALUE → 1 1.72 1.52 +13.2% Lost
Cruzeiro — Botafogo · Brazil Serie A VALUE → 1/X 1.21 1.21 -0.6% Lost
Bahia — Corinthians · Brazil Serie A 1/X 1.29 1.38 -5.9% Won
Racing Cordoba — San Telmo · Primera Nacional 1 1.62 1.74 -6.9% Won
Quilmes — Colegiales · Primera Nacional 1/X 1.12 1.16 -3.5% Lost
451–500 / 1278

Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.

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