We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
Filtered view — 432 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilves — FF Jaro · Veikkausliiga | 1 · Ilves | 1.89 | 1.77 | 1.65 | +14.5% | Won | +0.89 | |
| IR Reykjavik — Grotta · 1. Deild | 1 · IR Reykjavik | 2.15 | 2.12 | 2.00 | +7.5% | Won | +1.15 | |
| Grindavik — Fylkir · 1. Deild | 2 · Fylkir | 1.86 | 1.81 | 1.59 | +17.0% | Won | +0.86 | |
| Stjarnan — Breidablik · Urvalsdeild | 1 · Stjarnan | 3.10 | 2.89 | 2.94 | +5.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| IA Akranes — Valur Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild | 1 · IA Akranes | 2.32 | 2.22 | 2.09 | +11.0% | Won | +1.32 | |
| Landskrona BoIS — United Nordic · Superettan | 2 · United Nordic | 3.00 | 2.81 | 2.80 | +7.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| KA Akureyri — Fram Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild | 2 · Fram Reykjavik | 2.30 | 2.27 | 2.12 | +8.5% | Won | +1.30 | |
| SJK Akatemia — Haka · Ykkösliiga | 2 · Haka | 1.65 | 1.63 | 1.62 | +1.9% | Won | +0.65 | |
| Central Norte — San Telmo · Primera Nacional | X · Draw | 3.10 | 2.97 | 2.97 | +4.4% | Won | +2.10 | |
| Temperley — Club Atlético Güemes · Primera Nacional | 1 · Temperley | 2.17 | 1.98 | 1.81 | +19.9% | Won | +1.17 | |
| Racing Cordoba — Chaco For Ever · Primera Nacional | X · Draw | 3.15 | 3.03 | 2.84 | +10.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Atletico Mitre — Los Andes · Primera Nacional | 1 · Atletico Mitre | 2.65 | 2.46 | 2.69 | -1.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Union La Calera — Universidad de Chile · Primera Division Chile | X · Draw | 3.30 | 3.19 | 3.18 | +3.8% | Won | +2.30 | |
| CA Estudiantes — All Boys · Primera Nacional | 1 · CA Estudiantes | 2.14 | 2.08 | 2.03 | +5.4% | Won | +1.14 | |
| Almirante Brown — Godoy Cruz · Primera Nacional | X · Draw | 2.90 | 2.81 | 2.82 | +2.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Thor Akureyri — IBV Vestmannaeyjar · Urvalsdeild | 1 · Thor Akureyri | 2.89 | 2.77 | 2.96 | -2.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Keflavik — FH hafnarfjordur · Urvalsdeild | 1 · Keflavik | 1.91 | 1.84 | 1.74 | +9.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sandviken — IK brage · Superettan | 1 · Sandviken | 2.48 | 2.33 | 2.13 | +16.4% | Won | +1.48 | |
| Sogndal — Moss · Norway 1. Division | 1 · Sogndal | 2.07 | 2.05 | 1.91 | +8.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sandnes ULF — Strommen · Norway 1. Division | 1 · Sandnes ULF | 1.93 | 1.92 | 1.88 | +2.7% | Won | +0.93 | |
| Ljungskile SK — Ostersunds FK · Superettan | 2 · Ostersunds FK | 3.00 | 2.97 | 2.93 | +2.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Defensores De Belgrano — Colon Santa Fe · Primera Nacional | X · Draw | 2.90 | 2.78 | 2.72 | +6.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Almagro — Agropecuario · Primera Nacional | 2 · Agropecuario | 3.00 | 2.92 | 2.75 | +9.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Midland — Atlanta · Primera Nacional | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.97 | 2.93 | +2.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lahti — SJK · Veikkausliiga | 2 · SJK | 3.32 | 3.18 | 3.20 | +3.7% | Won | +2.32 | |
| Leiknir R. — Vestri · 1. Deild | 1 · Leiknir R. | 2.88 | 2.58 | 2.40 | +20.0% | Won | +1.88 | |
| FF Jaro — HJK Helsinki · Veikkausliiga | 2 · HJK Helsinki | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.56 | +17.3% | Won | +0.83 | |
| Throttur Reykjavik — HK Kopavogur · 1. Deild | 1 · Throttur Reykjavik | 2.08 | 1.87 | 1.99 | +4.5% | Won | +1.08 | |
| Treaty United — Bray Wanderers · First Division Ireland | 2 · Bray Wanderers | 1.98 | 1.95 | 1.88 | +5.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Galway United — Dundalk · Premier Division | 2 · Dundalk | 2.48 | 2.45 | 2.48 | +0.0% | Won | +1.48 | |
| Derry City — Bohemians · Premier Division | 2 · Bohemians | 2.63 | 2.51 | 2.77 | -5.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Helsingborg — Landskrona BoIS · Superettan | 2 · Landskrona BoIS | 2.80 | 2.78 | 2.67 | +4.9% | Won | +1.80 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.