League One

Sheffield Wednesday 7–2 Bromley

Final score · Half-time 3–0 · All of yesterday's results

No sharp market price is available for this match. Our own model makes Bromley the most likely outcome at 61%; we make no value call without a sharp benchmark. Recent form — Sheffield Wednesday: LLWWW; Bromley: DWDWL.

After the whistle

Match stats

Match statsSheffield WednesdayBromley
Possession %6931
Expected goals (xG)4.521.50
Shots297
Shots on target152
Corners53
Yellow cards12
Red cards00
Fouls1018
Offsides30
Goalkeeper saves18
Pass accuracy %8561

Referee: W. Finnie · Venue: Hillsborough, Sheffield

Next matches

Line-ups, events and match stats: API-Football.

Starting line-ups

Sheffield Wednesday 4-2-3-1

  1. J. Lumley GK
  2. Y. Valery DF
  3. Ricardo DF
  4. L. Cooper DF
  5. R. James DF
  6. B. Mitchell MF
  7. B. Bannan MF
  8. Mason Paul James Burstow MF
  9. C. Slattery MF
  10. L. Barry MF
  11. J. Lowe FW

Bromley 4-1-4-1

  1. S. George GK
  2. O. Sowunmi DF
  3. Kamari Antonio Grant DF
  4. Marcus Lemar Ifill DF
  5. J. McKiernan MF
  6. C. Whitely MF
  7. W. Hondermarck MF
  8. K. Conteh MF
  9. M. Pinnock MF
  10. M. Cheek FW

The most likely result is not the same as value: value is where a bookmaker pays more than the fair price, and the two can point to different outcomes.

Value check before kick-off

No value

No value was flagged for this match: before kick-off, no bookmaker price we saw beat the fair price under our rule.

Most likely result

2 Away win 61%
1X2
Other estimates
Our model17%22%61%

Sharp, recorded = Pinnacle when we logged the match (it can be days old). Our model = our own estimate, which on average predicts worse than the market.

Fair odds of the pick (as recorded) 1.64
Sharp odds recorded for this prediction (Pinnacle) —
Market Gap —
Confidence —
Prediction result Lost · 1

Match context

Sheffield Wednesday scored 1 and conceded 1 across their last 5 matches in our results database; Bromley scored 1 and conceded 0.8 in 5.

These figures come from our own tracked results and odds snapshots for this fixture — not from a generic stats feed.

Market-relevant trends

Sheffield Wednesday has lost its last 2 matches.
No value Already reflected in the fair price — no value on Sheffield Wednesday here.

We show the trend and whether it is already in the price. Most sites show the streak and let you assume you should bet it.

Why this price?

Sheffield Wednesday
L L W W W
avg 1 scored · 1 conceded (last 5)
Bromley
D W D W L
avg 1 scored · 0.8 conceded (last 5)

Recent form and head-to-head from our settled results — context behind the fair price. The price itself comes from the sharp market, not from these alone.

Public, timestamped record

Logged before kick-off
Prediction record
Pick 2 · Away win
Odds recorded for the prediction —
Closing odds pending
Prediction CLV —
Result Lost
Prediction hash — integrity fingerprint 834f98a000c86f89

This hash fingerprints the prediction as recorded: teams, kick-off time, our model probabilities, the Pinnacle prices recorded for it (at logging or, if there were none, the first quoted after logging and before kick-off, which can be written in after the match) and the log time. A later edit to any of them would change it (a rescheduled kick-off changes it too). It does not cover closing prices, the result or the value-bet record above; value flags recorded live have their own seal in the public record. Verify in the public record →

Every day a snapshot of the full public record is published to a public Git repository and timestamped with OpenTimestamps. Timestamped snapshots are never overwritten and the Git history shows any difference, so a later change to a past row is visible by comparing two snapshots. The corrections file lists the corrections we announced. Verify on the public log →

Since 20 June 2026 the public record is snapshotted daily (07:40 Bucharest time: 04:40 UTC in summer time, 05:40 UTC in winter) to an external log. A prediction is externally timestamped before kick-off only if it was in a snapshot taken before the match; predictions logged on match day, or whose Pinnacle price was added after logging, first appear there after kick-off. Value flags have been recorded live only since 26 September 2026; earlier value flags were reconstructed on that date.

Methodology

The fair price comes from the sharp market itself: we strip the margin from Pinnacle-style odds — the most accurate public predictor in existence — and use our calibrated Elo + form model as a cross-check and as the fallback where no sharp price exists. Value is flagged only where a softer bookmaker prices a selection above that fair price, never on long shots (implied probability under 30%), and never beyond a plausible band. Most of the time there is no value — and we say so.

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