Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Argentina Liga Profesional fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
Across the matches we priced in Argentina Liga Profesional, the market's average 1X2 margin is 7.37%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Betfair Exchange at -0.09%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.
Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →
Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos JRS | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 34 | 22 | +12 | 54 |
| 2 | River Plate | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 26 | +14 | 49 |
| 3 | Belgrano Cordoba | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 22 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 27 | +8 | 49 |
| 5 | Independ. Rivadavia | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43 | 30 | +13 | 48 |
| 6 | Velez Sarsfield | 26 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 30 | 20 | +10 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia L.P. | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 45 |
| 8 | Boca Juniors | 26 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 36 | 23 | +13 | 44 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 17 | +11 | 41 |
| 10 | Instituto Cordoba | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 23 | +4 | 40 |
| 11 | Huracan | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 28 | 23 | +5 | 38 |
| 12 | Independiente | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 30 | +3 | 38 |
| 13 | Union Santa Fe | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 37 | +5 | 37 |
| 14 | Lanus | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 25 | +4 | 37 |
| 15 | Defensa Y Justicia | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 36 |
| 16 | Gimnasia M. | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
| 17 | Sarmiento Junin | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 35 |
| 18 | Talleres Cordoba | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
| 19 | San Lorenzo | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 34 |
| 20 | Barracas Central | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 33 |
| 21 | Tigre | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 21 | +4 | 32 |
| 22 | Racing Club | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 29 |
| 23 | Newells Old Boys | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 28 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 27 |
| 25 | Banfield | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 26 |
| 26 | Platense | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 25 |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 23 |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 25 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 20 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 25 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 13 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 25 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 11 |
| # | Team | Avg. finish | P(title) | P(relegation) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos JRS | 3.9 | 30.3% | 0% |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 6.2 | 13.4% | 0% |
| 3 | Instituto Cordoba | 6.8 | 11.9% | 0% |
| 4 | Gimnasia L.P. | 7 | 8.8% | 0% |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 7.6 | 8.8% | 0% |
| 6 | Defensa Y Justicia | 8.1 | 6% | 0% |
| 7 | Boca Juniors | 8.5 | 5.2% | 0% |
| 8 | Gimnasia M. | 8.9 | 4.1% | 0% |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 10.8 | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| 10 | River Plate | 11.4 | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 11.5 | 2.2% | 0% |
| 12 | Belgrano Cordoba | 11.8 | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| 13 | Independiente | 12.2 | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| 14 | Barracas Central | 15.1 | 0.6% | 1.3% |
| 15 | Atletico Tucuman | 15.7 | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| 16 | Newells Old Boys | 16.2 | 0.1% | 1% |
| 17 | Union Santa Fe | 16.2 | 0.3% | 0.8% |
| 18 | Lanus | 16.8 | 0.3% | 2.5% |
| 19 | Tigre | 17.7 | 0.1% | 2.3% |
| 20 | Estudiantes L.P. | 17.9 | 0.1% | 3.6% |
| 21 | San Lorenzo | 18.1 | 0.1% | 2.7% |
| 22 | Huracan | 19.9 | 0.1% | 5.5% |
| 23 | Deportivo Riestra | 20 | 0% | 7.8% |
| 24 | Platense | 22.3 | 0% | 14.5% |
| 25 | Talleres Cordoba | 23.8 | 0% | 23.1% |
| 26 | Banfield | 24.6 | 0% | 30.5% |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 25 | 0% | 34.3% |
| 28 | Racing Club | 25.7 | 0% | 39.7% |
| 29 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 27.1 | 0% | 57.5% |
| 30 | Aldosivi | 28.1 | 0% | 71.7% |
How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.
The sharpest public forecast for Argentina Liga Profesional is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Argentina Liga Profesional fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
We publish an audit, not tips. For each Argentina Liga Profesional match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.