South America

Copa Sudamericana predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Copa Sudamericana fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

best bookmaker price next to the fair price (Pinnacle, margin removed)

No match has a fair price yet. Fair prices appear once Pinnacle prices a match, usually about a week before kick-off.

Scheduled matches

Sat · 21:00 UTC Atletico-MG – Boca Juniors

Recent results — what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Date	Match	Score	Market gave this result
21 Oct	Atletico Torque – Atletico-MG	2–0	30%
21 Oct	Vasco DA Gama – Boca Juniors	1–3	32%
14 Oct	Atletico-MG – Atletico Torque	3–0	67%
14 Oct	Boca Juniors – Vasco DA Gama	0–1	23%
18 Sep	Atletico Torque – Cienciano	3–0	64%
16 Sep	Atletico-MG – Santos	4–2 (penalties)	—
16 Sep	Sao Paulo – Boca Juniors	1–1	33%
15 Sep	Vasco DA Gama – Santa Fe	2–0	70%
11 Sep	Cienciano – Atletico Torque	2–0	66%
09 Sep	Santos – Atletico-MG	2–0	40%

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Standings — 2026 season · official league table

Official table from API-Football, as of Fri, 23 Oct · 05:35 UTC. We read it again after matches finish.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
Group A
1	Macara	6	2	4	0	6	3	+3	10
2	Tigre	6	2	3	1	8	5	+3	9
3	America de Cali	6	2	3	1	6	5	+1	9
4	Alianza Atletico	6	0	2	4	2	9	-7	2
Group B
1	Atletico-MG	6	3	1	2	8	6	+2	10
2	Cienciano	6	2	2	2	5	7	-2	8
3	Juventud	6	1	4	1	10	7	+3	7
4	Puerto Cabello	6	2	1	3	6	9	-3	7
Group C
1	Sao Paulo	6	3	3	0	6	1	+5	12
2	O'Higgins	6	3	1	2	8	6	+2	10
3	Millonarios	6	2	2	2	7	7	+0	8
4	Boston River	6	1	0	5	5	12	-7	3
Group D
1	Deportivo Recoleta	6	1	5	0	6	5	+1	8
2	Santos	6	1	4	1	8	6	+2	7
3	San Lorenzo	6	1	4	1	6	5	+1	7
4	Deportivo Cuenca	6	1	3	2	3	7	-4	6
Group E
1	Botafogo	6	5	1	0	15	5	+10	16
2	Caracas FC	6	2	3	1	9	9	+0	9
3	Racing Club	6	2	2	2	11	9	+2	8
4	Independiente	6	0	0	6	3	15	-12	0
Group F
1	Atletico Torque	6	4	1	1	11	5	+6	13
2	Gremio	6	3	2	1	8	3	+5	11
3	Deportivo Riestra	6	1	2	3	4	10	-6	5
4	Palestino	6	0	3	3	1	6	-5	3
Group G
1	Olimpia	6	4	1	1	10	6	+4	13
2	Vasco DA Gama	6	3	1	2	10	6	+4	10
3	A. Italiano	6	2	1	3	7	9	-2	7
4	Barracas Central	6	0	3	3	2	8	-6	3
Group H
1	River Plate	6	4	2	0	9	3	+6	14
2	RB Bragantino	6	3	1	2	12	5	+7	10
3	Carabobo FC	6	3	0	3	6	5	+1	9
4	Blooming	6	0	1	5	3	17	-14	1

Team stats this season

156 matches this season: 2.31 goals per game, 39% over 2.5, 42% both teams scored. xG 2.43 per match (from 143 matches); 9.1 corners and 4.9 cards per match (from 156 matches with statistics).

Team	MP	GF	GA	Over 2.5	BTTS	Clean sheets	xG for / against	Corners	Cards
Botafogo	8	2.13	1.38	75%	63%	38%	2.52 / 1.08	10.5	2.4
Racing Club	6	1.83	1.50	67%	83%	17%	1.91 / 1.53	10.0	2.3
Vasco DA Gama	14	1.50	0.86	57%	43%	57%	1.40 / 0.90	10.0	2.9
Blooming	7	0.86	2.43	57%	29%	14%	1.17 / 1.22	9.0	3.0
Independiente Petrolero	7	0.43	2.14	57%	29%	14%	1.05 / 2.54	8.0	2.3
Olimpia	9	1.33	1.11	56%	44%	44%	1.36 / 1.21	9.1	2.7
Santos	12	1.83	1.17	50%	67%	25%	1.99 / 0.89	8.9	1.9
Juventud	6	1.67	1.17	50%	83%	17%	1.30 / 0.67	8.3	1.3
Bolívar	4	1.50	1.50	50%	75%	25%	1.62 / 1.25	10.8	1.5
Atletico-MG	12	1.50	1.17	50%	42%	33%	1.12 / 1.39	9.0	1.7
Deportivo Riestra	6	0.67	1.67	50%	50%	17%	0.94 / 1.17	10.3	2.3
Atletico Torque	13	1.54	0.85	46%	31%	54%	1.14 / 1.12	9.9	2.1
Caracas FC	9	1.00	1.56	44%	56%	22%	1.06 / 1.77	8.2	1.9
Millonarios	7	1.43	1.14	43%	57%	29%	1.69 / 0.94	11.9	2.4
A. Italiano	7	1.14	1.43	43%	71%	14%	0.92 / 1.61	9.6	2.7
Puerto Cabello	7	0.86	1.29	43%	29%	29%	1.09 / 1.28	6.6	1.9
Deportivo Cuenca	7	0.86	1.00	43%	14%	57%	0.80 / 1.34	7.6	2.3
Tigre	10	1.30	1.00	40%	50%	30%	1.05 / 0.76	7.4	2.7
Boca Juniors	8	1.63	0.63	38%	38%	38%	1.97 / 0.71	8.9	1.3
Gremio	8	1.25	0.88	38%	25%	50%	1.38 / 1.27	9.9	3.1
Deportivo Recoleta	9	0.89	1.44	33%	67%	22%	0.73 / 2.15	9.2	3.3
Barracas Central	6	0.33	1.33	33%	33%	33%	0.68 / 1.48	9.0	4.5
Cienciano	13	1.38	1.15	31%	31%	31%	1.19 / 1.24	8.9	2.5
RB Bragantino	10	1.50	0.80	30%	30%	40%	1.48 / 0.90	10.2	2.8
America de Cali	7	1.14	0.86	29%	57%	29%	1.42 / 0.83	7.3	2.9
Boston River	7	0.86	1.71	29%	29%	14%	0.65 / 1.66	11.3	2.1
River Plate	8	1.25	0.50	25%	50%	50%	1.47 / 0.89	6.9	2.8
O'Higgins	8	1.13	0.88	25%	25%	50%	1.15 / 1.05	10.5	2.8
Macara	9	0.89	0.56	22%	33%	67%	0.85 / 0.88	10.4	2.9
Carabobo FC	6	1.00	0.83	17%	17%	50%	0.93 / 1.51	10.2	2.2
Santa Fe	6	1.00	0.50	17%	17%	67%	1.49 / 1.00	7.5	1.2
San Lorenzo	6	1.00	0.83	17%	50%	33%	1.48 / 0.80	8.3	1.5
Alianza Atletico	7	0.57	1.29	14%	29%	29%	1.07 / 1.44	8.4	2.9
Palestino	7	0.43	1.00	14%	29%	29%	0.84 / 1.01	8.6	3.1
Sao Paulo	10	1.10	0.50	10%	40%	50%	1.07 / 0.92	10.2	2.2

Goals per game and percentages from our results this season; xG, corners (for + against) and cards only where the league has match statistics. Sorted by over 2.5 rate. Form is context: the market prices it in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Copa Sudamericana predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Copa Sudamericana is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Copa Sudamericana fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Copa Sudamericana betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Copa Sudamericana match you get the fair price and an honest value check; predictions are logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

Measured by TipsAudit