Atletico-MG
Next matches at the fair price, recent results next to what the market expected, and form over the last 10 matches.
Next matches
fair probability of each result and the best bookmaker price| Time | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 South America · Copa Sudamericana | |||||
| 30% 3.12 fair 3.30 | 29% 3.41 fair 3.48 | 41% 2.45 fair 2.44 | Value expired | ||
 Brazil · Brazil Serie A | |||||
| 73% 1.36 fair 1.37 | 16% 5.40 fair 6.09 | 10% 9.50 fair 9.58 | No value | ||
Recent results
what happened next to the market's view before kick-off| Time | Opponent | Score | Market gave this result |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs Coritiba Brazil Serie A | W 1–0 | 57% | |
| vs Atletico Torque Copa Sudamericana | W 3–0 | 67% | |
| vs Santos Brazil Serie A | W 2–1 | 39% | |
| at Atletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A | D 2–2 | 28% | |
| vs Chapecoense-sc Brazil Serie A | D 1–1 | 20% | |
| vs Santos Copa Sudamericana | W 4–2 (penalties) | — | |
| vs Fluminense Brazil Serie A | W 3–1 | 46% | |
| at Santos Copa Sudamericana | L 0–2 | 40% | |
| at Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A | L 0–2 | 50% | |
| vs Vitoria Brazil Serie A | W 2–1 | — |
Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known.
Form
last 10 matches, all competitions| All | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| xG for per match | 1.47 | 1.60 | 1.07 |
| xG against per match | 0.98 | 0.85 | 1.45 |
| Corners per match (for / against) | 5.9 / 6.4 | 6.9 / 5.3 | 3.1 / 7.4 |
| Matches (n) | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Matches with xG | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| Matches with stats | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Form is context, not a forecast: the market already knows it. n = matches counted; xG and corners only where API-Football has match stats.
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