Ekstraklasa Predictions — Fair Odds & Value Bets

Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	33	15	13	5	57	38	+19	58
2	Jagiellonia	33	15	11	7	54	35	+19	56
3	Gornik Zabrze	33	15	8	10	49	38	+11	53
4	Raków Częstochowa	33	15	7	11	50	40	+10	52
5	Zaglebie Lubin	33	14	8	11	45	35	+10	50
6	GKS Katowice	33	14	7	12	50	44	+6	49
7	Legia Warszawa	34	12	13	9	41	37	+4	49
8	Korona Kielce	33	11	10	12	40	37	+3	43
9	Lechia Gdansk	32	12	7	13	58	59	-1	43
10	Radomiak Radom	33	11	10	12	48	52	-4	43
11	Wisla Plock	33	11	10	12	32	38	-6	43
12	Pogon Szczecin	33	12	6	15	42	44	-2	42
13	Motor Lublin	33	9	14	10	46	51	-5	41
14	Piast Gliwice	34	11	8	15	42	47	-5	41
15	Widzew Łódź	33	11	7	15	40	40	+0	40
16	Cracovia Krakow	33	7	16	10	33	41	-8	37
17	Arka Gdynia	32	9	8	15	33	59	-26	35
18	Nieciecza	32	8	7	17	39	63	-24	31

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	Lech Poznan	3.5	30.7%	0.3%
2	Wisla Krakow	4.4	20.6%	0.7%
3	Jagiellonia	5	16.9%	1.4%
4	Legia Warszawa	5.8	10.9%	2.1%
5	Raków Częstochowa	7.2	5.9%	4.4%
6	Gornik Zabrze	7.4	5.5%	4.6%
7	Wieczysta Kraków	10.2	1.2%	14.4%
8	Wisla Plock	10.4	1.4%	15.9%
9	GKS Katowice	10.4	1.2%	16.5%
10	Slask Wroclaw	10.5	1.3%	15.6%
11	Radomiak Radom	10.5	1.1%	16.6%
12	Cracovia Krakow	11.4	0.7%	23.1%
13	Pogon Szczecin	11.5	0.7%	23.3%
14	Motor Lublin	11.5	0.6%	22.6%
15	Piast Gliwice	12.5	0.4%	31.9%
16	Korona Kielce	12.6	0.6%	32.3%
17	Zaglebie Lubin	12.6	0.3%	33.2%
18	Widzew Łódź	13.5	0.1%	41.2%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Ekstraklasa predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Ekstraklasa is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Ekstraklasa fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Ekstraklasa betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Ekstraklasa match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.