Fair, margin-free probabilities for every La Liga fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
Across the matches we priced in La Liga, the market's average 1X2 margin is 5.50%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Matchbook at 0.63%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.
Matchbook → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →
Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 6 | +22 | 18 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 15 |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 13 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 | Deportivo La Coruna | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 | Espanyol | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 9 | Athletic Club | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Villarreal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Levante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Getafe | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | Malaga | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 |
| 20 | Elche | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 2 |
The sharpest public forecast for La Liga is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every La Liga fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
We publish an audit, not tips. For each La Liga match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.