Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Liga MX fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 12 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 | Club Queretaro | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 5 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 10 |
| 6 | Toluca | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 8 |
| 7 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 8 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 8 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Atlas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Monterrey | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Atlante FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 5 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Necaxa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 2 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
| # | Team | Avg. finish | P(title) | P(relegation) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 3.4 | 30.9% | 0% |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 4.2 | 19.3% | 0% |
| 3 | Club Tijuana | 4.7 | 14% | 0.3% |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 5.4 | 10.4% | 0.2% |
| 5 | Toluca | 5.7 | 9.7% | 0.6% |
| 6 | Atlas | 6.4 | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| 7 | Club Queretaro | 7.1 | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| 8 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 8.4 | 2.6% | 3.5% |
| 9 | Leon | 9.4 | 1.2% | 4.4% |
| 10 | CF Pachuca | 10.3 | 0.7% | 6.8% |
| 11 | Puebla | 10.3 | 0.4% | 7% |
| 12 | Atlante FC | 11.2 | 0.4% | 11.2% |
| 13 | Monterrey | 11.8 | 0.3% | 12.9% |
| 14 | Necaxa | 12.2 | 0.2% | 17% |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 12.9 | 0.1% | 24% |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 13.4 | 0% | 30.7% |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 0% | 89.8% |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 17.1 | 0% | 90.1% |
How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.
The sharpest public forecast for Liga MX is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Liga MX fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
We publish an audit, not tips. For each Liga MX match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.