Liga MX Predictions — Fair Odds & Value Bets

Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cruz Azul	43	25	14	4	76	47	+29	89
2	Toluca	41	21	11	9	71	38	+33	74
3	Guadalajara Chivas	40	21	7	12	67	47	+20	70
4	Tigres UANL	42	18	13	11	73	46	+27	67
5	Club America	37	18	9	10	58	42	+16	63
6	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	40	16	15	9	65	52	+13	63
7	CF Pachuca	39	17	8	14	51	44	+7	59
8	Club Tijuana	36	14	13	9	55	43	+12	55
9	Monterrey	37	15	7	15	61	58	+3	52
10	Atlas	35	12	9	14	39	51	-12	45
11	FC Juarez	37	12	8	17	55	65	-10	44
12	Club Queretaro	33	11	10	12	37	46	-9	43
13	Necaxa	33	10	7	16	42	54	-12	37
14	Atletico San Luis	33	9	5	19	49	56	-7	32
15	Leon	33	9	5	19	36	62	-26	32
16	Santos Laguna	33	8	5	20	39	65	-26	29
17	Mazatlán	31	5	10	16	40	64	-24	25
18	Puebla	33	6	7	20	32	65	-33	25

Predicted final table 2026/27 — 5,000 season simulations from our Elo ratings

#	Team	Avg. finish	P(title)	P(relegation)
1	Cruz Azul	3.1	38.7%	0%
2	Club Tijuana	5.6	12.4%	1.1%
3	Club America	6.2	8.7%	1.8%
4	CF Pachuca	6.6	7.4%	2.3%
5	Atlas	6.7	7.5%	2.3%
6	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	6.9	6.1%	2.6%
7	Toluca	7.2	6%	3.7%
8	Guadalajara Chivas	7.2	5.6%	3.1%
9	Necaxa	8.4	3.3%	5.2%
10	Tigres UANL	10	1.5%	12.3%
11	Monterrey	10.8	1.1%	15.3%
12	Atlante FC	11.2	0.7%	18.3%
13	Club Queretaro	12.3	0.3%	26.6%
14	Puebla	12.7	0.3%	28.9%
15	Atletico San Luis	12.8	0.3%	30.6%
16	FC Juarez	13.7	0.1%	39.4%
17	Leon	14.5	0.1%	48.9%
18	Santos Laguna	15.1	0%	57.6%

How to read this: we replay the entire remaining season thousands of times using team strength ratings built from historical results. These are probabilities, not predictions — our own research shows no model beats the betting market on a single match. Over a full season, however, the distribution of outcomes is informative. Updated weekly as real results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Liga MX predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Liga MX is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Liga MX fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Liga MX betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Liga MX match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.