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Ligue 1 predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Ligue 1 fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

benchmark Pinnacle · Edge Score flags real value
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Ligue 1
Monaco — Lens
Market probability (margin removed)
1
42%
X
26%
2
32%
1/2 Home or away 74%
Value flag 1 Monaco +2.8%
Fair price 1.96
LeoVegas (SE) 2.02
Edge shrinking ·
Ligue 1
Paris FC — Strasbourg
Market probability (margin removed)
1
47%
X
26%
2
27%
1/2 Home or away 74%
Micro-edge · monitor only 1 Paris FC +0.6%
Fair price 2.07
Betfair 2.08
Edge shrinking ·
Ligue 1
Angers — Estac Troyes
Market probability (margin removed)
1
44%
X
28%
2
29%
1/2 Home or away 72%
Fair odds 1.38
No value Edge Score 0 · the market is right
Ligue 1
Le Mans — Lorient
Market probability (margin removed)
1
32%
X
28%
2
40%
1/2 Home or away 72%
Micro-edge · monitor only 1 Le Mans +1.2%
Fair price 2.83
Betfair 2.86
Live price ·
Ligue 1
Lyon — Rennes
Market probability (margin removed)
1
46%
X
25%
2
30%
1/2 Home or away 75%
Micro-edge · monitor only 1 Lyon +0.8%
Fair price 2.17
1xBet 2.19
Live price ·
Ligue 1
Toulouse — Le Havre
Market probability (margin removed)
1
53%
X
26%
2
21%
1/X Home or draw 79%
Value flag 1 Toulouse +2.4%
Fair price 1.76
1xBet 1.80
Live price ·
Ligue 1
Auxerre — Stade Brestois 29
Market probability (margin removed)
1
35%
X
27%
2
38%
1/2 Home or away 73%
Micro-edge · monitor only 1 Auxerre +0.8%
Fair price 2.98
Betfair 3.00
Live price ·
Ligue 1
Nice — Lille
Market probability (margin removed)
1
25%
X
27%
2
48%
X/2 Draw or away 75%
Fair odds 1.33
expired we flagged +4.2% on 2 — the market has since corrected it
Ligue 1
Marseille — Paris Saint Germain
Market probability (margin removed)
1
16%
X
19%
2
65%
2 Away win 65%
Strong value 2 Paris Saint Germain +3.3%
Fair price 1.41
GTbets 1.46
Live price ·

Bookmaker margins on Ligue 1

Across the matches we priced in Ligue 1, the market's average 1X2 margin is 5.81%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Betfair at 0.61%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.

Betfair → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →

Standings — computed from our own settled results · 2026/27 season

Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.

No standings yet — we have not settled enough matches in this league this season. Standings build automatically as results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Ligue 1 predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Ligue 1 is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Ligue 1 fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Ligue 1 betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Ligue 1 match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

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