Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Premier League fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
Across the matches we priced in Premier League, the market's average 1X2 margin is 5.37%. The cheapest bookmaker we track on this league is Matchbook at 0.60%. The margin is the fee you pay before any skill; it is the single biggest controllable cost in betting.
Matchbook → · Bookmaker Margin Index → · Bookmaker margin (vig) and devigging →
Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.
No standings yet — we have not settled enough matches in this league this season. Standings build automatically as results come in.
The sharpest public forecast for Premier League is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Premier League fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
We publish an audit, not tips. For each Premier League match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.