Brighton
Next matches at the fair price, recent results next to what the market expected, and form over the last 10 matches.
Next matches
fair probability of each result and the best bookmaker price| Time | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 International · UEFA Conference League | |||||
| 11% 9.55 fair 9.30 | 16% 5.55 fair 6.08 | 73% 1.35 fair 1.37 | No value | ||
 England · Premier League | |||||
| 45% 2.19 fair 2.22 | 24% 3.98 fair 4.16 | 31% 3.34 fair 3.23 | Not re-checked | ||
Recent results
what happened next to the market's view before kick-off| Time | Opponent | Score | Market gave this result |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs Crystal Palace Premier League | W 5–0 | 69% | |
| vs Kauno Žalgiris UEFA Conference League | W 4–0 | 98% | |
| at Sunderland Premier League | W 2–0 | 40% | |
| vs Arsenal Premier League | W 3–0 | 18% | |
| at Coventry Premier League | W 5–0 | 50% | |
| vs Leeds Premier League | D 1–1 | 26% | |
| at Chelsea Premier League | L 3–4 | — | |
| vs Tromso UEFA Conference League | W 4–0 | — | |
| vs Aston Villa Premier League | W 4–0 | 43% | |
| at Tromso UEFA Conference League | D 0–0 | — |
Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known.
Form
last 10 matches, all competitions| All | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 3.4 | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 90% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 70% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 10% | 20% |
| xG for per match | 2.33 | 2.23 | 1.80 |
| xG against per match | 1.27 | 0.97 | 1.42 |
| Corners per match (for / against) | 6.3 / 3.9 | 6.2 / 3.6 | 5.7 / 5.6 |
| Matches (n) | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Matches with xG | 8 | 9 | 8 |
| Matches with stats | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Form is context, not a forecast: the market already knows it. n = matches counted; xG and corners only where API-Football has match stats.
Measured by TipsAudit
- Most accurate football prediction site? Ranked against the closing line
- Is Statarea accurate? Audited against the closing line
- Is ProSoccer.gr accurate? Audited against the closing line
- Is FootballPredictions.net accurate? Audited against the closing line
- Independent tipster audit: verified track records
- How to check if a tipster is legit
- Can you verify a Telegram tipster? What we found reading their tips
- Are free football prediction sites accurate? We measure them in public
- Which bookmaker has the lowest margin? Live index
- Free value bet finder for football
- What is closing line value (CLV)?
- Free football predictions dataset with closing odds (CSV)
- Our full track record: every prediction, losses included