Arouca
Next matches at the fair price, recent results next to what the market expected, and form over the last 10 matches.
Primeira Liga · Portugal Taça de Portugal
Next matches
fair probability of each result and the best bookmaker price| Time | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Portugal · Primeira Liga | |||||
| 45% 2.17 fair 2.24 | 30% 3.50 fair 3.31 +5.7% | 25% 3.60 fair 3.96 | Strong value | ||
Recent results
what happened next to the market's view before kick-off| Time | Opponent | Score | Market gave this result |
|---|---|---|---|
| at CF Os Belenenses Portugal Taça de Portugal | W 4–3 (after extra time) | — | |
| vs Estrela Primeira Liga | W 1–0 | 45% | |
| at Sporting CP Primeira Liga | D 2–2 | 10% | |
| vs Santa Clara Primeira Liga | L 1–2 | 32% | |
| at Estoril Primeira Liga | D 0–0 | 28% | |
| vs Maritimo Primeira Liga | W 2–1 | — | |
| at FC Porto Primeira Liga | L 0–2 | — | |
| vs Moreirense Primeira Liga | W 4–0 | 46% | |
| at Guimaraes Primeira Liga | W 1–0 | 23% |
Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known.
Form
last 10 matches, all competitions| All | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| xG for per match | 1.13 | 1.52 | 1.00 |
| xG against per match | 1.31 | 1.17 | 1.30 |
| Corners per match (for / against) | 3.3 / 5.4 | 4.0 / 4.8 | 2.9 / 6.1 |
| Matches (n) | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Matches with xG | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| Matches with stats | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Form is context, not a forecast: the market already knows it. n = matches counted; xG and corners only where API-Football has match stats.
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