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Primeira Liga predictions

Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Primeira Liga fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.

Upcoming audited matches

benchmark Pinnacle · Edge Score flags real value
★ TOP OPPORTUNITY
Primeira Liga
Estoril — Famalicao
Market probability (margin removed)
1
27%
X
31%
2
42%
X/2 Draw or away 73%
Strong value X Draw +9.7%
Fair price 3.19
Coolbet 3.50
Live price ·
Primeira Liga
Maritimo — Casa Pia
Market probability (margin removed)
1
36%
X
28%
2
36%
1/2 Home or away 72%
Fair odds 1.40
expired we flagged +2% on 1 — the market has since corrected it
Primeira Liga
Guimaraes — Arouca
Market probability (margin removed)
1
52%
X
26%
2
22%
1/X Home or draw 78%
Fair odds 1.28
expired we flagged +8.5% on 1 — the market has since corrected it
Primeira Liga
Estrela — Sporting CP
Market probability (margin removed)
1
6%
X
12%
2
82%
2 Away win 82%
Value flag 2 Sporting CP +2.2%
Fair price 1.21
Nordic Bet 1.24
Edge shrinking ·
Primeira Liga
FC Porto — Alverca
Market probability (margin removed)
1
84%
X
11%
2
5%
1 Home win 84%
Micro-edge · monitor only 1 FC Porto +0.6%
Fair price 1.19
Coolbet 1.20
Live price ·
Primeira Liga
GIL Vicente — Rio Ave
Market probability (margin removed)
1
52%
X
26%
2
22%
1/X Home or draw 78%
Fair odds 1.28
No value Edge Score 0 · the market is right
Primeira Liga
Moreirense — SC Braga
Market probability (margin removed)
1
20%
X
25%
2
56%
2 Away win 56%
Fair odds 1.80
No value Edge Score 0 · the market is right
Primeira Liga
Santa Clara — Nacional
Market probability (margin removed)
1
50%
X
27%
2
23%
1/X Home or draw 77%
Fair odds 1.29
expired we flagged +7.4% on 1 — the market has since corrected it

Standings — computed from our own settled results · 2026/27 season

Reconstructed from the matches in the TipsAudit dataset — not an official league table. Teams may show a different number of games played, and play-off or play-out stages are not separated. For the official table, use the league's own source.

No standings yet — we have not settled enough matches in this league this season. Standings build automatically as results come in.

Football predictions, answered honestly

What are the best Primeira Liga predictions?

The sharpest public forecast for Primeira Liga is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Primeira Liga fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.

Do you offer Primeira Liga betting tips?

We publish an audit, not tips. For each Primeira Liga match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.

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