Fair, margin-free probabilities for every Primeira Liga fixture, value flags when a bookmaker is wrong, and the table — built from sharp market data, not gut feeling.
No upcoming audited matches in this league right now. The audit runs continuously — check back soon.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 | AVS | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 | Tondela | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 1 |
| 6 | Arouca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 1 |
| 7 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 1 |
| 8 | Alverca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 1 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 | Torreense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 11 | GIL Vicente | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 13 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Moreirense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Guimaraes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
The sharpest public forecast for Primeira Liga is the betting market with the margin removed. We publish exactly that — the fair probability and fair odds for every Primeira Liga fixture — and flag only the matches a softer bookmaker is mispricing. No tipster consistently beats the closing line, and we do not pretend to.
We publish an audit, not tips. For each Primeira Liga match you get the fair price and an honest value check; every prediction is logged before kick-off and settled publicly, wins and losses alike, on our track record.