Alverca
Next matches at the fair price, recent results next to what the market expected, and form over the last 10 matches.
Primeira Liga · Portugal Taça de Portugal
Next matches
fair probability of each result and the best bookmaker price| Time | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45% 2.17 fair 2.24 | 30% 3.50 fair 3.31 +5.7% | 25% 3.60 fair 3.96 | Strong value | ||
Recent results
what happened next to the market's view before kick-off| Time | Opponent | Score | Market gave this result |
|---|---|---|---|
| at Tondela Portugal Taça de Portugal | L 0–2 (after extra time) | — | |
| at Famalicao Primeira Liga | W 4–1 | 21% | |
| vs Rio Ave Primeira Liga | W 1–0 | 55% | |
| at Nacional Primeira Liga | W 3–1 | 37% | |
| vs SC Braga Primeira Liga | L 1–2 | 56% | |
| vs Santa Clara Primeira Liga | D 1–1 | — | |
| at Sporting CP Primeira Liga | L 1–3 | — | |
| vs Estrela Primeira Liga | D 2–2 | 29% | |
| at FC Porto Primeira Liga | L 0–2 | 82% |
Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known.
Form
last 10 matches, all competitions| All | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% | 50% |
| xG for per match | 1.52 | 1.40 | 1.24 |
| xG against per match | 1.38 | 1.02 | 1.21 |
| Corners per match (for / against) | 4.8 / 3.9 | 5.7 / 3.0 | 4.9 / 5.1 |
| Matches (n) | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Matches with xG | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| Matches with stats | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Form is context, not a forecast: the market already knows it. n = matches counted; xG and corners only where API-Football has match stats.
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