Melbourne Victory

Next matches at the fair price, recent results next to what the market expected, and form over the last 10 matches.

A-League · AFC Champions League Two

Next matches

fair probability of each result and the best bookmaker price

How to read the table: colours, symbols and price times

How to read: 45% = fair chance, margin removed · 2.10 = best bookmaker price · bold % = most likely

2.35 Strong value = 3% or more above the fair odds · 2.35 Value flag = 1.5–3% · 2.35 Micro-edge = under 1.5%, monitor only · Value expired = a gap we flagged earlier that the market has since closed · Not checked yet = no fresh bookmaker or Pinnacle price to compare yet · Fair price only = reference competitions: the fair price only, no value check · ≈45% = fair price recorded earlier; no fresh Pinnacle price right now · XI = Starting line-ups confirmed · = add the match to My day (free account) · Bookmaker prices last updated at 16:34 UTC

Choose your bookmakers to see their price on every row →

Upcoming matches: the best bookmaker price and the fair price for each outcome
Time	Match	1	X	2	Value
International · AFC Champions League Two
Wed · 12:15 UTC	Persib BandungMelbourne Victory	41% fair 2.45	25% fair 3.96	34% fair 2.94	Fair price only
Australia · A-League
Sun · 04:00 UTC	Melbourne VictoryCentral Coast Mariners	68% 1.47 fair 1.46	18% 5.15 fair 5.66	14% 6.50 fair 7.11	Value expired

Recent results

what happened next to the market's view before kick-off

Time	Opponent	Score	Market gave this result
24 Oct	vs Melbourne City A-League	D 1–1	26%
18 Oct	at Wellington Phoenix A-League	L 1–2	26%
14 Oct	vs FC Seoul AFC Champions League Two	W 3–0	—
16 Sep	at Viettel AFC Champions League Two	D 1–1	—
02 May	vs Sydney A-League	L 0–1	—
25 Apr	at Western Sydney Wanderers A-League	W 2–0	—
17 Apr	vs Newcastle Jets A-League	D 2–2	—
11 Apr	at Auckland A-League	D 2–2	—
05 Apr	vs Wellington Phoenix A-League	L 0–1	—
21 Mar	vs Central Coast Mariners A-League	W 4–1	—

Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known. A dash means we did not price that match, or it went to extra time.

Form

last 10 matches, all competitions

	Last 10	Last 10 home	Last 10 away
Goals scored per match	1.6	2.0	1.6
Goals conceded per match	1.1	0.9	1.3
Over 2.5 goals	50%	50%	60%
Both teams scored	60%	60%	70%
Clean sheets	20%	20%	20%
Failed to score	20%	20%	10%
xG for per match	1.75	1.84	1.47
xG against per match	1.26	1.03	1.32
Corners per match (for / against)	6.4 / 5.1	6.6 / 3.7	6.7 / 6.3
Matches (n)	10	10	10
Matches with xG	7	9	8
Matches with stats	10	10	10

Form is context, not a forecast: the market already knows it. Each column counts that team's own last 10 matches of that kind (all, home, away), so the three columns cover different matches. n = matches counted; xG and corners only where API-Football has match stats.

Measured by TipsAudit