We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1835 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — Bukovyna · Ukraine Premier League | 2 · Bukovyna | 3.30 | 2.95 | 2.83 | +16.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Viktoria Žižkov — Příbram · Czech FNL | 2 · Příbram | 2.79 | 2.77 | 2.52 | +10.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps — St. Louis City · MLS | 1 · Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.49 | 1.43 | 1.47 | +1.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Monterey Bay — Phoenix Rising · USL Championship | 2 · Phoenix Rising | 2.43 | 2.28 | 2.06 | +18.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Real Salt Lake — Los Angeles FC · MLS | 2 · Los Angeles FC | 2.80 | 2.71 | 2.35 | +19.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy — New England Revolution · MLS | 2 · New England Revolution | 3.00 | 2.93 | 2.51 | +19.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Universitario — Comerciantes Unidos · Peru Liga 1 | 1 · Universitario | 1.33 | 1.32 | 1.28 | +3.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Tigres UANL — Necaxa · Liga MX | 1 · Tigres UANL | 1.80 | 1.64 | 1.76 | +2.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Austin — San Jose Earthquakes · MLS | 1 · Austin | 2.40 | 2.32 | 2.34 | +2.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| San Marcos de Arica — Deportes Copiapo · Chile Primera B | 1 · San Marcos de Arica | 2.02 | 1.88 | 1.83 | +10.4% | Won | +1.02 | |
| Minnesota United II — Colorado Rapids II · MLS Next Pro | 1 · Minnesota United II | 1.83 | 1.77 | 1.67 | +9.6% | Won | +0.83 | |
| Universidad de Chile — Coquimbo Unido · Primera Division Chile | 1 · Universidad de Chile | 2.08 | 1.95 | 1.93 | +7.8% | Won | +1.08 | |
| Philadelphia Union — CF Montreal · MLS | 1 · Philadelphia Union | 1.57 | 1.55 | 1.43 | +9.8% | Won | +0.57 | |
| Orlando City SC — San Diego · MLS | 2 · San Diego | 3.15 | 3.09 | 2.93 | +7.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Atletico San Luis — Guadalajara Chivas · Liga MX | 2 · Guadalajara Chivas | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.87 | -1.1% | Won | +0.85 | |
| San Luis — Cobreloa · Chile Primera B | 2 · Cobreloa | 3.50 | 3.33 | 3.37 | +3.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Everton de Vina — U. Catolica · Primera Division Chile | 1 · Everton de Vina | 3.00 | 2.97 | 2.68 | +11.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sao Paulo — Atletico-MG · Brazil Serie A | X · Draw | 3.44 | 3.17 | 3.33 | +3.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Maldonado — Wanderers · Uruguay Primera Division | 1 · Deportivo Maldonado | 2.23 | 2.05 | 2.04 | +9.3% | Won | +1.23 | |
| Quilmes — San Martin S.J. · Primera Nacional | 1 · Quilmes | 2.40 | 2.38 | — | — | Won | +1.40 | |
| Colegiales — Nueva Chicago · Primera Nacional | 1 · Colegiales | 1.93 | 1.88 | — | — | Won | +0.93 | |
| Almagro — Deportivo Maipu · Primera Nacional | 1 · Almagro | 2.75 | 2.65 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Mercedes — Defensores de Cambaceres · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.85 | 2.58 | +16.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Yupanqui — Leones de Rosario · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.30 | 3.18 | 2.80 | +17.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Puerto Nuevo — Lugano · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.86 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Muñiz — Sportivo Barracas · Primera C | 1 · Deportivo Muñiz | 3.40 | 3.30 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Atletico Atlas — General Lamadrid · Primera C | 1 · Atletico Atlas | 2.80 | 2.68 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Liniers — Deportivo Laferrere · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.92 | — | — | Won | +2.00 | |
| Sportivo Italiano — Flandria · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.10 | 2.99 | 2.69 | +15.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Merlo — Defensores Unidos · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.20 | 2.96 | 2.68 | +19.4% | Won | +2.20 | |
| Deportivo Camioneros — Argentino Quilmes · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Deportivo Camioneros | 1.92 | 1.90 | — | — | Won | +0.92 | |
| Real Pilar — Talleres Remedios · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.89 | 2.67 | +12.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| UAI Urquiza — Argentino de Merlo · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 2.95 | 2.86 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Villa Dalmine — Arsenal Sarandi · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.05 | 2.82 | 2.59 | +17.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Willem II — Excelsior · Eredivisie | 1 · Willem II | 3.05 | 3.01 | 3.17 | -3.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Swansea — Wrexham · Championship | 1 · Swansea | 2.55 | 2.29 | 2.25 | +13.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Novorizontino — Avai · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Novorizontino | 1.51 | 1.49 | 1.48 | +2.0% | Won | +0.51 | |
| RB Bragantino — Bahia · Brazil Serie A | 1 · RB Bragantino | 2.10 | 2.08 | 1.93 | +8.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| AS Roma — Atalanta · Serie A | 1 · AS Roma | 1.83 | 1.77 | 1.73 | +5.8% | Won | +0.83 | |
| Levski Sofia — CSKA 1948 · Bulgaria First League | 1 · Levski Sofia | 1.74 | 1.60 | 1.58 | +10.1% | Won | +0.74 | |
| Olimpija Ljubljana — Brinje-Grosuplje · Slovenia PrvaLiga | 1 · Olimpija Ljubljana | 1.72 | 1.68 | 1.71 | +0.6% | Won | +0.72 | |
| Motor Lublin — Legia Warszawa · Ekstraklasa | 2 · Legia Warszawa | 1.97 | 1.95 | 2.02 | -2.5% | Won | +0.97 | |
| HNK Rijeka — NK Osijek · Croatia HNL | 1 · HNK Rijeka | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.85 | +2.7% | Won | +0.90 | |
| Macva — Radnicki 1923 · Serbia Super Liga | 2 · Radnicki 1923 | 2.15 | 2.05 | 1.97 | +9.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Mladost Lucani — Radnicki NIS · Serbia Super Liga | X · Draw | 3.30 | 3.23 | 2.94 | +12.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Saint Etienne — Montpellier · Ligue 2 | 1 · Saint Etienne | 1.61 | 1.59 | 1.56 | +3.2% | Won | +0.61 | |
| Centro Español — Sacachispas · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.05 | 2.83 | 2.53 | +20.6% | Won | +2.05 | |
| Carrarese — Empoli · Serie B | 1 · Carrarese | 2.55 | 2.47 | 2.41 | +5.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Tiszakecske FC — Szentlőrinc SE · Hungary NB II | 1 · Tiszakecske FC | 1.91 | 1.78 | 1.68 | +13.7% | Won | +0.91 | |
| Gyirmot SE — Karcag SE · Hungary NB II | 1 · Gyirmot SE | 1.93 | 1.76 | 1.66 | +16.3% | Won | +0.93 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.