We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
Filtered view — 1840 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comerciantes Unidos — FC Cajamarca · Peru Liga 1 | 1 · Comerciantes Unidos | 1.70 | 1.63 | 1.62 | +4.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Throttur Reykjavik — Ægir · 1. Deild | 1 · Throttur Reykjavik | 1.19 | 1.12 | 1.07 | +11.2% | Won | +0.19 | |
| Fylkir — Grotta · 1. Deild | 1 · Fylkir | 1.40 | 1.37 | 1.44 | -2.8% | Won | +0.40 | |
| 3 de Noviembre — Independiente F.b.c. · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 1 · 3 de Noviembre | 3.30 | 3.11 | 2.76 | +19.6% | Won | +2.30 | |
| UCD — Finn Harps · First Division Ireland | 1 · UCD | 1.40 | 1.30 | 1.21 | +15.7% | Won | +0.40 | |
| Bayern München — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga | 1 · Bayern München | 1.35 | 1.31 | 1.28 | +5.5% | Won | +0.35 | |
| CSKA 1948 — Lokomotiv Plovdiv · Bulgaria First League | 1 · CSKA 1948 | 1.65 | 1.58 | 1.51 | +9.3% | Won | +0.65 | |
| FA Šiauliai II — Minija · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 2 · Minija | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.15 | +13.0% | Won | +0.30 | |
| Slavia Sofia — Septemvri Sofia · Bulgaria First League | 1 · Slavia Sofia | 1.97 | 1.87 | 1.92 | +2.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Kladno — Viktoria Žižkov · Czech FNL | 2 · Viktoria Žižkov | 2.85 | 2.79 | 2.39 | +19.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Atlantis — HIFK Helsinki · Kakkonen | 1 · Atlantis | 1.82 | 1.72 | 1.61 | +13.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Dainava — Žalgiris II · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1 · Dainava | 1.72 | 1.60 | 1.52 | +13.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Tauras — BFA · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1 · Tauras | 2.05 | 1.92 | 1.78 | +15.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Kolos Kovalivka — Obolon'-Brovar · Ukraine Premier League | 1 · Kolos Kovalivka | 1.90 | 1.78 | 1.63 | +16.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Kolos Kovalivka II — SK Poltava · Ukraine Persha Liga | 2 · SK Poltava | 2.15 | 2.12 | 1.82 | +18.1% | Won | +1.15 | |
| Ansan Greeners — Daegu FC · K League 2 | 2 · Daegu FC | 1.45 | 1.44 | 1.41 | +2.8% | Won | +0.45 | |
| Barcelona — Athletic Club · La Liga | 1 · Barcelona | 1.50 | 1.44 | 1.41 | +6.4% | Won | +0.50 | |
| El Paso Locomotive — Pittsburgh Riverhounds · USL Championship | 1 · El Paso Locomotive | 2.38 | 2.36 | 2.21 | +7.7% | Won | +1.38 | |
| Cucuta — Alianza Valledupar · Primera A | 2 · Alianza Valledupar | 3.50 | 3.25 | 3.79 | -7.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Llaneros — Millonarios · Primera A | X · Draw | 3.25 | 3.19 | 3.02 | +7.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Internacional de Bogota — Deportivo Pasto · Primera A | X · Draw | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.93 | +12.6% | Won | +2.30 | |
| Real Madrid — Real Sociedad · La Liga | 1 · Real Madrid | 1.48 | 1.42 | 1.39 | +6.5% | Won | +0.48 | |
| Asane — Lyn · Norway 1. Division | 2 · Lyn | 2.25 | 2.22 | 1.88 | +19.7% | Won | +1.25 | |
| Stromsgodset — hodd · Norway 1. Division | 1 · Stromsgodset | 1.32 | 1.28 | 1.21 | +9.1% | Won | +0.32 | |
| Mercedes — Sacachispas · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.15 | 2.92 | 2.60 | +21.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Yupanqui — Atletico Atlas · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.25 | 3.08 | 2.73 | +19.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Puerto Nuevo — Defensores de Cambaceres · Primera C | X · Draw | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.63 | +10.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Victoriano Arenas — Berazategui · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.74 | 2.46 | +22.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Canuelas — Leones de Rosario · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.87 | 2.56 | +17.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Leandro N. Alem — Lugano · Primera C | X · Draw | 3.15 | 2.98 | 2.65 | +18.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Gangwon FC — Gwangju FC · K League 1 | 1 · Gangwon FC | 1.56 | 1.55 | 1.55 | +0.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Liniers — Deportivo Armenio · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 2.88 | 2.74 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Sportivo Italiano — Defensores Unidos · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Sportivo Italiano | 1.75 | 1.64 | 1.56 | +12.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| San Martín Burzaco — Argentino Quilmes · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · San Martín Burzaco | 2.60 | 2.50 | 2.31 | +12.6% | Won | +1.60 | |
| Excursionistas — Argentino de Merlo · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Excursionistas | 1.81 | 1.68 | 1.75 | +3.4% | Won | +0.81 | |
| Deportivo Merlo — Dock Sud · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.98 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Villa San Carlos — Flandria · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.96 | 2.64 | +13.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Camioneros — Comunicaciones · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.20 | 3.09 | — | — | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Real Pilar — Brown DE Adrogue · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 3.20 | 3.04 | 2.68 | +19.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| UAI Urquiza — Deportivo Laferrere · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 2.95 | 2.92 | 2.70 | +9.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Villa Dalmine — Talleres Remedios · Primera B Metropolitana | X · Draw | 2.80 | 2.73 | 2.47 | +13.4% | Won | +1.80 | |
| Arsenal Sarandi — Ituzaingó · Primera B Metropolitana | 1 · Arsenal Sarandi | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.32 | +6.1% | Won | +0.40 | |
| Afturelding — Grotta · 1. Deild | 1 · Afturelding | 1.45 | 1.38 | 1.21 | +19.8% | Won | +0.45 | |
| Valencia — Real Betis · La Liga | 1 · Valencia | 2.83 | 2.82 | 2.69 | +5.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Žalgiris II — Transinvest 2 · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1 · Žalgiris II | 1.72 | 1.55 | 1.45 | +18.6% | Won | +0.72 | |
| Fulham — Chelsea · Premier League | 2 · Chelsea | 2.32 | 2.13 | 2.06 | +12.6% | Won | +1.32 | |
| AS Roma — Fiorentina · Serie A | 1 · AS Roma | 1.63 | 1.61 | 1.57 | +3.8% | Won | +0.63 | |
| Ostersunds FK — Ljungskile SK · Superettan | 1 · Ostersunds FK | 2.05 | 2.04 | 1.92 | +6.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Colorado Rapids II — Real Monarchs · MLS Next Pro | 1 · Colorado Rapids II | 2.04 | 2.00 | 2.05 | -0.5% | Won | +1.04 | |
| Huntsville City — Columbus Crew II · MLS Next Pro | 1 · Huntsville City | 2.12 | 2.04 | 1.92 | +10.4% | Won | +1.12 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.