We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
Filtered view — 430 predictions match.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Value bet | Soft odds | Fair | Close | CLV | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara — Athletic Club · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Ceara | 2.02 | 1.90 | 1.95 | +3.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Atletico Goianiense — Fortaleza EC · Brazil Serie B | X · Draw | 3.20 | 2.98 | 2.91 | +10.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Avai — Nautico Recife · Brazil Serie B | X · Draw | 3.35 | 3.08 | 2.90 | +15.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Gais — IF Elfsborg · Allsvenskan | 1 · Gais | 2.10 | 2.03 | 1.88 | +11.7% | Won | +1.10 | |
| Operario-PR — Novorizontino · Brazil Serie B | X · Draw | 3.20 | 2.99 | 2.97 | +7.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| All Boys — Almirante Brown · Primera Nacional | X · Draw | 2.70 | 2.59 | 2.49 | +8.4% | Won | +1.70 | |
| Galway United — Sligo Rovers · Premier Division | 1 · Galway United | 1.77 | 1.72 | 1.72 | +2.9% | Won | +0.77 | |
| Tromso — Valerenga · Eliteserien | 1 · Tromso | 1.88 | 1.85 | 1.75 | +7.4% | Won | +0.88 | |
| Gnistan — Mariehamn · Veikkausliiga | 1 · Gnistan | 1.55 | 1.51 | 1.32 | +17.4% | Won | +0.55 | |
| Lahti — HJK Helsinki · Veikkausliiga | 2 · HJK Helsinki | 2.08 | 1.97 | 2.37 | -12.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Juventude — Vila Nova · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Juventude | 2.02 | 1.93 | 1.92 | +5.2% | Won | +1.02 | |
| IR Reykjavik — Throttur Reykjavik · 1. Deild | 2 · Throttur Reykjavik | 1.97 | 1.87 | 1.76 | +11.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Kooteepee — JäPS · Ykkösliiga | 1 · Kooteepee | 1.52 | 1.50 | 1.32 | +15.2% | Won | +0.52 | |
| Ponte Preta — Criciuma · Brazil Serie B | 2 · Criciuma | 1.89 | 1.85 | 1.61 | +17.4% | Won | +0.89 | |
| Botafogo SP — Avai · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Botafogo SP | 2.20 | 2.01 | 1.75 | +25.7% | Won | +1.20 | |
| Keflavik — Fram Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild | 1 · Keflavik | 3.30 | 3.08 | 3.50 | -5.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| BK Hacken — Djurgardens IF · Allsvenskan | 2 · Djurgardens IF | 3.00 | 2.73 | 2.66 | +12.8% | Won | +2.00 | |
| IF Brommapojkarna — Gais · Allsvenskan | 2 · Gais | 2.30 | 2.24 | 2.32 | -0.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Central Norte — San Miguel · Primera Nacional | X · Draw | 2.80 | 2.78 | 2.68 | +4.5% | Won | +1.80 | |
| San Martin S.J. — Chacarita Juniors · Primera Nacional | 1 · San Martin S.J. | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.85 | -1.1% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Midland — Gimnasia Jujuy · Primera Nacional | X · Draw | 3.10 | 3.07 | 2.97 | +4.4% | Won | +2.10 | |
| Patronato — San Martin Tucuman · Primera Nacional | X · Draw | 2.95 | 2.92 | 2.65 | +11.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Deportivo Madryn — Colon Santa Fe · Primera Nacional | 2 · Colon Santa Fe | 3.25 | 3.17 | 3.28 | -0.9% | Won | +2.25 | |
| CA Estudiantes — Racing Cordoba · Primera Nacional | X · Draw | 3.00 | 2.90 | 3.02 | -0.7% | Won | +2.00 | |
| ODD Ballklubb — Haugesund · Norway 1. Division | 1 · ODD Ballklubb | 2.50 | 2.39 | 2.42 | +3.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| IF Elfsborg — Hammarby FF · Allsvenskan | 2 · Hammarby FF | 2.07 | 2.04 | 1.85 | +11.9% | Won | +1.07 | |
| IFK Goteborg — AIK Stockholm · Allsvenskan | 1 · IFK Goteborg | 2.57 | 2.37 | 1.93 | +33.2% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Londrina — CRB · Brazil Serie B | X · Draw | 3.30 | 3.23 | 3.21 | +2.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Temperley — Tristan Suarez · Primera Nacional | X · Draw | 2.95 | 2.90 | 2.65 | +11.3% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Nueva Chicago — Club Atlético Güemes · Primera Nacional | 1 · Nueva Chicago | 2.16 | 2.15 | 1.95 | +10.8% | Won | +1.16 | |
| Colegiales — Gimnasia Y Tiro · Primera Nacional | 1 · Colegiales | 2.25 | 2.10 | 1.88 | +19.7% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Valur Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild | 1 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2.33 | 2.24 | 2.30 | +1.3% | Won | +1.33 | |
| VPS — Mariehamn · Veikkausliiga | 1 · VPS | 1.46 | 1.44 | 1.28 | +14.1% | Won | +0.46 | |
| Grindavik — Vestri · 1. Deild | 1 · Grindavik | 2.60 | 2.57 | 2.44 | +6.6% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| IA Akranes — Breidablik · Urvalsdeild | 2 · Breidablik | 2.60 | 2.58 | 2.44 | +6.6% | Won | +1.60 | |
| FF Jaro — Ilves · Veikkausliiga | 1 · FF Jaro | 3.35 | 3.11 | 4.01 | -16.5% | Won | +2.35 | |
| Degerfors IF — Malmo FF · Allsvenskan | 1 · Degerfors IF | 3.50 | 3.25 | 3.02 | +15.9% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Tianjin Teda — Sichuan Jiuniu · China Super League | 2 · Sichuan Jiuniu | 3.20 | 3.14 | 3.30 | -3.0% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Egersund — Moss · Norway 1. Division | 2 · Moss | 3.50 | 3.30 | 3.20 | +9.4% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Lahti — Gnistan · Veikkausliiga | 1 · Lahti | 2.28 | 2.20 | 2.29 | -0.4% | Won | +1.28 | |
| Qingdao Youth Island — SHANGHAI SIPG · China Super League | 1 · Qingdao Youth Island | 3.31 | 3.00 | 2.75 | +20.4% | Won | +2.31 | |
| IR Reykjavik — Afturelding · 1. Deild | 2 · Afturelding | 2.05 | 1.98 | 1.75 | +17.1% | Won | +1.05 | |
| Ægir — Fylkir · 1. Deild | 2 · Fylkir | 1.46 | 1.36 | 1.35 | +8.1% | Won | +0.46 | |
| Drogheda United — Bohemians · Premier Division | 2 · Bohemians | 1.88 | 1.83 | 1.80 | +4.4% | Won | +0.88 | |
| Raufoss — Strommen · Norway 1. Division | 2 · Strommen | 2.85 | 2.69 | 2.44 | +16.8% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| JäPS — SJK Akatemia · Ykkösliiga | 1 · JäPS | 2.14 | 1.99 | 1.93 | +10.9% | Won | +1.14 | |
| Vikingur Reykjavik — KA Akureyri · Urvalsdeild | 1 · Vikingur Reykjavik | 1.27 | 1.24 | 1.15 | +10.4% | Won | +0.27 | |
| IA Akranes — Fram Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild | 2 · Fram Reykjavik | 2.60 | 2.52 | 2.32 | +12.1% | Won | +1.60 | |
| Nautico Recife — Goias · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Nautico Recife | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.90 | +0.5% | Lost | -1.00 | |
| Atletico Goianiense — Ponte Preta · Brazil Serie B | 1 · Atletico Goianiense | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.34 | +15.7% | Won | +0.55 |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.