Independent audit · measured, not opined

FreeSuperTips, audited against the closing line

Not distinguishable from the market In plain words: so far the odds on FreeSuperTips's predictions cannot be told apart from the fair closing price.

As of 27 Oct 2026, FreeSuperTips has 206 settled predictions on matches we price. Of the 186 that were won or lost at a bookmaker price recorded when we read them, 47.8% were right, against 49.5% needed to break even at those odds. Flat-stake return at the recorded odds: -0.7% on 186 priced predictions. Closing line value: -0.51% (95% interval -1.63% to +0.61%, 180 predictions). The interval includes zero, so these predictions cannot yet be told apart from the market.

Measured by market

Market CLV (95% interval) Hit rate Break-even ROI Settled Read On our matches
Match result (1X2) +0.91% [-0.72; +2.55] · n=95 51.0%n=96 44.5% from 100 picks 96 109 108
Double chance -2.14% n=21 40.9%n=22 51.3% from 100 picks 22 25 25
Over/under goals -1.19% [-3.96; +1.46] · n=34 37.1%n=35 52.0% from 100 picks 36 44 43
Both teams to score -3.09% [-4.95; -1.19] · n=30 54.5%n=33 60.2% from 100 picks 52 56 56
Correct score Right 12.8% of the time; the estimated fair chance of the scores they chose was 8.7% (78 settled with a fair-chance estimate). 87 99 99
All except correct score -0.51% [-1.63; +0.61] · n=180 47.8%n=186 49.5% -0.7% 206 234 232

Hit rate and break-even use the predictions won or lost at a bookmaker price recorded when we read them (n under the rate; the best soft-bookmaker odds, exchanges excluded). CLV is measured against Pinnacle's closing price on the same selection with the margin removed; the 95% interval appears from 30 predictions and the return from 100 priced predictions. Correct score has no closing line: we compare its hit rate with the estimated fair chance of the chosen scores when we read them, from our score model fitted to Pinnacle's 1X2 and over/under 2.5 prices with the margin removed. It is an estimate, not a bookmaker price.

What they claim

“All our predictions are fully researched and completely free but we can’t guarantee winners.”

— freesupertips.com/both-teams-to-score-tips · read on 14 Oct 2026

Quoted word for word from their public pages. We found no measured hit rate, return or closing line value for FreeSuperTips's own predictions on the pages we read; the figures on this page are ours.

How we measure

We read their public prediction pages every day before kick-off; we publish only aggregate figures, never their picks. Each prediction is matched to a fixture we price, settled on the 90-minute result, priced at the best bookmaker odds available when we read it (exchanges excluded) and compared with Pinnacle's closing price on the same selection with the margin removed. A prediction read after kick-off does not count.

Coverage since 14 Oct 2026: 333 predictions read on all markets, 331 of them on matches we price, of which 293 are settled and 35 still pending. Since 17 Oct 2026 we also look up the predictions we cannot match in our data provider's fixture list for all competitions: of the 2 looked up, 1 turned out to be fixtures in competitions we do not cover. Pages we read every day: freesupertips.com/free-football-betting-tips.

Full methodology → Are free football prediction sites accurate? We measure them in public → What is closing line value (CLV)? →

Frequently asked

Is FreeSuperTips accurate?

As of 27 Oct 2026, FreeSuperTips has 206 settled predictions on matches we price. Of the 186 that were won or lost at a bookmaker price recorded when we read them, 47.8% were right, against 49.5% needed to break even at those odds. Flat-stake return at the recorded odds: -0.7% on 186 priced predictions. Closing line value: -0.51% (95% interval -1.63% to +0.61%, 180 predictions). The interval includes zero, so these predictions cannot yet be told apart from the market.

How many of FreeSuperTips's predictions did TipsAudit check?

Since 14 Oct 2026 we have read 333 public predictions from FreeSuperTips. 331 are on matches we price: 293 settled, 35 still pending, 3 read after kick-off (these do not count) and 0 void or without a usable result. The other 2 are not, or not yet, matched to a fixture we price. Since 17 Oct 2026 we also look these up in our data provider's fixture list for all competitions: of the 2 looked up, 1 turned out to be fixtures in competitions we do not cover. We read their public prediction pages every day before kick-off and publish only aggregate figures.

What is FreeSuperTips's closing line value?

Across 180 predictions with a measurable close, FreeSuperTips's average closing line value is -0.51% (95% interval -1.63% to +0.61%), measured against Pinnacle's closing price on the same selection with the margin removed. The interval includes zero, so these predictions cannot yet be told apart from the market.

Which market is FreeSuperTips best at?

Of the 3 markets with at least 30 predictions with a measurable close, the strongest by closing line value is Match result (1X2): +0.91% (95% interval -0.72% to +2.55%, 95 predictions). The interval includes zero, so these predictions cannot yet be told apart from the market. The other markets need 30 each; so far: Double chance: 21. Correct-score picks have no closing line; in the table above their hit rate is compared with the estimated fair chance of the chosen scores (our score model, fitted to Pinnacle's prices).

Right of reply: if FreeSuperTips disputes a figure on this page, write to us and we will publish the response next to it.

We have no affiliation with FreeSuperTips or with any bookmaker, sell no picks and measure our own predictions the same way.

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