Tuesday, 27 October 2026

Correct score predictions today

The most likely final scores of each match, estimated from the fair home/draw/away and over/under 2.5 prices (bookmaker margin removed). An estimate from market prices, not a bookmaker's correct-score quote.

An estimate from fair market prices, not a bookmaker's quote: even the most likely score usually has only 10–17%. How these estimates did on past matches →

How these numbers are made

Scores are estimated with two Poisson distributions and a low-score correction, fitted to the fair 1X2 and over/under 2.5 probabilities (Pinnacle, margin removed). Even the most likely score usually has only 10–17%: most matches end in a less likely score. How these estimates did on past matches →

Correct score predictions today
Time Match Most likely estimate2nd3rd
AS Roma Cagliari Serie A · from prices updated 2–0 15% est. 6.48 1–0 14% est. 7.34 3–0 12% est. 8.68
Sassuolo Lazio Serie A · from prices updated 1–1 12% est. 8.11 1–2 10% est. 10.43 0–2 8% est. 12.84
Torino Como Serie A · from prices updated 1–1 11% est. 8.71 1–2 10% est. 10.09 0–2 9% est. 10.96
Fleetwood Town Arsenal EFL Cup · from prices updated 0–3 14% est. 7.35 0–4 12% est. 8.30 0–2 12% est. 8.69
Bradford Peterborough EFL Cup · from prices updated 1–1 10% est. 9.60 2–1 10% est. 10.07 2–0 9% est. 10.73
Argentinos JRS Independ. Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional · from prices updated 1–1 14% est. 7.00 1–0 12% est. 8.02 0–0 12% est. 8.51
Padova Sudtirol Serie B · from prices updated 1–1 15% est. 6.80 0–0 12% est. 8.58 1–0 11% est. 8.71
Mantova Cremonese Serie B · from prices updated 1–1 14% est. 7.07 0–0 9% est. 10.71 1–0 9% est. 10.81
Ascoli Sampdoria Serie B · from prices updated 1–1 14% est. 7.10 2–1 9% est. 10.81 0–0 9% est. 11.21
Virtus Entella Avellino Serie B · from prices updated 1–1 14% est. 7.17 1–0 12% est. 8.56 0–0 10% est. 9.53
Cesena Empoli Serie B · from prices updated 1–1 14% est. 7.25 1–0 10% est. 9.98 2–1 9% est. 10.67
Vicenza Virtus Modena Serie B · from prices updated 1–1 13% est. 7.62 1–2 9% est. 10.55 0–1 9% est. 11.51
Benevento Catanzaro Serie B · from prices updated 2–1 10% est. 10.07 2–0 10% est. 10.20 1–1 10% est. 10.41
Arda Kardzhali Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League · from prices updated 0–1 17% est. 5.93 0–2 13% est. 7.42 0–0 12% est. 8.67
Juan Pablo II College Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 · from prices updated 1–1 13% est. 7.47 1–2 9% est. 11.54 0–1 8% est. 12.47
Ceara Goias Brazil Serie B · from prices updated 1–1 13% est. 7.75 1–0 9% est. 10.62 2–1 9% est. 10.69
Sheffield Wednesday Cambridge United League One · from prices updated 1–1 12% est. 8.36 2–1 9% est. 10.62 1–0 9% est. 11.69
Koper Maribor Slovenia PrvaLiga · from prices updated 1–1 12% est. 8.54 1–2 9% est. 11.60 2–1 8% est. 12.24
UCD Longford Town First Division Ireland · from prices updated 1–1 11% est. 8.75 2–1 10% est. 10.45 2–0 8% est. 13.32
AIK Stockholm IF Elfsborg Allsvenskan · from prices updated 1–1 11% est. 9.03 1–2 9% est. 10.54 0–2 7% est. 13.90
Landskrona BoIS Varbergs BoIS FC Superettan · from prices updated 1–1 11% est. 9.28 2–1 10% est. 10.47 1–0 9% est. 11.36
Milton Keynes Dons Bromley League One · from prices updated 1–0 11% est. 9.46 2–0 10% est. 9.57 1–1 10% est. 9.78
Dinamo Zagreb HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL · from prices updated 2–0 10% est. 9.74 2–1 10% est. 10.06 1–1 10% est. 10.07
Luton Doncaster League One · from prices updated 2–1 10% est. 10.33 2–0 9% est. 10.67 1–1 8% est. 12.26

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