Libertad
Next matches at the fair price, recent results next to what the market expected, and form over the last 10 matches.
Next matches
fair probability of each result and the best bookmaker priceNo upcoming match with a sharp price yet.
Recent results
what happened next to the market's view before kick-off| Time | Opponent | Score | Market gave this result |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs Guayaquil City FC Ecuador LigaPro | W 4–0 | 52% | |
| vs Leones del Norte Ecuador LigaPro | W 3–0 | 38% | |
| at Emelec Ecuador LigaPro | W 2–1 | 16% | |
| vs Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro | L 2–3 | 52% | |
| at Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro | W 1–0 | 19% | |
| vs Emelec Ecuador LigaPro | D 1–1 | 31% | |
| at Aucas Ecuador LigaPro | L 0–1 | 63% | |
| vs Macara Ecuador LigaPro | W 1–0 | 28% | |
| at Guayaquil City FC Ecuador LigaPro | D 2–2 | 29% | |
| vs Universidad Catolica Ecuador LigaPro | W 2–1 | 20% |
Pinnacle closing price with the margin removed: the market's chance of the result that happened. A low number means the result was a surprise, not that anyone could have known.
Form
last 10 matches, all competitions| All | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 60% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 30% |
| xG for per match | 1.76 | 1.66 | 0.91 |
| xG against per match | 1.12 | 0.97 | 2.63 |
| Corners per match (for / against) | 4.4 / 5.2 | 4.2 / 5.0 | 3.0 / 7.8 |
| Matches (n) | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Matches with xG | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Matches with stats | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Form is context, not a forecast: the market already knows it. n = matches counted; xG and corners only where API-Football has match stats.
Measured by TipsAudit
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- Free value bet finder for football
- What is closing line value (CLV)?
- Free football predictions dataset with closing odds (CSV)
- Our full track record: every prediction, losses included