Claimed vs. measured
measured on 12 of 210 picks
How the numbers narrow: 210 posts collected from the public channel → 100 unique picks we could settle against a real fixture → 12 with a verified closing price, which is the only subset on which CLV can be measured at all.
Verdict: Beats the closing line
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Audited picks
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HK Kopavogur — Vestri · 1. Deild | 1X DC | — | — | Won | |
| Kalmar — Malmo · Allsvenskan | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Norrby — Sundsvall · Superettan | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Orgryte — Djurgarden · Allsvenskan | X2 DC | — | — | Won | |
| Super Nova — Grobina · Latvia Virsliga | OVER OU25 | — | — | Lost | |
| Mariehamn — Lahti · Veikkausliiga | X2 DC | — | — | Won | |
| Spain — Argentina · World Cup | OVER OU25 | — | — | Lost | |
| FF Jaro — Inter Turku · Veikkausliiga | X2 DC | — | — | Won | |
| Halmstad — Hacken · Allsvenskan | X2 DC | — | — | Won | |
| Elfsborg — Sirius · Allsvenskan | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Hammarby — Degerfors · Allsvenskan | 1 1X2 | — | — | Won | |
| France — England · World Cup | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| France — England · World Cup | 1 1X2 | — | — | Lost | |
| Viking — Sandefjord · Eliteserien | 1 1X2 | — | — | Won | |
| Molde — Brann · Eliteserien | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Lillestrom — KFUM · Eliteserien | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Kristiansund — Sarpsborg · Eliteserien | OVER OU25 | — | — | Lost | |
| IK Start — Rosenborg · Eliteserien | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| AC Oulu — Gnistan · Veikkausliiga | OVER OU25 | — | — | Lost | |
| AIK — GAIS · Allsvenskan | OVER OU25 | — | — | Lost | |
| Bodø/Glimt — Fredrikstad · Eliteserien | 1X DC | — | — | Won | |
| Mjällby — Västerås · Allsvenskan | OVER OU25 | — | — | Lost | |
| Goteborg — Brommapojkarna · Allsvenskan | 1X DC | — | — | Won | |
| Mjallby — Vasteras · Allsvenskan | UNDER OU25 | 1.41 | — | Won | |
| Mornar Bar — Atlètic Club d'Escaldes · UEFA Conference League | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| MSK Zilina — Hajduk Split · UEFA Europa League | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Ferencvaros — Vojvodina · UEFA Europa League | 1X DC | — | — | Won | |
| Ferencvaros — Vojvodina · UEFA Europa League | 1 1X2 | — | — | Won | |
| Shkendija Tetovo — Europa FC · UEFA Conference League | 1X DC | — | — | Won | |
| Derry City — CSKA Sofia · UEFA Europa League | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Zalgiris Vilnius — OFK Petrovac · UEFA Conference League | 1X DC | — | — | Won | |
| Vikingur Gota — Stjarnan · UEFA Conference League | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Vålerenga — Aalesund · Eliteserien | 1 1X2 | 1.45 | -12.7% | Won | |
| Dinamo Tbilisi — Mondorf · UEFA Conference League | 1 1X2 | — | — | Lost | |
| Rigas FS — Glentoran · UEFA Conference League | OVER OU25 | — | — | Lost | |
| Torpedo Kutaisi — Zira FK · UEFA Conference League | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| St Joseph — Bohemians Dublin · UEFA Conference League | X2 DC | — | — | Won | |
| Paide Linnameeskond — Hegelmann · UEFA Conference League | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| England — Argentina · World Cup | OVER OU25 | 1.41 | — | Won | |
| France — Spain · World Cup | 1X DC | 1.38 | — | Lost |
TipsAudit Trust Score
The Trust Score (0–100) is computed only from what we can measure: closing line value on verified picks, the size and age of the verified sample, and the gap between advertised claims and measured reality. It is deliberately conservative — without enough verified picks, no record can score as credible, no matter how good it looks. Most tipsters score C (insufficient evidence) because most records simply cannot be verified. A high score requires hundreds of verified picks with positive CLV; an F requires measured contradiction between claims and reality, not just bad results.
How to read this audit
100 settled picks is a small sample — far too small to prove skill either way. Treat any percentage on this page as weather, not climate. Why sample size matters →
Average closing line value measured on the picks we verified: +2.5%. CLV compares the tipped price with the sharpest closing price — it is the one metric pick selection cannot fake. What CLV means →
How we audit
We read each tipster's publicly posted picks, log them with their timestamp before kick-off, link them to real fixtures and settle them on the final result. Win rate and ROI use the odds the tipster quoted. CLV compares the price they took to the sharp closing line — the metric most strongly linked to a real edge. We only count picks we can independently verify, and we publish the losses. We are not affiliated with any tipster.
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