AnalysisTips — independent audit

52/100 · C TipsAudit Trust Score — Insufficient evidence

AnalysisTips has been audited over 125 verified picks. Measured win rate: 70% (claimed: not stated). Flat-stakes ROI: -0.3%. Closing line value: +2.5%. Verdict: Beats the closing line.

@analysistips_org · 19,400 subscribers

Claimed vs. measured

Claimed win rate
70%
Measured win rate
-0.3%
ROI
+2.5%
CLV
measured on 12 of 229 picks
125
Picks audited

How the numbers narrow: 229 posts collected from the public channel → 125 unique picks we could settle against a real fixture → 12 with a verified closing price, which is the only subset on which CLV can be measured at all.

Verdict: Beats the closing line

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Audited picks

Date Match Pick Odds CLV Result
Frankfurt — Augsburg · Bundesliga 1X DC Lost
Porto — Arouca · Primeira Liga 1 1X2 1.64 Won
Udinese — Como · Serie A X2 DC Won
Lens — Auxerre · Ligue 1 1X DC Won
Sittard — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie X2 DC Won
Rio Ave — Porto · Primeira Liga 2 1X2 Won
Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga OVER OU25 Won
Rio Ave — Porto · Primeira Liga X2 DC 1.20 Won
Sittard — Cambuur · Eredivisie OVER OU25 Won
Leuven — Club Brugge · Jupiler Pro League OVER OU25 Won
Gençlerbirliği — Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig X2 DC 1.25 Lost
Genclerbirligi — Fenerbahce · Süper Lig 2 1X2 Lost
Excelsior — PSV · Eredivisie OVER OU25 Won
Utrecht — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie OVER OU25 Won
Willem II — Nijmegen · Eredivisie X2 DC Won
Norwich — West Brom · Championship OVER OU25 Won
HK Kopavogur — Vestri · 1. Deild 1X DC Won
Kalmar — Malmo · Allsvenskan OVER OU25 Won
Norrby — Sundsvall · Superettan OVER OU25 Won
Orgryte — Djurgarden · Allsvenskan X2 DC Won
Super Nova — Grobina · Latvia Virsliga OVER OU25 Lost
Mariehamn — Lahti · Veikkausliiga X2 DC Won
Spain — Argentina · World Cup OVER OU25 Lost
FF Jaro — Inter Turku · Veikkausliiga X2 DC Won
Halmstad — Hacken · Allsvenskan X2 DC Won
Elfsborg — Sirius · Allsvenskan OVER OU25 Won
Hammarby — Degerfors · Allsvenskan 1 1X2 Won
France — England · World Cup OVER OU25 Won
France — England · World Cup 1 1X2 Lost
Viking — Sandefjord · Eliteserien 1 1X2 Won
Molde — Brann · Eliteserien OVER OU25 Won
Lillestrom — KFUM · Eliteserien OVER OU25 Won
Kristiansund — Sarpsborg · Eliteserien OVER OU25 Lost
IK Start — Rosenborg · Eliteserien OVER OU25 Won
AC Oulu — Gnistan · Veikkausliiga OVER OU25 Lost
AIK — GAIS · Allsvenskan OVER OU25 Lost
HamKam — Tromso · Eliteserien OVER OU25 Won
Bodø/Glimt — Fredrikstad · Eliteserien 1X DC Won
Mjällby — Västerås · Allsvenskan OVER OU25 Lost
Goteborg — Brommapojkarna · Allsvenskan 1X DC Won

TipsAudit Trust Score

The Trust Score (0–100) is computed only from what we can measure: closing line value on verified picks, the size and age of the verified sample, and the gap between advertised claims and measured reality. It is deliberately conservative — without enough verified picks, no record can score as credible, no matter how good it looks. Most tipsters score C (insufficient evidence) because most records simply cannot be verified. A high score requires hundreds of verified picks with positive CLV; an F requires measured contradiction between claims and reality, not just bad results.

How to read this audit

125 settled picks is a small sample — far too small to prove skill either way. Treat any percentage on this page as weather, not climate. Why sample size matters →

Average closing line value measured on the picks we verified: +2.5%. CLV compares the tipped price with the sharpest closing price — it is the one metric pick selection cannot fake. What CLV means →

Frequently asked

Is AnalysisTips legit?

We cannot say yet. AnalysisTips has 125 settled public picks in our audit; closing line value could be measured on 12 of them (+2.5%), which is too few for a verdict either way. Trust score 52/100 (C). Treat any advertised ROI as unverified until the measurable sample grows.

What is AnalysisTips's closing line value (CLV)?

AnalysisTips's average CLV is +2.5%, measured on 12 picks where we could compare the advertised price with Pinnacle's closing price on the same market. CLV above zero means the picks consistently beat the closing line; it is the only tipster metric that converges within a few hundred picks, unlike ROI.

How many of AnalysisTips's picks did TipsAudit actually verify?

We read 229 public picks from AnalysisTips's channel. 125 were matched to a fixture and settled on the official result; 20 were on sports or leagues outside our coverage (not counted as failures); the rest could not be verified. Only settled picks enter the win rate and ROI — a tipster's own record is never taken at face value.

How we audit

We read each tipster's publicly posted picks, log them with their timestamp before kick-off, link them to real fixtures and settle them on the final result. Win rate and ROI use the odds the tipster quoted. CLV compares the price they took to the sharp closing line — the metric most strongly linked to a real edge. We only count picks we can independently verify, and we publish the losses. We are not affiliated with any tipster.

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