52/100 · C TipsAudit Trust Score — Insufficient evidence
AnalysisTips has been audited over 125 verified picks. Measured win rate: 70% (claimed: not stated). Flat-stakes ROI: -0.3%. Closing line value: +2.5%. Verdict: Beats the closing line.
@analysistips_org · 19,400 subscribers
How the numbers narrow: 229 posts collected from the public channel → 125 unique picks we could settle against a real fixture → 12 with a verified closing price, which is the only subset on which CLV can be measured at all.
Verdict: Beats the closing line
This badge reads live from the audit on this page. The number changes when the record changes, which is what separates it from a marketing sticker. Anyone audited here may use it, on any channel, without asking us.
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankfurt — Augsburg · Bundesliga | 1X DC | — | — | Lost | |
| Porto — Arouca · Primeira Liga | 1 1X2 | 1.64 | — | Won | |
| Udinese — Como · Serie A | X2 DC | — | — | Won | |
| Lens — Auxerre · Ligue 1 | 1X DC | — | — | Won | |
| Sittard — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie | X2 DC | — | — | Won | |
| Rio Ave — Porto · Primeira Liga | 2 1X2 | — | — | Won | |
| Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Rio Ave — Porto · Primeira Liga | X2 DC | 1.20 | — | Won | |
| Sittard — Cambuur · Eredivisie | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Leuven — Club Brugge · Jupiler Pro League | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Gençlerbirliği — Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig | X2 DC | 1.25 | — | Lost | |
| Genclerbirligi — Fenerbahce · Süper Lig | 2 1X2 | — | — | Lost | |
| Excelsior — PSV · Eredivisie | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Utrecht — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Willem II — Nijmegen · Eredivisie | X2 DC | — | — | Won | |
| Norwich — West Brom · Championship | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| HK Kopavogur — Vestri · 1. Deild | 1X DC | — | — | Won | |
| Kalmar — Malmo · Allsvenskan | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Norrby — Sundsvall · Superettan | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Orgryte — Djurgarden · Allsvenskan | X2 DC | — | — | Won | |
| Super Nova — Grobina · Latvia Virsliga | OVER OU25 | — | — | Lost | |
| Mariehamn — Lahti · Veikkausliiga | X2 DC | — | — | Won | |
| Spain — Argentina · World Cup | OVER OU25 | — | — | Lost | |
| FF Jaro — Inter Turku · Veikkausliiga | X2 DC | — | — | Won | |
| Halmstad — Hacken · Allsvenskan | X2 DC | — | — | Won | |
| Elfsborg — Sirius · Allsvenskan | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Hammarby — Degerfors · Allsvenskan | 1 1X2 | — | — | Won | |
| France — England · World Cup | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| France — England · World Cup | 1 1X2 | — | — | Lost | |
| Viking — Sandefjord · Eliteserien | 1 1X2 | — | — | Won | |
| Molde — Brann · Eliteserien | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Lillestrom — KFUM · Eliteserien | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Kristiansund — Sarpsborg · Eliteserien | OVER OU25 | — | — | Lost | |
| IK Start — Rosenborg · Eliteserien | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| AC Oulu — Gnistan · Veikkausliiga | OVER OU25 | — | — | Lost | |
| AIK — GAIS · Allsvenskan | OVER OU25 | — | — | Lost | |
| HamKam — Tromso · Eliteserien | OVER OU25 | — | — | Won | |
| Bodø/Glimt — Fredrikstad · Eliteserien | 1X DC | — | — | Won | |
| Mjällby — Västerås · Allsvenskan | OVER OU25 | — | — | Lost | |
| Goteborg — Brommapojkarna · Allsvenskan | 1X DC | — | — | Won |
The Trust Score (0–100) is computed only from what we can measure: closing line value on verified picks, the size and age of the verified sample, and the gap between advertised claims and measured reality. It is deliberately conservative — without enough verified picks, no record can score as credible, no matter how good it looks. Most tipsters score C (insufficient evidence) because most records simply cannot be verified. A high score requires hundreds of verified picks with positive CLV; an F requires measured contradiction between claims and reality, not just bad results.
125 settled picks is a small sample — far too small to prove skill either way. Treat any percentage on this page as weather, not climate. Why sample size matters →
Average closing line value measured on the picks we verified: +2.5%. CLV compares the tipped price with the sharpest closing price — it is the one metric pick selection cannot fake. What CLV means →
We cannot say yet. AnalysisTips has 125 settled public picks in our audit; closing line value could be measured on 12 of them (+2.5%), which is too few for a verdict either way. Trust score 52/100 (C). Treat any advertised ROI as unverified until the measurable sample grows.
AnalysisTips's average CLV is +2.5%, measured on 12 picks where we could compare the advertised price with Pinnacle's closing price on the same market. CLV above zero means the picks consistently beat the closing line; it is the only tipster metric that converges within a few hundred picks, unlike ROI.
We read 229 public picks from AnalysisTips's channel. 125 were matched to a fixture and settled on the official result; 20 were on sports or leagues outside our coverage (not counted as failures); the rest could not be verified. Only settled picks enter the win rate and ROI — a tipster's own record is never taken at face value.
We read each tipster's publicly posted picks, log them with their timestamp before kick-off, link them to real fixtures and settle them on the final result. Win rate and ROI use the odds the tipster quoted. CLV compares the price they took to the sharp closing line — the metric most strongly linked to a real edge. We only count picks we can independently verify, and we publish the losses. We are not affiliated with any tipster.
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