Claimed vs. measured
not enough picks with a verified closing price
How the numbers narrow: 47 posts collected from the public channel → 17 unique picks we could settle against a real fixture → 1 with a verified closing price, which is the only subset on which CLV can be measured at all.
Verdict: Beats the closing line
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Audited picks
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club MG — CRB Maceio · Brazil Serie B | OVER OU25 | 2.33 | — | Lost | |
| Henan — Qingdao Hainiu · China Super League | OVER OU25 | 1.88 | — | Won | |
| Ferencvaros — Vojvodina · UEFA Europa League | UNDER OU25 | 1.39 | — | Lost | |
| Derry City — CSKA Sofia · UEFA Europa League | OVER OU25 | 1.70 | — | Won | |
| Universitatea — Dynamo Kyiv · UEFA Europa League | OVER OU25 | — | — | Lost | |
| Spain — Belgium · World Cup | 1 1X2 | 1.90 | +13.8% | Won | |
| Spain — Belgium · World Cup | OVER OU25 | 1.90 | — | Won | |
| France — Morocco · World Cup | YES BTTS | 1.74 | — | Lost | |
| Switzerland — Colombia · World Cup | OVER OU25 | 2.32 | — | Lost | |
| Argentina — Egypt · World Cup | UNDER OU25 | 1.73 | — | Lost | |
| Argentina — Egypt · World Cup | OVER OU25 | 1.81 | — | Won | |
| Belgium — Senegal · World Cup | YES BTTS | — | — | Won | |
| Germany — Paraguay · World Cup | OVER OU25 | 1.87 | — | Lost | |
| Colombia — Portugal · World Cup | YES BTTS | 1.69 | — | Lost | |
| Panama — England · World Cup | OVER OU25 | 2.13 | — | Lost | |
| Switzerland — Canada · World Cup | UNDER OU25 | — | — | Lost | |
| Switzerland — Canada · World Cup | YES BTTS | 1.90 | — | Won |
TipsAudit Trust Score
The Trust Score (0–100) is computed only from what we can measure: closing line value on verified picks, the size and age of the verified sample, and the gap between advertised claims and measured reality. It is deliberately conservative — without enough verified picks, no record can score as credible, no matter how good it looks. Most tipsters score C (insufficient evidence) because most records simply cannot be verified. A high score requires hundreds of verified picks with positive CLV; an F requires measured contradiction between claims and reality, not just bad results.
How to read this audit
17 settled picks is a small sample — far too small to prove skill either way. Treat any percentage on this page as weather, not climate. Why sample size matters →
Frequently asked
Is Даниэль Даньков |Прогнозы и ставки на спорт| legit?
We cannot say yet. Даниэль Даньков |Прогнозы и ставки на спорт| has 17 settled public picks in our audit; closing line value could be measured on 1 of them (—%), which is too few for a verdict either way. Trust score 44/100 (C). Treat any advertised ROI as unverified until the measurable sample grows.
What is Даниэль Даньков |Прогнозы и ставки на спорт|'s closing line value (CLV)?
Даниэль Даньков |Прогнозы и ставки на спорт|'s average CLV is —%, measured on 1 picks where we could compare the advertised price with Pinnacle's closing price on the same market. CLV above zero means the picks consistently beat the closing line; it is the only tipster metric that converges within a few hundred picks, unlike ROI.
How many of Даниэль Даньков |Прогнозы и ставки на спорт|'s picks did TipsAudit actually verify?
We read 47 public picks from Даниэль Даньков |Прогнозы и ставки на спорт|'s channel. 17 were matched to a fixture and settled on the official result; 15 were on sports or leagues outside our coverage (not counted as failures); the rest could not be verified. Only settled picks enter the win rate and ROI — a tipster's own record is never taken at face value.
How we audit
We read each tipster's publicly posted picks, log them with their timestamp before kick-off, link them to real fixtures and settle them on the final result. Win rate and ROI use the odds the tipster quoted. CLV compares the price they took to the sharp closing line — the metric most strongly linked to a real edge. We only count picks we can independently verify, and we publish the losses. We are not affiliated with any tipster.
Are you Даниэль Даньков |Прогнозы и ставки на спорт| and want to respond or correct the data? Get in touch: Contact.