Claimed vs. measured
measured on 6 of 121 picks
How the numbers narrow: 121 posts collected from the public channel → 41 unique picks we could settle against a real fixture → 6 with a verified closing price, which is the only subset on which CLV can be measured at all.
Verdict: Beats the closing line
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Audited picks
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malmo — Elfsborg · Allsvenskan | 1 1X2 | 1.45 | -28.6% | Lost | |
| Viborg — Odense · Danish Superliga | 1X DC | 1.30 | — | Won | |
| Qarabag — CSKA Sofia · UEFA Europa League | 1X DC | 1.48 | — | Won | |
| Egnatia — Celje · UEFA Champions League | X2 DC | 1.40 | — | Won | |
| Levski Sofia — Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Champions League | UNDER OU25 | 1.36 | — | Won | |
| Omonia Nicosia — Kairat Almaty · UEFA Champions League | 1X DC | 1.42 | — | Won | |
| Kalmar — Malmo · Allsvenskan | X2 DC | 1.32 | — | Won | |
| Mariehamn — Lahti · Veikkausliiga | 1X DC | 1.35 | — | Lost | |
| Spain — Argentina · World Cup | 1X DC | 1.40 | — | Won | |
| France — England · World Cup | 1X DC | 1.30 | — | Lost | |
| Shamrock Rovers — Floriana · UEFA Champions League | 1X DC | 1.40 | — | Won | |
| France — Spain · World Cup | 1X DC | 1.20 | — | Lost | |
| France — Spain · World Cup | OVER OU25 | 1.25 | — | Lost | |
| France — Spain · World Cup | X2 DC | 1.20 | — | Won | |
| Argentina — Switzerland · World Cup | OVER OU25 | 1.25 | — | Won | |
| Norway — England · World Cup | UNDER OU25 | 1.35 | — | Lost | |
| Dynamo Kyiv — Universitatea Cluj · UEFA Europa League | 1X DC | 1.25 | — | Won | |
| USA — Belgium · World Cup | X2 DC | 1.75 | — | Won | |
| Portugal — Spain · World Cup | X2 DC | 1.70 | — | Won | |
| Colombia — Ghana · World Cup | 1 1X2 | 1.65 | +13.8% | Won | |
| Argentina — Cape Verde · World Cup | 1 1X2 | 1.55 | +33.6% | Won | |
| Australia — Egypt · World Cup | UNDER OU25 | 1.65 | — | Won | |
| USA — Bosnia and Herzegovina · World Cup | 1X DC | — | — | Won | |
| Belgium — Senegal · World Cup | 1X DC | 1.10 | — | Won | |
| England — Congo · World Cup | UNDER OU25 | 1.32 | — | Lost | |
| Tunisia — Netherlands · World Cup | 2 1X2 | 1.40 | +22.8% | Won | |
| Japan — Sweden · World Cup | 1X DC | 1.32 | — | Won | |
| Ecuador — Germany · World Cup | 2 1X2 | 1.35 | -18.2% | Lost | |
| Norway — Senegal · World Cup | OVER OU25 | 1.27 | — | Won | |
| France — Iraq · World Cup | NO BTTS | 1.45 | — | Won | |
| Argentina — Austria · World Cup | OVER OU25 | 1.28 | — | Lost | |
| New Zealand — Egypt · World Cup | UNDER OU25 | 1.83 | — | Lost | |
| Uruguay — Cape Verde · World Cup | NO BTTS | 1.85 | — | Lost | |
| Belgium — Iran · World Cup | YES BTTS | 2.10 | — | Lost | |
| Spain — Saudi Arabia · World Cup | UNDER OU25 | 1.39 | — | Lost | |
| Austria — Jordan · World Cup | 1X DC | 1.39 | — | Won | |
| Argentina — Algeria · World Cup | UNDER OU25 | 1.98 | — | Lost | |
| France — Senegal · World Cup | 1 1X2 | 1.50 | +0.0% | Won | |
| France — Senegal · World Cup | YES BTTS | 1.96 | — | Won | |
| Belgium — Egypt · World Cup | 1 1X2 | — | — | Lost |
TipsAudit Trust Score
The Trust Score (0–100) is computed only from what we can measure: closing line value on verified picks, the size and age of the verified sample, and the gap between advertised claims and measured reality. It is deliberately conservative — without enough verified picks, no record can score as credible, no matter how good it looks. Most tipsters score C (insufficient evidence) because most records simply cannot be verified. A high score requires hundreds of verified picks with positive CLV; an F requires measured contradiction between claims and reality, not just bad results.
How to read this audit
41 settled picks is a small sample — far too small to prove skill either way. Treat any percentage on this page as weather, not climate. Why sample size matters →
Average closing line value measured on the picks we verified: +3.9%. CLV compares the tipped price with the sharpest closing price — it is the one metric pick selection cannot fake. What CLV means →
How we audit
We read each tipster's publicly posted picks, log them with their timestamp before kick-off, link them to real fixtures and settle them on the final result. Win rate and ROI use the odds the tipster quoted. CLV compares the price they took to the sharp closing line — the metric most strongly linked to a real edge. We only count picks we can independently verify, and we publish the losses. We are not affiliated with any tipster.
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