40/100 · D TipsAudit Trust Score — High risk
شرطبندی | پیشبینی | جام جهانی has been audited over 127 verified picks. Measured win rate: 62% (claimed: not stated). Flat-stakes ROI: -8.9%. Closing line value: -7.2%. Verdict: Below the market.
@hj_rh · 43,200 subscribers
How the numbers narrow: 320 posts collected from the public channel → 127 unique picks we could settle against a real fixture → 41 with a verified closing price, which is the only subset on which CLV can be measured at all.
Verdict: Below the market
This badge reads live from the audit on this page. The number changes when the record changes, which is what separates it from a marketing sticker. Anyone audited here may use it, on any channel, without asking us.
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla — Valencia · La Liga | OVER OU25 | 1.30 | — | Lost | |
| Union Berlin — Schalke · Bundesliga | 1X DC | 1.25 | — | Lost | |
| PSV — شاختار · UEFA Champions League | 1 1X2 | 1.55 | +2.6% | Lost | |
| Napoli — Arsenal · UEFA Champions League | X2 DC | — | — | Won | |
| Barcelona — Feyenoord · UEFA Champions League | 1 1X2 | 1.09 | +0.9% | Won | |
| Stuttgart — Viking · UEFA Champions League | 1 1X2 | 1.24 | +0.8% | Won | |
| Udinese — Lazio · Serie A | X2 DC | 1.60 | — | Won | |
| Getafe — Celta Vigo · La Liga | UNDER OU25 | 1.40 | — | Won | |
| Cagliari — Lecce · Serie A | 1X DC | 1.55 | — | Won | |
| Manchester City — Coventry · Premier League | 1 1X2 | 1.16 | -4.9% | Won | |
| Brentford — Sunderland · Premier League | 1 1X2 | 1.60 | -8.1% | Lost | |
| Brighton — Leeds · Premier League | OVER OU25 | 1.30 | — | Lost | |
| Nottingham Forest — Tottenham · Premier League | 1X DC | 1.40 | — | Won | |
| Newcastle — Bournemouth · Premier League | OVER OU25 | 1.33 | — | Won | |
| Real Sociedad — Celta Vigo · La Liga | 1X DC | 1.63 | — | Won | |
| Toulouse — Lille · Ligue 1 | X2 DC | 1.46 | — | Won | |
| Celta Vigo — Athletic Bilbao · La Liga | 1X DC | — | — | Lost | |
| Cagliari — Inter · Serie A | 2 1X2 | — | — | Won | |
| Napoli — Como · Serie A | 1 1X2 | — | — | Lost | |
| Manchester United — Ipswich · Premier League | 1 1X2 | — | — | Won | |
| Real Madrid — Malaga · La Liga | 1 1X2 | — | — | Won | |
| Freiburg — Werder Bremen · Bundesliga | 1X DC | — | — | Won | |
| Chelsea — Brighton · Premier League | 1 1X2 | — | — | Won | |
| Barcelona — Athletic Bilbao · La Liga | 1 1X2 | — | — | Won | |
| Celta Vigo — Osasuna · La Liga | 1X DC | — | — | Lost | |
| Kaunas Zalgiris — Besiktas · UEFA Europa League | 2 1X2 | — | — | Lost | |
| Valencia — Real Betis · La Liga | YES BTTS | 1.65 | — | Lost | |
| Bodø/Glimt — NEC · UEFA Champions League | 1 1X2 | 1.45 | — | Won | |
| Malaga — Deportivo La Coruna · La Liga | X 1X2 | 3.15 | — | Won | |
| Fulham — Chelsea · Premier League | 2 1X2 | 1.70 | -17.5% | Won | |
| Roma — Fiorentina · Serie A | 1 1X2 | 1.65 | +5.1% | Won | |
| Osasuna — Levante · La Liga | 1X DC | 1.35 | — | Won | |
| Bologna — Lazio · Serie A | OVER OU25 | 1.35 | — | Lost | |
| Atalanta — Sassuolo · Serie A | 1 1X2 | 1.53 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Rennes — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1 | 2 1X2 | 1.52 | -75.6% | Lost | |
| Newcastle — Liverpool · Premier League | 2 1X2 | 1.89 | -8.7% | Lost | |
| Le Havre — Monaco · Ligue 1 | 2 1X2 | 1.88 | -2.6% | Won | |
| Manchester City — Bournemouth · Premier League | 1 1X2 | 1.47 | +1.4% | Won | |
| Rayo Vallecano — Alaves · La Liga | 1X DC | 1.35 | — | Won | |
| Kapa — Jippo · Ykkösliiga | 2 1X2 | 1.58 | -4.8% | Won |
The Trust Score (0–100) is computed only from what we can measure: closing line value on verified picks, the size and age of the verified sample, and the gap between advertised claims and measured reality. It is deliberately conservative — without enough verified picks, no record can score as credible, no matter how good it looks. Most tipsters score C (insufficient evidence) because most records simply cannot be verified. A high score requires hundreds of verified picks with positive CLV; an F requires measured contradiction between claims and reality, not just bad results.
127 settled picks is a small sample — far too small to prove skill either way. Treat any percentage on this page as weather, not climate. Why sample size matters →
Average closing line value measured on the picks we verified: -7.2%. CLV compares the tipped price with the sharpest closing price — it is the one metric pick selection cannot fake. What CLV means →
On what we could measure, the numbers argue against it: across 127 settled public picks, شرطبندی | پیشبینی | جام جهانی's average closing line value is -7.2% (on 41 picks) and the flat-stake ROI is -8.9%. Trust score 40/100 (D). A negative CLV means the market moved against the picks after they were posted — the signature of picks with no edge.
شرطبندی | پیشبینی | جام جهانی's average CLV is -7.2%, measured on 41 picks where we could compare the advertised price with Pinnacle's closing price on the same market. CLV above zero means the picks consistently beat the closing line; it is the only tipster metric that converges within a few hundred picks, unlike ROI.
We read 320 public picks from شرطبندی | پیشبینی | جام جهانی's channel. 127 were matched to a fixture and settled on the official result; 56 were on sports or leagues outside our coverage (not counted as failures); the rest could not be verified. Only settled picks enter the win rate and ROI — a tipster's own record is never taken at face value.
We read each tipster's publicly posted picks, log them with their timestamp before kick-off, link them to real fixtures and settle them on the final result. Win rate and ROI use the odds the tipster quoted. CLV compares the price they took to the sharp closing line — the metric most strongly linked to a real edge. We only count picks we can independently verify, and we publish the losses. We are not affiliated with any tipster.
Are you شرطبندی | پیشبینی | جام جهانی and want to respond or correct the data? Get in touch: Contact.