Claimed vs. measured
measured on 61 of 61 picks
How the numbers narrow: 61 posts collected from the public channel → 61 unique picks we could settle against a real fixture → 61 with a verified closing price, which is the only subset on which CLV can be measured at all.
Verdict: Beats the closing line
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Audited picks
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America Mineiro — Criciuma · Brazil Serie B | 2 1X2 | 2.70 | +7.6% | Won | |
| Mariehamn — HJK Helsinki · Veikkausliiga | 2 1X2 | 1.42 | +6.8% | Won | |
| FF Jaro — Gnistan · Veikkausliiga | 1 1X2 | 3.10 | -11.4% | Lost | |
| KuPS — Ilves · Veikkausliiga | 1 1X2 | 1.78 | +8.5% | Won | |
| Lahti — Turku PS · Veikkausliiga | 1 1X2 | 2.00 | +9.9% | Lost | |
| VPS — AC Oulu · Veikkausliiga | 1 1X2 | 2.83 | +41.5% | Won | |
| Ponte Preta — Novorizontino · Brazil Serie B | 2 1X2 | 2.10 | +7.1% | Won | |
| Oddevold — Ljungskile SK · Superettan | 2 1X2 | 3.60 | -4.5% | Lost | |
| São Bernardo — Juventude · Brazil Serie B | X 1X2 | 3.05 | +4.5% | Lost | |
| HK Kopavogur — Grindavik · 1. Deild | 1 1X2 | 1.78 | +14.8% | Lost | |
| Ægir — Throttur Reykjavik · 1. Deild | 2 1X2 | 1.58 | +17.9% | Won | |
| CRB — Fortaleza EC · Brazil Serie B | 1 1X2 | 2.35 | -4.1% | Lost | |
| Temperley — San Martin Tucuman · Primera Nacional | 1 1X2 | 2.55 | +5.4% | Lost | |
| Norrby IF — United Nordic · Superettan | 2 1X2 | 2.55 | +7.1% | Lost | |
| Avai — Cuiaba · Brazil Serie B | 1 1X2 | 2.53 | -15.1% | Won | |
| Bryne — Asane · Norway 1. Division | 1 1X2 | 1.58 | +6.8% | Won | |
| Egersund — Haugesund · Norway 1. Division | 2 1X2 | 2.28 | +15.7% | Lost | |
| Vestri — Afturelding · 1. Deild | 2 1X2 | 2.05 | +6.2% | Lost | |
| Osters IF — Falkenbergs FF · Superettan | 1 1X2 | 2.32 | +0.4% | Lost | |
| Vila Nova — Nautico Recife · Brazil Serie B | X 1X2 | 3.25 | +8.7% | Lost | |
| Almeria — Malaga · Segunda Division | 1 1X2 | 2.25 | +2.7% | Lost | |
| Nueva Chicago — Atletico DE Rafaela · Primera Nacional | X 1X2 | 2.80 | +10.2% | Won | |
| Londrina — Athletic Club · Brazil Serie B | 1 1X2 | 2.45 | -0.4% | Won | |
| Drogheda United — Shelbourne · Premier Division | 2 1X2 | 2.07 | +3.5% | Lost | |
| Sport Recife — Atletico Goianiense · Brazil Serie B | 1 1X2 | 2.20 | +10.0% | Lost | |
| Universidad de Chile — O'Higgins · Primera Division Chile | 1 1X2 | 1.95 | +2.1% | Won | |
| Ilves — FF Jaro · Veikkausliiga | 1 1X2 | 1.89 | +14.5% | Won | |
| Vestri — Ægir · 1. Deild | 1 1X2 | 1.73 | +5.5% | Won | |
| Grindavik — Fylkir · 1. Deild | 2 1X2 | 1.86 | +17.0% | Won | |
| IR Reykjavik — Grotta · 1. Deild | 1 1X2 | 2.15 | +7.5% | Won | |
| IA Akranes — Valur Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild | 1 1X2 | 2.32 | +11.0% | Won | |
| Stjarnan — Breidablik · Urvalsdeild | 1 1X2 | 3.10 | +5.4% | Lost | |
| Landskrona BoIS — United Nordic · Superettan | 2 1X2 | 3.00 | +7.1% | Lost | |
| KA Akureyri — Fram Reykjavik · Urvalsdeild | 2 1X2 | 2.30 | +8.5% | Won | |
| SJK Akatemia — Haka · Ykkösliiga | 2 1X2 | 1.65 | +1.8% | Won | |
| Central Norte — San Telmo · Primera Nacional | X 1X2 | 3.10 | +4.4% | Won | |
| Union La Calera — Universidad de Chile · Primera Division Chile | X 1X2 | 3.30 | +3.8% | Won | |
| Atletico Mitre — Los Andes · Primera Nacional | 1 1X2 | 2.65 | -1.5% | Lost | |
| Racing Cordoba — Chaco For Ever · Primera Nacional | X 1X2 | 3.15 | +10.9% | Lost | |
| Temperley — Club Atlético Güemes · Primera Nacional | 1 1X2 | 2.17 | +19.9% | Won |
TipsAudit Trust Score
The Trust Score (0–100) is computed only from what we can measure: closing line value on verified picks, the size and age of the verified sample, and the gap between advertised claims and measured reality. It is deliberately conservative — without enough verified picks, no record can score as credible, no matter how good it looks. Most tipsters score C (insufficient evidence) because most records simply cannot be verified. A high score requires hundreds of verified picks with positive CLV; an F requires measured contradiction between claims and reality, not just bad results.
How to read this audit
61 settled picks is a small sample — far too small to prove skill either way. Treat any percentage on this page as weather, not climate. Why sample size matters →
Average closing line value measured on the picks we verified: +6.7%. CLV compares the tipped price with the sharpest closing price — it is the one metric pick selection cannot fake. What CLV means →
How we audit
We read each tipster's publicly posted picks, log them with their timestamp before kick-off, link them to real fixtures and settle them on the final result. Win rate and ROI use the odds the tipster quoted. CLV compares the price they took to the sharp closing line — the metric most strongly linked to a real edge. We only count picks we can independently verify, and we publish the losses. We are not affiliated with any tipster.
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