We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit City — Las Vegas Lights · USL Championship | 1 | 1.59 | 1.59 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Miami FC — Tampa Bay Rowdies · USL Championship | 2 | 1.59 | 1.58 | +0.6% | Won | |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Rhode Island · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.36 | 1.36 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Indy Eleven — Loudoun United · USL Championship | 1 | 1.69 | 1.68 | +0.6% | Lost | |
| New York Red Bulls — Charlotte · MLS | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | -0.1% | Won | |
| River Plate — Barracas Central · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | 1 | 1.40 | 1.34 | +4.5% | Lost | |
| Deportivo Merlo — Villa San Carlos · Primera B Metropolitana | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.24 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| San Martin Tucuman — Temperley · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.20 | -1.0% | Lost | |
| Cobreloa — Deportes Santa Cruz · Chile Primera B | 1 | 1.68 | 1.68 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Huachipato — Cobresal · Primera Division Chile | 1 | 1.61 | 1.61 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Atletico Paranaense — Internacional · Brazil Serie A | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.27 | -0.3% | Won | |
| Santos — Chapecoense-sc · Brazil Serie A | 1 | 1.47 | 1.38 | +6.5% | Lost | |
| Independiente Medellin — Deportivo Pasto · Primera A VALUE → | 1 | 1.67 | 1.74 | -4.0% | Won | |
| Inter Miami II — Toronto II · MLS Next Pro VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.17 | 1.17 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Defensor Sporting — Liverpool Montevideo · Uruguay Primera Division VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.38 | 1.38 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Juan Pablo II College — Cienciano · Peru Liga 1 | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.25 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Newells Old Boys — Talleres Cordoba · Argentina Liga Profesional | 1/X | 1.41 | 1.45 | -2.4% | Won | |
| Curico Unido — San Luis · Chile Primera B VALUE → | 1 | 1.63 | 2.02 | -19.3% | Lost | |
| Atletico DE Rafaela — Nueva Chicago · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.29 | -5.2% | Won | |
| Sligo Rovers — Drogheda United · Premier Division | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.37 | -4.8% | Lost | |
| Podbrezová — Zemplín Michalovce · Slovak Super Liga | 1 | 1.75 | 1.76 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Deportivo Armenio — Arsenal Sarandi · Primera B Metropolitana | X/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | +0.0% | Won | |
| FC Luzern — FC Thun · Swiss Super League | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.23 | +3.0% | Won | |
| Longford Town — Wexford · First Division Ireland | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.30 | -1.0% | Won | |
| Lokomotiv Sofia — Levski Sofia · Bulgaria First League | 2 | 1.48 | 1.48 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Lech Poznan — Cracovia Krakow · Ekstraklasa | 1 | 1.47 | 1.55 | -5.2% | Lost | |
| OFK Beograd — Radnik Surdulica · Serbia Super Liga | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Central Espanol — Cerro Largo · Uruguay Primera Division | 1/X | 1.38 | 1.39 | -0.9% | Lost | |
| Sport Huancayo — Atletico Grau · Peru Liga 1 | 1 | 1.68 | 1.68 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Leones de Rosario — Central Cordoba · Primera C | 1/X | 1.15 | 1.15 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Estrella Del Sur — Deportivo Paraguayo · Primera C | 1 | 1.53 | 1.53 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Lugano — Centro Español · Primera C VALUE → | X/2 | 1.29 | 1.29 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Victoriano Arenas — JJ Urquiza · Primera C | 1/X | 1.15 | 1.15 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Atletico Atlas — Deportivo Español · Primera C | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.26 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Argentino Quilmes — Villa Dalmine · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | 1/X | 1.31 | 1.31 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Comunicaciones — Real Pilar · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | 1/X | 1.29 | 1.32 | -2.3% | Lost | |
| Deportivo Camioneros — San Martín Burzaco · Primera B Metropolitana | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.19 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Defensores Unidos — UAI Urquiza · Primera B Metropolitana | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.21 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Flandria — Excursionistas · Primera B Metropolitana VALUE → | X/2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Brown DE Adrogue — Argentino de Merlo · Primera B Metropolitana | 1/X | 1.32 | 1.32 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Tristan Suarez — Chacarita Juniors · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.17 | 1.21 | -3.7% | Won | |
| CA Estudiantes — Ciudad de Bolívar · Primera Nacional VALUE → | 1 | 1.68 | 1.70 | -1.2% | Lost | |
| Haugesund — Bryne · Norway 1. Division | 1 | 1.65 | 1.66 | -0.6% | Lost | |
| Zbrojovka Brno — Sparta Praha · Czech Liga | 2 | 1.66 | 1.66 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — Tigre · Argentina Liga Profesional | X/2 | 1.24 | 1.31 | -5.9% | Lost | |
| Dinamo Bucuresti — Universitatea Craiova · Romania Liga I | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.34 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Kisvarda FC — Budapest Honved · Hungary NB I | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.29 | -0.3% | Lost | |
| Ituzaingó — Sportivo Italiano · Primera B Metropolitana | X/2 | 1.18 | 1.18 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Fratria — Marek · Bulgaria Second League VALUE → | 1 | 1.32 | 1.33 | -0.8% | Lost | |
| Yantra 2019 — Spartak Pleven · Bulgaria Second League VALUE → | 1 | 1.42 | 1.48 | -4.1% | Lost |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.