We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Poznań — Arka Gdynia · Poland I Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.27 | -2.0% | Won | |
| Chrobry Głogów — Pogoń Siedlce · Poland I Liga | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.23 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Borussia Dortmund — SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga VALUE → | 1 | 1.24 | 1.28 | -3.1% | Won | |
| Tampere United — PKKU · Ykkonen | 1 | 1.62 | 1.62 | +0.0% | Won | |
| SalPa — JJK · Ykkonen | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.21 | +0.7% | Won | |
| Resistencia — 3 de Noviembre · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.25 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Guairena FC — General Caballero · Paraguay Division Intermedia | X/2 | 1.19 | 1.19 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Sudtirol — Modena · Serie B | X/2 | 1.38 | 1.31 | +4.7% | Won | |
| Mārupe — Tukums II · Latvia 1. Liga | 1 | 1.63 | 1.63 | +0.0% | Won | |
| JDFS Alberts — Valmiera / BSS · Latvia 1. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.15 | 1.14 | +0.7% | Won | |
| Yelimay Semey — Zhetysu · Kazakhstan Premier League VALUE → | 1 | 1.44 | 1.45 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Zbrojovka Brno — Artis · Czech Liga | 1 | 1.54 | 1.64 | -6.1% | Won | |
| Bohemians 1905 — Slovácko · Czech Liga | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.32 | -1.4% | Won | |
| Slovan Liberec — Mlada Boleslav · Czech Liga VALUE → | 1 | 1.59 | 1.59 | +0.0% | Won | |
| MP — SJK Akatemia · Ykkösliiga | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.20 | +2.1% | Won | |
| JIPPO — Klubi-04 · Ykkösliiga VALUE → | 1 | 1.51 | 1.78 | -15.2% | Won | |
| AIK Stockholm — Vasteras SK FK · Allsvenskan VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.20 | +5.2% | Lost | |
| Genoa — Frosinone · Serie A | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.37 | -10.5% | Won | |
| Padova — Ascoli · Serie B VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.36 | 1.36 | -0.5% | Won | |
| Vicenza Virtus — Juve Stabia · Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.24 | -0.5% | Won | |
| Slask Wroclaw — Korona Kielce · Ekstraklasa | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.35 | -2.7% | Won | |
| Racing Santander — Alaves · La Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.35 | -2.5% | Won | |
| FC Andorra — Real Sociedad II · Segunda Division VALUE → | 1 | 1.51 | 1.75 | -13.7% | Lost | |
| Arsenal Česká Lípa — Prostějov · Czech FNL | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.27 | -0.7% | Lost | |
| Kauno Žalgiris II — Ekranas · Lithuania 1 Lyga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.17 | 1.17 | -0.5% | Won | |
| Dainava — Minija · Lithuania 1 Lyga VALUE → | 2 | 1.60 | 1.55 | +3.2% | Won | |
| Kaspiy — Aktobe · Kazakhstan Premier League | X/2 | 1.25 | 1.23 | +2.3% | Won | |
| Sochaux — Nantes · Ligue 2 | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.35 | -3.0% | Won | |
| Guingamp — Annecy · Ligue 2 | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.31 | +0.2% | Won | |
| Havelse — SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · 3. Liga | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | -0.0% | Lost | |
| Verl — SV Meppen · 3. Liga | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.22 | -0.1% | Won | |
| FC Saarbrücken — FC Ingolstadt 04 · 3. Liga | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.28 | -5.0% | Won | |
| Rot-Weiß Essen — Würzburger Kickers · 3. Liga | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.14 | +6.2% | Won | |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf — MSV Duisburg · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.32 | -4.1% | Won | |
| EIF — Haka · Ykkösliiga | X/2 | 1.26 | 1.20 | +4.7% | Won | |
| Grimsby — Bristol Rovers · League Two | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.28 | -2.4% | Won | |
| Crawley Town — Cheltenham · League Two | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | +0.1% | Won | |
| Notts County — Bradford · League One VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.33 | -3.2% | Won | |
| Leyton Orient — Wycombe · League One | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.30 | -0.2% | Won | |
| Derby — Birmingham · Championship VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.34 | -3.0% | Won | |
| Bolton — Cardiff · Championship | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.29 | -0.7% | Won | |
| West Brom — QPR · Championship | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.36 | -4.4% | Lost | |
| Guangdong Mingtu — Shanghai Second · China League Two VALUE → | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.20 | +1.2% | Won | |
| Nantong Haimen Codion — Chengdu Rongcheng II · China League Two | 1/X | 1.14 | 1.10 | +3.8% | Won | |
| Guizhou Zhucheng — Dalian Kewei · China League Two | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.18 | +1.5% | Lost | |
| Rops — OLS · Ykkonen | 1/2 | 1.21 | 1.21 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Smiltene — Riga Mariners · Latvia 1. Liga VALUE → | 2 | 1.14 | 1.13 | +0.9% | Lost | |
| Tauras — Žalgiris II · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1 | 1.60 | 1.53 | +4.6% | Lost | |
| Grobiņa — FS Jelgava · Latvia Virsliga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.29 | -0.2% | Lost | |
| Eintracht Braunschweig — Dynamo Dresden · 2. Bundesliga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.30 | -0.1% | Lost |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.