We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Port II — Tai'an Tiankuang · China League Two | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.24 | +1.1% | Lost | |
| Žilina II — Petržalka · Slovakia 2. Liga | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.26 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Slovan Bratislava II — Zlaté Moravce · Slovakia 2. Liga | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.24 | -0.8% | Won | |
| Slavia Praha II — Příbram · Czech FNL | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.26 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Xiamen Feilu — Langfang Glory City · China League Two | 1 | 1.59 | 1.44 | +10.4% | Lost | |
| Xi'an Ronghai — Nantong Haimen Codion · China League Two VALUE → | 1/X | 1.32 | 1.27 | +4.0% | Won | |
| Santos Laguna — Atlas · Liga MX | 1/2 | 1.34 | 1.37 | -1.9% | Won | |
| Tigres UANL — Atletico San Luis · Liga MX VALUE → | 1 | 1.40 | 1.45 | -3.4% | Lost | |
| Phoenix Rising — Hartford Athletic · USL Championship VALUE → | 1/X | 1.27 | 1.28 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Portland Timbers — Real Salt Lake · MLS | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | +0.4% | Won | |
| Los Angeles FC — Sporting Kansas City · MLS VALUE → | 1 | 1.23 | 1.24 | -0.8% | Won | |
| San Jose Earthquakes — Los Angeles Galaxy · MLS | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.25 | -1.2% | Lost | |
| Ventura County — The Town · MLS Next Pro VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.22 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Monterey Bay — Orange County SC · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.29 | +0.6% | Won | |
| Oakland Roots — Sacramento Republic · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.30 | -0.4% | Won | |
| San Diego — FC Dallas · MLS VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.28 | -0.9% | Won | |
| Deportes Tolima — Junior · Primera A VALUE → | 1/X | 1.18 | 1.26 | -6.2% | Won | |
| El Paso Locomotive — Sporting JAX · USL Championship | 1 | 1.44 | 1.45 | -0.7% | Won | |
| Colorado Springs — Charleston Battery · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.27 | +0.2% | Won | |
| FBC Melgar — Sporting Cristal · Peru Liga 1 | 1 | 1.69 | 1.74 | -2.9% | Won | |
| North Texas — Los Angeles FC II · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.25 | -1.7% | Lost | |
| FC Tulsa — Lexington · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.32 | 1.33 | -0.6% | Lost | |
| Lanus — San Lorenzo · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | 1/X | 1.15 | 1.19 | -3.2% | Won | |
| St. Louis City — Colorado Rapids · MLS | 1/2 | 1.27 | 1.29 | -1.7% | Won | |
| Minnesota United FC — Vancouver Whitecaps · MLS | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | -0.4% | Lost | |
| Houston Dynamo — Austin · MLS | 1 | 1.75 | 1.71 | +2.3% | Won | |
| Tecnico Universitario — Manta FC · Ecuador LigaPro VALUE → | 1 | 1.68 | 1.75 | -4.0% | Won | |
| U. Catolica — D. La Serena · Primera Division Chile VALUE → | 1 | 1.48 | 1.45 | +2.1% | Lost | |
| Carolina Core — Chicago Fire II · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.20 | -0.4% | Won | |
| Vasco DA Gama — Mirassol · Brazil Serie A VALUE → | 1/X | 1.30 | 1.27 | +2.3% | Won | |
| DC United — Toronto FC · MLS | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.31 | -0.1% | Won | |
| CF Montreal — Inter Miami · MLS VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.24 | +0.3% | Won | |
| New York City FC — Chicago Fire · MLS | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.30 | -0.3% | Won | |
| Philadelphia Union — Seattle Sounders · MLS VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | +0.6% | Won | |
| Orlando City SC — Nashville SC · MLS | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.29 | -0.4% | Won | |
| Columbus Crew — FC Cincinnati · MLS | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.25 | -0.5% | Won | |
| Millonarios — Bucaramanga · Primera A | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.20 | -0.4% | Lost | |
| Guadalajara Chivas — FC Juarez · Liga MX VALUE → | 1 | 1.44 | 1.44 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Chattanooga — Philadelphia Union II · MLS Next Pro | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.20 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Brooklyn — San Antonio · USL Championship VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.29 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Detroit City — Las Vegas Lights · USL Championship | 1 | 1.59 | 1.59 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Miami FC — Tampa Bay Rowdies · USL Championship | 2 | 1.59 | 1.58 | +0.6% | Won | |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Rhode Island · USL Championship | 1/2 | 1.36 | 1.36 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Indy Eleven — Loudoun United · USL Championship | 1 | 1.69 | 1.68 | +0.6% | Lost | |
| New York Red Bulls — Charlotte · MLS | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.28 | -0.1% | Won | |
| River Plate — Barracas Central · Argentina Liga Profesional VALUE → | 1 | 1.40 | 1.34 | +4.5% | Lost | |
| Deportivo Merlo — Villa San Carlos · Primera B Metropolitana | 1/X | 1.24 | 1.24 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| San Martin Tucuman — Temperley · Primera Nacional | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.20 | -1.0% | Lost | |
| Cobreloa — Deportes Santa Cruz · Chile Primera B | 1 | 1.68 | 1.68 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Huachipato — Cobresal · Primera Division Chile | 1 | 1.61 | 1.61 | +0.0% | Lost |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.