We log each prediction before kick-off — odds and all — and never touch it again. Wins and losses, in the open. Measured by closing line value — one of the strongest publicly measurable leading indicators of a long-term edge.
18 predictions voided (match postponed, cancelled or never played) — excluded from every figure on this page, never deleted from the ledger.
odds we took vs the closing line — the sharp benchmark
The full record is published daily to an external, append-only public log (Git history + OpenTimestamps), so it is independently verifiable — not even we can rewrite a past record undetectably. Verify on the public log →
External independent verification has been active since 20 June 2026. Earlier records are preserved in our internal ledger but were not externally timestamped before kick-off.
✈ Follow the live audit on Telegram| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar — Willem II · Eredivisie VALUE → | 1 | 1.13 | 1.15 | -1.7% | Lost | |
| Csikszereda — Dinamo Bucuresti · Romania Liga I | 2 | 1.53 | 1.53 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Rodez — Grenoble · Ligue 2 | 1 | 1.70 | 1.91 | -11.0% | Lost | |
| Nancy — Reims · Ligue 2 | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.34 | -2.8% | Won | |
| Clermont Foot — Boulogne · Ligue 2 | 1/X | 1.35 | 1.47 | -8.5% | Won | |
| Dijon — Laval · Ligue 2 VALUE → | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.29 | -5.0% | Won | |
| Montpellier — PAU · Ligue 2 | 1/X | 1.26 | 1.23 | +3.1% | Won | |
| Ried — Red Bull Salzburg · Austrian Bundesliga | 2 | 1.68 | 1.52 | +10.5% | Lost | |
| Empoli — Arezzo · Serie B | 1/X | 1.25 | 1.25 | +0.4% | Lost | |
| Beşiktaş — Erzurumspor FK · Süper Lig | 1 | 1.31 | 1.22 | +7.4% | Won | |
| FC Copenhagen — AC Horsens · Danish Superliga VALUE → | 1 | 1.26 | 1.31 | -3.8% | Won | |
| FC Viktoria Köln — Hansa Rostock · 3. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.25 | 1.27 | -1.5% | Won | |
| BK Hacken — Mjallby AIF · Allsvenskan VALUE → | 1 | 1.63 | 1.48 | +10.1% | Lost | |
| SV Darmstadt 98 — Arminia Bielefeld · 2. Bundesliga | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.33 | -3.3% | Won | |
| 1. FC Nürnberg — Hannover 96 · 2. Bundesliga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.28 | +1.7% | Won | |
| Táborsko — Kladno · Czech FNL | 1 | 1.70 | 1.69 | +0.6% | Lost | |
| Ústí nad Labem — Vysočina Jihlava · Czech FNL | 1/X | 1.23 | 1.29 | -4.6% | Lost | |
| Příbram — Baník Ostrava II · Czech FNL VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.26 | 1.26 | -0.2% | Won | |
| Dukla Praha — Vlašim · Czech FNL | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.19 | +0.7% | Won | |
| Polonia Warszawa — Polonia Bytom · Poland I Liga | 1/2 | 1.23 | 1.24 | -0.4% | Lost | |
| Raków Częstochowa — Motor Lublin · Ekstraklasa | 1/2 | 1.22 | 1.26 | -3.8% | Won | |
| KäPa — PK-35 · Ykkösliiga | X/2 | 1.22 | 1.13 | +7.9% | Won | |
| FC jazz — KPV-j · Ykkonen | 1 | 1.51 | 1.67 | -9.6% | Won | |
| Kooteepee — JäPS · Ykkösliiga VALUE → | 1 | 1.37 | 1.35 | +1.5% | Won | |
| Třinec — Karviná · Czech FNL VALUE → | 2 | 1.56 | 1.57 | -0.6% | Lost | |
| Pohronie — Liptovský Mikuláš · Slovakia 2. Liga VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.23 | +0.2% | Won | |
| Transinvest 2 — Hegelmann II · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1/2 | 1.19 | 1.15 | +2.8% | Won | |
| Babrungas — Atmosfera · Lithuania 1 Lyga VALUE → | 1 | 1.51 | 1.74 | -13.2% | Won | |
| Riga — Auda · Latvia Virsliga | 1 | 1.31 | 1.31 | +0.0% | Lost | |
| Farul Constanta — Uta Arad · Romania Liga I | 1/X | 1.34 | 1.28 | +4.8% | Won | |
| Neptūną Klaipėda — Jonava · Lithuania 1 Lyga | 1/X | 1.18 | 1.21 | -3.2% | Won | |
| Ogre United — FK Liepaja · Latvia Virsliga | 2 | 1.64 | 1.68 | -2.4% | Lost | |
| Kolos Kovalivka — Karpaty · Ukraine Premier League | 1/2 | 1.28 | 1.27 | +0.4% | Won | |
| Independiente del Valle — Flamengo · Copa Libertadores VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.35 | 1.42 | -4.4% | Won | |
| Cienciano — Atletico Torque · Copa Sudamericana VALUE → | 1 | 1.56 | 1.49 | +4.7% | Won | |
| Sport Recife — Ponte Preta · Brazil Serie B | 1 | 1.20 | 1.12 | +7.1% | Won | |
| Antofagasta — Cobreloa · Chile Primera B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.19 | 1.28 | -7.3% | Won | |
| São Bernardo — Londrina · Brazil Serie B | 1/X | 1.21 | 1.15 | +4.5% | Lost | |
| Vila Nova — Goias · Brazil Serie B VALUE → | 1/X | 1.22 | 1.23 | -1.2% | Won | |
| 12 de Junio VH — Atlético Tembetary · Paraguay Division Intermedia | 1/X | 1.14 | 1.14 | +0.0% | Won | |
| Sportivo Carapeguá — Benjamín Aceval · Paraguay Division Intermedia VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.20 | 1.21 | -0.6% | Won | |
| Slavia Praha — Lens · UEFA Champions League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.31 | 1.34 | -2.4% | Won | |
| Manchester United — Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League | 1 | 1.15 | 1.08 | +6.5% | Won | |
| Como — RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.26 | +2.6% | Won | |
| Bayern München — Bodo/Glimt · UEFA Champions League VALUE → | 1 | 1.14 | 1.08 | +5.6% | Won | |
| Stevenage — Luton · League One VALUE → | 1/2 | 1.30 | 1.34 | -3.4% | Won | |
| Radnik Surdulica — FK Crvena Zvezda · Serbia Super Liga | 2 | 1.27 | 1.22 | +4.1% | Lost | |
| Varbergs BoIS FC — IFK Norrkoping · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.29 | 1.29 | -0.1% | Won | |
| Falkenbergs FF — Osters IF · Superettan | 1/2 | 1.24 | 1.26 | -0.9% | Won | |
| Ostersunds FK — IK brage · Superettan VALUE → | 1/X | 1.20 | 1.23 | -2.1% | Won |
Nothing here is cherry-picked. Each row was written to our database before the match started and is immutable. CLV — beating the closing price of a sharp bookmaker — is the metric most strongly shown to correlate with a real long-term edge; win rate and short-run profit are mostly noise until the sample is large.